SalemDuck Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 7 minutes ago, Timmy said: It does, but unfortunately pushes everything back 24 hours, never a good thing this far out This timing is more in line with the EPS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 8 minutes ago, SalemDuck said: This timing is more in line with the EPS I was just about to post this... The fact is we may see a chilly shot late next week, but the most encouraging signs are really for a couple days later. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 Take the Washington State Climatologist survey! https://climate.washington.edu/newsletter/ideal-climate-survey/ 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 29, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 19 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Total snow per the 12Z ECMWF... I would like to see Pepto...Not shades of grey Tim!! Keep working on it until you get it right! 2 1 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 12 minutes ago, jakerepp said: Take the Washington State Climatologist survey! https://climate.washington.edu/newsletter/ideal-climate-survey/ 60"+ inches of snow a year baby! And a 22-34F spread during the winter. Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 12Z EPS at day 10... a little east of the 00Z run. 1 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 Day 13... also east of the 00Z run. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Day 13... also east of the 00Z run. Nothing to complain about. Still looks outstanding. There will be run to run fluctuations. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 2 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 29, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 She’s still sitting there patiently waiting for the pepto. 1 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 29, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: At least the Seahawks didn’t have that problem this year! Hopefully February isn’t the equivalent to the Blair Walsh project 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 12Z EPS at day 15... 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemDuck Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Nothing to complain about. Still looks outstanding. There will be run to run fluctuations. It looks like it just has to do the handling of the ridge and how it reorganizes itself in the long run. The vast majority keep a block held steady at 145W (give or take 5 degrees). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 4 minutes ago, MossMan said: At least the Seahawks didn’t have that problem this year! The Blair Walsh Project failed just like it did with the Vikings...when he failed vs the Hawks. 3 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 29, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 9 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: I had this sudden urge to hop on a fairway mower when I saw this pic! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 58 minutes ago, jakerepp said: Take the Washington State Climatologist survey! https://climate.washington.edu/newsletter/ideal-climate-survey/ Oh COOL! They must be soliciting feedback before tweaking the programming on the weather generating machine and chemtrail sprayer profiles? 1 1 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 3 hours ago, GobBluth said: fun to note that the GEM led the way in this pattern switch, assuming it happens. No the GFS did, then abandoned it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 25 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: No the GFS did, then abandoned it. Do you mean the "new" GFSv16? Because that was showing it, now it is not. Would be very interesting if it did indeed show the way, only to abandon it later on. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Link Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 1 hour ago, Chewbacca Defense said: Oh COOL! They must be soliciting feedback before tweaking the programming on the weather generating machine and chemtrail sprayer profiles? New HARRP and SBX microwave operations. Watch the changes come fruition this spring onwards. Book it! ✔ Of course it's our fossil fuels at fault and cow farts. Only the government can fix it when they can't fix themselves. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 The 18z will be so good people will be cheering in the streets. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 Last 4 runs at day 6.5. getting to the important part of the run now. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 Awfully quiet the last couple hours... Nobody getting an early start to the weekend? Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 That is a wicked trend west over the last four runs. Great to see... though let’s not push it too far west! 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 ooooh.... this is looking really good for the D8-D10 timeframe... 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: ooooh.... this is looking really good for the D8-D10 timeframe... Better merging of ridges too 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 I don't mean to insinuate anything here, but usually you don't see cold snaps unless models all trend better within ten days. That's from my admittedly amateur experience watching these things since 2014. 3 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 Really nice look on the GFS 18z by 210hr. Further west with the GOA ridge allows the backdoor shot to come further west. Nice 1047mb high near the border by 222hr with weak gradients. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 Regional snowstorm 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 Nice snow event. Lol wxmet beat me to it. 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 Obviously this means ~nothing, but that's the problem. To anyone for whom going to weather.com is an in depth look at a forecast....well, they're gonna see it. Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 This is a think of beauty 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 Hell of a good trend the last 4 runs . . . 3 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 It snows in Portland for over a day and half straight Just now, Timmy said: This is a think of beauty Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, bainbridgekid said: Hell of a good trend the last 4 runs . . . It's so beautiful.... 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 Crazy similar timing to 2019. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: It snows in Portland for over a day and half straight looks like 3 days Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 Just now, BLI snowman said: Crazy similar timing to 2019. It really is...right around Super Bowl Sunday things start getting interesting. Wild! 2 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 29, 2021 Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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