February 2021 PacNW Weather Discussion

[SilverFallsAndrew]

6 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

The stronger arctic front is a step towards the Euro and will suck the low pressure north in feature runs.

A stronger arctic push could suppress the low. 

[The Swamp]

GOLU special inbound this week

[Frontal Snowsquall]

6 minutes ago, nwsnow said:

I don't trust the NAM at all at this range but what the heck.

 

Still snowing at the end

Kuchera looks a little better for snowfall amounts.

[Jesse]

7 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Hey man, I'm still trying to get rid of some of mine as well. I'm far from the most mature person on the forum and I do often show it in my posts, but my genuine interest in weather makes me continue posting frequently.

What was up with your friend from the other forum? Although in your defense it seemed like you didn't condone his antics.

[MossMan]

I am by far the most mature poster on the forum!! 
Now where the hell is my snow!!! ️ 

[Slushy Inch]

NAM at the end has what the GFS showed a day ago, throwing this run out.

[Bryant]

Just now, MossMan said:

I am by far the most mature poster on the forum!! 
Now where the hell is my snow!!! ️ 

We need to get the snow dance under way so this thing trends north!

[MossMan]

Interesting...Down to 31 and yet the frogs are quite loud! 

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, Bryant said:

We need to get the snow dance under way so this thing trends north!

Absolutely!! I just finished doing the Macarena...Hoping that does the trick! 

[TheNewCulverJosh]

What's your elevation? Requiem?

 

Edit: I mean K12...

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Speaking to the power of this airmass. My old home of Bartlesville, Oklahoma went below freezing at 6pm on Saturday evening and their warmest forecast high through next Monday is 24. The forecast for Sunday is 14/-2. If that verified it would be the coldest they've had a max that low this late in the season, and tied for their 3rd coldest max on record in February. If they manage to hit -2 it would also be their latest sub-zero reading on record. Pretty impressive forecast considering they have no snow cover. 

[Deweydog]

Nice to see the NAM back to being the NAM.  I like things in life you can count on.

[Skagit Weather]

I would like to request a serving of the Hi-Res NAM. 3" would make me quite happy going into this cold snap. 34/28 outside currently.

[Requiem]

2 minutes ago, TheNewCulverJosh said:

What's your elevation? Requiem?

 

Edit: I mean K12...

850’, or so.

[TheNewCulverJosh]

2 minutes ago, Requiem said:

850’, or so.

I think your area will be the big winner in the PDX metro area.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

I've become so spoiled by the West Coast. 30˚F now feels as cold as 15˚F used to.

[Front Ranger]

28 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

Found on Twitter, from Burnsville, MN tonight, where it’s -6 f.

International Falls, MN put up a -11/-30 yesterday. And plenty more cold to come this week.

[Phil]

57 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

QBO doesn't matter now?

The QBO is actually in-between right now, westerlies 50mb/descending easterly shear. And it’s through shear stress that the majority  of seasonal scale correlations arise.

[RentonHill]

11 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Interesting...Down to 31 and yet the frogs are quite loud! 

I just noticed this last night too...frogs were going craZy!!

[TheNewCulverJosh]

1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said:

I just noticed this last night too...frogs were going craZy!!

Avatars not withstanding.

[Phil]

37 minutes ago, Jesse said:

K12 and I’m pretty sure he’s a he.

I also thought K12 was a she.

[Phil]

35 minutes ago, Requiem said:

One might say that I’ve subconsciously blocked out some of my more embarrassing posting habits 

I’ve got you beat by a country mile on that front. There’s nothing wrong with your posts.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

15 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Interesting...Down to 31 and yet the frogs are quite loud! 

30˚F here and none to be heard (and I live on the edge of a wetland greenbelt). They are doubtless burrowing down in the mud at the base of their pond—as they should be. Their little froggie pond is gonna freeze over soon.

[Bryant]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

I’ve got you beat by a country mile on that front. There’s nothing wrong with your posts.

Your posts on the other hand really f***ing suck

 

Jk

[Rubus Leucodermis]

2 minutes ago, Phil said:

I’ve got you beat by a country mile on that front. There’s nothing wrong with your posts.

Agreed on both points.

[Front Ranger]

4 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

I just noticed this last night too...frogs were going craZy!!

They know it's about to get COLD, and they are not happy.

[bainbridgekid]

14 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Interesting...Down to 31 and yet the frogs are quite loud! 

They're just sounding the alarm. They know their home will be frozen in a week.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

36 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

Found on Twitter, from Burnsville, MN tonight, where it’s -6 f.

Burnsville? Shoulda named it Freezesville.

[Phil]

10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Speaking to the power of this airmass. My old home of Bartlesville, Oklahoma went below freezing at 6pm on Saturday evening and their warmest forecast high through next Monday is 24. The forecast for Sunday is 14/-2. If that verified it would be the coldest they've had a max that low this late in the season, and tied for their 3rd coldest max on record in February. If they manage to hit -2 it would also be their latest sub-zero reading on record. Pretty impressive forecast considering they have no snow cover. 

That’s legit. One heck of a pattern for sure.

We’ll be riding the baroclinic gradient so should make for some prolonged winter weather here as well. Pretty much everywhere except Florida can score in this pattern.

[awright-31]

Getting closer to GFS time. Hoping it begins to cave to the Euro and brings the low back further north towards the WA/OR line. We will see, I suppose.

[Phil]

2 minutes ago, Bryant said:

Your posts on the other hand really f***ing suck

 

Jk

I’m trying to get better. I promise. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Icon caving towards gfs

[Blizzard777]

1 hour ago, Hawksfan2008 said:

Sometimes I wonder, is the model riding more fun than the event itself? This is a blast! 

What’s sad is the model rampage continues while the actual event is happening outside!!!

[wxmet]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Icon caving towards gfs

They look like they're worlds apart.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

At this point I’ve totally given up waiting for the models to behave themselves and be useful, and I’m just having fun watching this thing unfold.

[Blizzard777]

47 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

Found on Twitter, from Burnsville, MN tonight, where it’s -6 f.

That’s kind of creepy!

[jcmcgaffey]

19 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

I just noticed this last night too...frogs were going craZy!!

Birds were going crazy on our bird feeder the last 2-3 days. Emptied the whole thing when previously it took a month. That commonly happens before bouts of cold weather or before a strong weather system. 

[Slushy Inch]

8 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Icon caving towards gfs

The ICON is not like any of the other models so its not caving to anything.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z NAM had some snow, and even colder. 850s Gorge -17c, but get this? -19c to -23c banked up against the east slopes of the Washington Cascades.

[Blizzard777]

35 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I am by far the most mature poster on the forum!! 
Now where the hell is my snow!!! ️ 

You are SOLID!