PNW February 2022 - Winters Last Stand

[snow_wizard]

7 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Gonna end up a +1.1°F departure today and around a +3°F tomorrow. Good for a -2°F monthly departure. Not bad!

Got that DJF below avg trifecta. Much, much different than much of the rest of the west coast.

We did OK this winter.  If we can just get January on board one of these years...

[smerfylicious]

Passes are looking good, snow levels aren't particularly awful given how incredibly dry it's been. This precip blast should get the levels back up as well. 

Would be nice to have another trough or 2 in March, we'll just have to see what happens!

[Jbolin]

1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

I suspect predictability will be very low over the next few weeks. #SSWing

The ride goes full heart shape in the first three frames.

 

Precursor?

[smerfylicious]

In case y'all miss the winter a bit, it's dumping big flakes in Leavenworth:

 

 

[Gradient Keeper]

Water Vapor is looking superjuiced. Might call this the Barry Bonds of ARs

12z GFS in 2 hours 2 minutes

[TT-SEA]

Holy rain batman!  

Over 3.5 inches here since yesterday morning and 1.5 inches just since midnight.

SEA is at 2.21 inches for this event and now over 3 inches for the month and will probably lock in a wetter than normal February by noon today... and the heavy rain will continue through this evening.   

OLM is over 2.50 inches for this event and already .76 on the day.

[TT-SEA]

One more SEA stat... now over 30 inches of rain since October 1st which is just about 5 inches above normal.  

[Anti Marine Layer]

Last day of meteorological winter today.

[TacomaWaWx]

0.92” yesterday 0.66” this morning. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

56 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Water Vapor is looking superjuiced. Might call this the Barry Bonds of ARs

12z GFS in 2 hours 2 minutes

Is it using steroids?

[TacomaWaWx]

Euro looks pretty chilly this time next week. Pretty chilly in early March is low to mid 40s though. Takes something somewhat special to get the goods in the lowlands by this time of year. 

[TT-SEA]

Looks like the SEA radar is down again.

[TT-SEA]

Actually the coastal radar and the SEA radar went down at the same time about 45 minutes ago now.   

[RentonHill]

7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Actually the coastal radar and the SEA radar went down at the same time about 45 minutes ago now.   

o snap russkies coming?

[TT-SEA]

8 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

o snap russkies coming?

Back up and the missing frames were updated as well.   USA... USA!  

[Blizzard777]

Rainstorm total 2.24

Current day .90

Current rain rate .16

Conclusion : wet!

50*

[TacomaWaWx]

51 here feels pretty warm. Just went over 1” of rain so far this morning…1.92” storm total in less than 24 hours. 2.72” for February. Not a very dry month anymore technically 

[MossMan]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Holy rain batman!  

Over 3.5 inches here since yesterday morning and 1.5 inches just since midnight.

SEA is at 2.21 inches for this event and now over 3 inches for the month and will probably lock in a wetter than normal February by noon today... and the heavy rain will continue through this evening.   

OLM is over 2.50 inches for this event and already .76 on the day.

I’m at about .40 since yesterday morning! 
It is currently dumping though. 

[TacomaWaWx]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

I’m at about .40 since yesterday morning! 
It is currently dumping though. 

Wow pretty rare occasion that I might actually end up with more precip than you this month. 

[BLI snowman]

3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I’m at about .40 since yesterday morning! 
It is currently dumping though. 

Dumping here too!

Pretty wide baroclinic band this morning. Heavy rain from Eugene-north right now.

[TacomaWaWx]

1.10” now just this morning after 0.92” yesterday afternoon/evening. 

[MossMan]

Current snow pile status! 

[TT-SEA]

SEA is now at 1.05 since midnight... and 3.40 inches on the month.     Normal rainfall for February is 3.79 inches... and should pass that easily this morning.

[SnowySeeker50]

Over 2.5 inches since it started raining yesterday. 1.09 inches since midnight

[MossMan]

35 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Wow pretty rare occasion that I might actually end up with more precip than you this month. 

I’m at 2.59” for the month, much of that was snow melt through the gauge. 

[TT-SEA]

Very rapid rise in progress on the Snoqualmie River... heading towards major flooding later today.    

 

[GHweatherChris]

1.07" of rain since midnight, 3.19" wtd, 5.9" mtd.

[Omegaraptor]

Over half an inch of rain since midnight. Too bad it’s warm rain but it’s doing something for the soil moisture at least. Hopefully plenty of mountain snow comes later on.

[jakerepp]

.74'' yesterday, and already .25'' today.

Quite the soaker.

[RentonHill]

2 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

.74'' yesterday, and already .25'' today.

Quite the soaker.

mega rain shadow for you. I'm at 1.35 today and hit 1.10 yesterday

[The Blob]

Well my rain jacket couldn't hold up on the walk to and from school drop off. Total weenie.

[Meatyorologist]

I'm glad @TT-SEA finds it as hilarious as I do that February will end up wetter than normal in western WA due to today, despite the overwhelmingly dry nature of this month. January faced a similar conundrum, instead during the beginning of the month, and not all in one day! 

Already 1.03" just a third of the way through the day (8am/16z), with even heavier rain settling in. KSEA could feasibly meet or surpass their entire average February precipitation total in a single day. The hell man

[TigerWoodsLibido]

0.12" since midnight. Much better than yesterday.

[TacomaWaWx]

1.25” now. Will have to look at the wx records when I get home but it might be the wettest February day in several years. 

[TT-SEA]

10 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I'm glad @TT-SEA finds it as hilarious as I do that February will end up wetter than normal in western WA due to today, despite the overwhelmingly dry nature of this month. January faced a similar conundrum, instead during the beginning of the month, and not all in one day! 

Already 1.03" just a third of the way through the day (8am/16z), with even heavier rain settling in. KSEA could feasibly meet or surpass their entire average February precipitation total in a single day. The hell man

Ignoring the strange timing of the rain events... SEA will likely be well over +6 inches for the water year after today.    So no matter how you slice it... it has been a very wet fall and winter in the Seattle area.

[TT-SEA]

Side note... SEA finished 2021 with 43.33 inches of rain which is also well above normal.

Doing some quick math and assuming SEA ends up with at least 4.25 inches for February (only need another .73 so this is conservative)... this will end up being the 6th or 7th wettest fall/winter period ever at SEA.     The top dog was 1950-51 with 40.19 inches.     This year will likely end up around 34.50 inches for Sept-Feb period.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Haven’t seen the radar like this over Portland for awhile over .75” on the day and counting temp finally warmed up to 55 after a 44/36 day yesterday 

 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

18 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Ignoring the strange timing of the rain events... SEA will likely be well over +6 inches for the water year after today.    So no matter how you slice it... it has been a very wet fall and winter in the Seattle area.

And in the south valley we're right back to being several inches below normal for the water year. It gets worse every year.

[BLI snowman]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Haven’t seen the radar like this over Portland for awhile over .75” on the day and counting temp finally warmed up to 55 after a 44/36 day yesterday 

 

I just hope Joshua is happy.

[Meatyorologist]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Ignoring the strange timing... SEA will likely be well over +6 inches for the water year after today.    So no matter how you slice it... it has been a very wet fall and winter in the Seattle area.

This wet season has been a tale of two parts, from a very wet September through early January, to a nearly record breakingly dry 50 day-ish period since. As for temperatures, it's been refreshing to see deep Arctic air in December not immediately answered by torching. Got pretty used to that since 2012.

This has been the coolest winter up this way since 2016-17, and even that winter torched hard in November. The one warm month this Sept-Feb wet season (Nov) just edged mild, not very torchy. La Niña has lived up to its name here.