snow_wizard Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 minute ago, TacomaWx said: Pretty awesome tonight watching it snow a bit outside while watching the models run. Things are looking pretty good right now. Not a fan of the trend with the low going up far enough north to kinda scour out the cold air here and in BC (from an 850mb perspective still chilly at the surface) but I’ll always take short term improvements and hope the stuff down the road trends better. I don't think anything was worse tonight. 7 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 3 minutes ago, Requiem said: What a sadistic run for PDX lol 100 miles further south and that low would probably get the job done. Still enough time for it to change. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 00z Euro Day 6: 4 Run Trend: 3 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 minute ago, DeepFriedEgg said: Man that low track is going to have to be perfect for PDX snow on Friday The low track isn’t all that critical. The air mass just isn’t particularly cold. 5 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: I don't think anything was worse tonight. Pretty good set up for a reload. Stays pretty chilly throughout. That’s probably the only little thing I could nitpick overall this is very good stuff tonight. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I have no vested in NW King County for FWIW. I really think that area does well tomorrow night. I envision a very tight gradient somewhere around Shoreline give or take ~10 miles with 3-5" North of that line and T-2" South of it. Feeling quite good about my chances here in South Everett. 4 1 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 3 1 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I have no vested in NW King County for FWIW. I really think that area does well tomorrow night. If you miss out and need a snow fix, I have some leftover turkey and a warm place. Happy to share sometime! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 5 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: what is your preferred rapid 1 hour hi res model? In my post earlier, I think the HRRR hour-old run was 5° too warm with dew point too low by 4.5 for my coordinates. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 That thing early next week really looks interesting on this run. 6 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 How early is this thing supposed to start? This looks odd. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 24.9 3 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Just now, 12345WeatherNerd said: How early is this thing supposed to start? This looks odd. Video.mov We’ve been getting flurries here on and off for the last hour. Gonna start late tomorrow morning for real. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 minute ago, Perturbed Member said: 100 miles further south and that low would probably get the job done. Still enough time for it to change. I definitely think there's a chance (how much ever slim) for some excitement down here but it definitely feels like a real bummer of a situation. Sorta like February 2019 without the east side snow on that one day. Still could change and crossing my fingers for it 6 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Just now, MossMan said: 24.9 Wow that’s pretty cold! Especially for someone who lives at sea level next to the freeway 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Just now, MossMan said: 24.9 Got me beat by .4 degrees! This is the difference in how you always score 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 4 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said: 100 miles further south and that low would probably get the job done. Still enough time for it to change. Plenty of time the way things have been going run to run. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Ohhhh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 7 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: what is your preferred rapid 1 hour hi res model? Nowcast and Streetlight Watching. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Just now, 12345WeatherNerd said: How early is this thing supposed to start? This looks odd. Video.mov The main system is not here yet, but I think there is some minor convergence (?) going on on the SE side of the Olympics near Tacoma. 3 Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I don't think anything was worse tonight. The 00Z Euro came in slightly colder and snowier (and earlier with the timing) IMBY. 5 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post SouthHillFrosty Posted November 29, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 So it begins 13 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HuskyMaestro Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Running on 4 hours of sleep cause of school so I can’t stay for the night shift but this was worth it. I’m liking what I’m seeing with the trends, all I needed to know for a comfy sleep tonight. 6 𝘐𝘯 𝘮𝘺 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘭𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘥𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘮𝘴, 𝘐 𝘴𝘦𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘰𝘸𝘯. 𝘗𝘶𝘺𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘶𝘱. Reddit: HotlineMaestro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Euros trying to drop the hammer. 7 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Ohhhh Snohhhh??? 2 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 00z Euro Day 7: 4 Run Trend: 1 2 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 If we just had block support after Day 7 we would see a frigid blast... IF. ALMOST. COULD BE. PERHAPS. MAYBE. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: So it begins That’s gotta be a good sign 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 We are talking some minor adjustments and bam, that is a great snap. Some favorable adjustments would include the very same ones that almost ruined this week. 7 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Just now, Gradient Keeper said: If we just had block support the next after Day 7 we would see a frigid blast... IF. ALMOST. COULD BE. PERHAPS. MAYBE. Pretty darn close but just not quite. Still a very exciting good run. Plenty of time for things to change a week from now. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: If we just had block support the next after Day 7 we would see a frigid blast... IF. ALMOST. COULD BE. PERHAPS. MAYBE. PLENTY of time for this to happen. Oh so very close. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Looking a little more active tonight than anticipated @TacomaWx 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Wet Bulb temps (halfway between temp and DP) will be important to watch because they give a good idea how much evaporative cooling may be possible. Plenty of wiggle room from Seattle North right now. Seems like a setup where temps will rise into the mid-upper 30's late morning before the moisture gets here but drop down to freezing fairly quick once things pick up later in the day. BLI: 18.5 Everett: 24.5 SEA: 26.5 OLM: 29 9 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: So it begins Haven’t had any accumulation like that so far tonight but it’s been snowing for almost an hour very lightly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: If we just had block support after Day 7 we would see a frigid blast... IF. ALMOST. COULD BE. PERHAPS. MAYBE. Hopefully the EPS will show more block support. 4 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 51 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepFriedEgg Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 Really need to see some improvements on the EPS tonight for day 6 and beyond 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: We are talking some minor adjustments and bam, that is a great snap. Some favorable adjustments would include the very same ones that almost ruined this week. Exactly, and let's not gloss over the obvious shift east at HR 24-48. If that continues things will be a bit colder yet Tuesday night-Saturday. Jet suppression would help too! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 11 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: I envision a very tight gradient somewhere around Shoreline give or take ~10 miles with 3-5" North of that line and T-2" South of it. Feeling quite good about my chances here in South Everett. That sounds reasonable. 3 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted November 29, 2022 Report Share Posted November 29, 2022 25.9° / 24.7° here -- Let's ride! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by smerfylicious,
Congrats!!!
Recommended by Meatyorologist
40 reactions
Go to this post
Posted by SouthHillJimmy,
Welcome Jimmy!
Recommended by Meatyorologist
21 reactions
Go to this post