Anti Marine Layer Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 16 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Just wait until the mid-70’s show up in December or January. May not happen this year but it will happen soon, since it is now well within the bounds of our climate. We occasionally get low 90s in January here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 It’s really rather simple. June 2021’s heat wave showed +30°F departures from historic norms are now achievable. Last October’s temperature readings showed such departures are no fluke. Add 30 to December or January historic norms and you have maxima well into the 70’s Fahrenheit. It may not be coming this year, but it’s coming. 2 1 1 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 Really just an ugly progression being shown for the last 1/3 of the month. Wonder if this is all part of Jim’s plan. 1 2 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 Did I miss a memo about posting blank black images or something? Half of page 106 is just blank images. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 22 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: It’s really rather simple. June 2021’s heat wave showed +30°F departures from historic norms are now achievable. Last October’s temperature readings showed such departures are no fluke. Add 30 to December or January historic norms and you have maxima well into the 70’s Fahrenheit. It may not be coming this year, but it’s coming. Valley geography doesn’t really allow that. What setup can even get, say, Salem or Eugene to 75 in January? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 3 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Valley geography doesn’t really allow that. What setup can even get, say, Salem or Eugene to 75 in January? Winds and downsloping will be necessary. Else surface inversion will make achieving such readings impossible. 1 2 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 25 and freezing fog 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 7 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: 25 and freezing fog Sounds wintery. The way you’ve been going on I’d think it’s been warm there lately. 1 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 42 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: It’s really rather simple. June 2021’s heat wave showed +30°F departures from historic norms are now achievable. Last October’s temperature readings showed such departures are no fluke. Add 30 to December or January historic norms and you have maxima well into the 70’s Fahrenheit. It may not be coming this year, but it’s coming. Our average Jan high temp is 42F. We hit 66F in Jan 2015. So Def getting closer 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 Had a low of 24 this morning. 11th freeze, 8th in a row. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 37 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Really just an ugly progression being shown for the last 1/3 of the month. Wonder if this is all part of Jim’s plan. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 Great write up on how Tonga and Southern Hemisphere Stratospheric cooling could ((((((Potentially)))))) influence our winter https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/stratosphere-polar-vortex-cooling-event-update-cold-anomaly-winter-season-influence-fa/ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 Currently sitting at 38 after a low of 26. Looks like another day in the 50s today so should have another decent temperature spread for today. 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 51 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 Some lows this morning: PDX 33 SLE 26 HIO 23 EUG 23 CVO 22 Medford 26 Redmond 14 K-Falls 15 La Grande 12 Baker City 10 Burns 6 1 4 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 17 minutes ago, Deweydog said: 1 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Some lows this morning: PDX 33 SLE 26 HIO 23 EUG 23 CVO 22 Medford 26 Redmond 14 K-Falls 15 La Grande 12 Baker City 10 Burns 6 Looks like VUO (Vancouver) hit an impressive 25. Ended up falling to 30 here around sunrise Andrew 2 1 1 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 Looks like the 12z Euro wants to go for a much more suppressed look later next week, compared to the GFS and GEM. 1 1 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 6 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Looks like VUO (Vancouver) hit an impressive 25. Ended up falling to 30 here around sunrise Andrew We hit 30 AS WELL, a bit warmer than yesterday morning. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 4 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Looks like the 12z Euro wants to go for a much more suppressed look later next week, compared to the GFS and GEM. I hope its catching onto something and the other models catch up. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 2 hours ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: BC is going to get absolutely hosed mid/late next week. An AR looks to set up shop and be close to stationary for about 60 hours. Extreme NW Washington should fare well too, but most of Oregon and Washington will get the leftover slops as it peters out. I'm impressed that you can see with such certainty that far in the future. Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 (edited) Getting very warm in my truck that is sitting in the sun at the walk in clinic where I have been waiting for 3hrs for them to come and get me. Feels good! Edited November 16, 2022 by MossMan 2 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 31 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Some lows this morning: PDX 33 SLE 26 HIO 23 EUG 23 CVO 22 Medford 26 Redmond 14 K-Falls 15 La Grande 12 Baker City 10 Burns 6 1 in LAKEVIEW is Oregon’s cold spot this morning it seemz. Maybe Seneca or Fort Rock could have gotten colder. Right across the state line it was also 1 in Alturas and that is CA’s cold spot. Speaking of which I have a friend here with family in Fort Rock. Small world. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 1 hour ago, Phishy Wx said: 25 and freezing fog Us too with the freezing fog and having all trees still covered in white frost. 5 Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 15 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: 1 in LAKEVIEW is Oregon’s cold spot this morning it seemz. Maybe Seneca or Fort Rock could have gotten colder. Right across the state line it was also 1 in Alturas and that is CA’s cold spot. Speaking of which I have a friend here with family in Fort Rock. Small world. Looks like Fort Rock and Christmas Valley hit 0. 4 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Looks like Fort Rock and Christmas Valley hit 0. We stayed in a little shack in Christmas valley one time in early April 2014. It snowed. 4 1 2 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 35 minutes ago, AlTahoe said: I hope its catching onto something and the other models catch up. It’s really a worlds better pattern overall. 2 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 Euro Control is better and stays good/blue 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 16, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 Before Y'all know it, there is more snow coming to the PNW Mountain Ranges for Thanksgiving! Would anyone mind freezing their Turkeys up there? 2 Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 24 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Euro Control is better and stays good/blue This pattern is going to rock for mountain snowpack. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 All aboard the 'ol LOL Control! FTW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 1 hour ago, MossMan said: Getting very warm in my truck that is sitting in the sun at the walk in clinic where I have been waiting for 3hrs for them to come and get me. Feels good! Is it the clap? 1 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 13 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: All aboard the 'ol LOL Control! FTW Hey these control runs aren't bad 2 weeks out. Just 12 hours earlier GFS C showed 143 inches total Kuchera snowfall for this spot, now 58". That's not even a 100" difference. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 Pretty decent agreement with the operational on the Euro ensembles. A cooler and active pattern with ARs extending down into CA is much preferable to the days of dry SW flow torching the other models are showing. 8 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 9 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Is it the clap? Not this time! Bronchitis from the initial nasty virus that I had and is going around. I got to be part of a Everett Clinic record attendance this morning! 1 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 Temps running much cooler over the metro area today so far compared to the last two days. East wind has switched to more of a gap signature as opposed to downslope for the time being, see the switch ESE wind today at PDX. 46 for a high so far here. 3 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: Not this time! Bronchitis from the initial nasty virus that I had and is going around. I got to be part of a Everett Clinic record attendance this morning! I can’t remember the last time I actually went to the doctor for cold or flu stuff. Maybe when I was under 10? Even when we had covid last January. 1 2 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 6 minutes ago, MossMan said: Not this time! Bronchitis from the initial nasty virus that I had and is going around. I got to be part of a Everett Clinic record attendance this morning! Having the same shiit…. Went to dr yesterday and said I have bronchitis. Was told it to come into work since last Friday. There is a really nasty virus going around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 16 minutes ago, MossMan said: Not this time! Bronchitis from the initial nasty virus that I had and is going around. I got to be part of a Everett Clinic record attendance this morning! This is no joke. My kids brought it home about a month ago. First kid out a week, next kid out the next week. They both got something else the week after that and we've been playing this game for the better part of a month. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 16, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 Yeah, bronchitis is nasty, I had it combined with a Triple Infection in November 2020. Was out of school for an entire week 1 2 Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted November 16, 2022 Report Share Posted November 16, 2022 Looks windee on Thursday 3 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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