Everleigh Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 35.8° and we still have this misty drizzle falling. Or...hovering around. Still a bit foggy too. I vote no wind and more snow. My janky fake gates can't handle the wind and I'd like to keep the doggos IN the yard. lol Plus, if the wind is big enough Mister ends up having to go into work. (He works for TPU. He's not in the field anymore, he's what I affectionately refer to as an "office b*tch" now. Lol) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, administrator said: I'm going to enjoy this dopamine high until someone from North Bend inevitably shares a Judah tweet about how the EPS has shifted all of the blue on the map between Baltimore and Boston and a mega ridge with SW flow will make the local palm trees sing Mele Kalikimaka. Eddie is the Euro. You can guess who the GFS is. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, Olive1010 said: what do strong east winds look like on wind gradient. Or isobars? Like a big warm Christmas hug from squiggly lines. Kohls gift card for who can guess the date! 5 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Currently cloudy and 33.8 degrees. 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 21 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Sadly not a ton of ensemble support for the operational 12z Euro. EPS still keeps us in a generally chilly pattern though. So the upgraded EPS is an outlier. That's understandable 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 2016-2017 was nice. Definitely shared the wealth as a whole-- even 1/10/17 notwithstanding. I would welcome a repeat this year. 2 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 20 minutes ago, administrator said: I'm going to enjoy this dopamine high until someone from North Bend inevitably shares a Judah tweet about how the EPS has shifted all of the blue on the map between Baltimore and Boston and a mega ridge with SW flow will make the local palm trees sing Mele Kalikimaka. @Hawksfan2008would not do that. 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 4 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: So the upgraded EPS is an outlier. That's understandable Thanks for bumping my post back to this page. 2 3 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 27 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Sadly not a ton of ensemble support for the operational 12z Euro. EPS still keeps us in a generally chilly pattern though. Retrogression first week of January. I'll bet you $100 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Just now, RentonHillTC said: Retrogression first week of January. I'll bet you $100 We’ll be in Reykjavik that whole week, so I’ll take your bet in króna. 2 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Retrogression first week of January. I'll bet you $100 and by Retro i mean the greenland block will retro its big fat arse right on top of us 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said: We’ll be in Reykjavik that whole week, so I’ll take your bet in króna. me staring at my Norwegian Krone pile i've had for decades thinking this might be the perfect opportunity to get it out of here by hoping you wont notice the difference: BOOK IT 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Are these scud clouds going to skedaddle tonight? 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 1 hour ago, Olive1010 said: What are setups for snow and winter storms in the willamette valley? A few good ones. Best scenario is usually overrunning moisture atop established cold offshore flow out of the Gorge-- this usually occurs when a storm is either far enough south or comes in at an angle where southerly flow doesn't immediately scour out our cold air. 12/20/2008 is a great example of a very moist system arriving over frigid and extremely strong offshore winds-- therefore dumping a huge amount of snow. Occasionally when the airmass is cold enough we can do pretty well with "BC sliders" that dive down the coast from the north, or even cold onshore flow if things are chilly enough (though a pattern like this would absolutely favor the foothills and areas of higher elevation). Anafront setups with stalled boundaries are also a potential avenue into snow-- though I'd argue that these are some of the most inconsistent and difficult to predict setups for this area, requiring precise timing and placement of precipitation. A few of each kind: Suppressed low to the south with cold offshore flow in place: 2/6/2014, 1/1/2004, 1/10/2017 Pacific storm with copious moisture over cold offshore flow dragged in: 12/20/2008, 2/13/2021, 12/28/1996 Cold lows dropping in from the north: 12/14/2008, 2/20/2018, 2/22/2018 Cold onshore flow with chilly maritime airmass: 12/24/2021 6 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 6 minutes ago, MossMan said: Are these scud clouds going to skedaddle tonight? ECMWF says low clouds fill in everywhere this evening and stay until Thursday. Low clouds are already pretty thick here... much more melting happening then when it was sunny and the same temperature on Saturday. 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Won't happen as shown, but tremendous potential coming up. Will trend north. 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 43 minutes ago, fubario said: Where on the East coast are you? The "east coast" of West Seattle 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 1 hour ago, administrator said: My Grandma-in-Law who is with us has been on about how this year feels like the ones of her childhood, so that might be something, or that might mean Grandma needs her meds adjusted. old timers in these parts, "feels like a good 'ol Fashioned winter". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 3 hours ago, joelgombiner said: Observer error! Lame. Just cause I don't have to work Sundays doesn't mean they get them off! A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2022 Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 1 hour ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: I really believe what i said last night, something big is coming this winter. Could be a mega windstorm or a mega ice storm or mega arctic air and snow but something historical is coming i feel. it's gotta be our turn eventually for sure. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 10 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: old timers in these parts, "feels like a good 'ol Fashioned winter". too bad we just skipped fall 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HuskyMaestro Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Yeah, it's probably more similar to 12/14/16. Don't you love how Washington posters always root against our snow chances, obviously doesn't make a difference, but it is annoying. Really wish we could get a massive regional wide 8"+ snow event in the lowlands kind of like in the Midwest, from Medford to Vancouver, BC. It's just not possible, is it? Wish we could all score somehow. 2 𝘐𝘯 𝘮𝘺 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘭𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘥𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘮𝘴, 𝘐 𝘴𝘦𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘰𝘸𝘯. 𝘗𝘶𝘺𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘶𝘱. Reddit: HotlineMaestro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 51 minutes ago, MossMan said: Currently cloudy and 33.8 degrees. At least it's not 33.8F and RAINING 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 1 hour ago, SnowHawks said: I'll be Cliff Mass if you want me to be He mentioned being tired of the marginal snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 1 minute ago, HuskyMaestro said: Really wish we could get a massive regional wide 8"+ snow event in the lowlands kind of like in the Midwest, from Medford to Vancouver, BC. It's just not possible, is it? Wish we could all score somehow. Best is probably something like 2008 which featured multiple events with multiple tracks, to the point that just about everyone scored well, even though not everyone scored from every event. 8 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said: too bad we just skipped fall Fall lasted like 2 weeks in late October and early November then just went straight to winter basically. It’s crazy how we went from mid 80s and smoke to snow in about 6 weeks. There was even some lowland snow in early November so more like 3 weeks . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 2 hours ago, smerfylicious said: In case anyone is wondering the mountains are currently very happy In the south and central sections yes, but the Olympics and North Cascades look about average. Now if the GFS verified all regions would be very happy. 3 Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fircrest Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 1 hour ago, administrator said: My Grandma-in-Law who is with us has been on about how this year feels like the ones of her childhood, so that might be something, or that might mean Grandma needs her meds adjusted. My boss's Aunt Bonnie who is known to have dreams and visions that occasionally come true, had one not long ago where we got 3 feet of snow! It reminded me of the GFS. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 WEEKLIES The good. Should stay below normal temps the next 6 weeks! Also good, looks like maybe favorable snow pattern in January! The bad. East coast weather weenies might actually see the fun around the holidays. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HuskyMaestro Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Best is probably something like 2008 which featured multiple events with multiple tracks, to the point that just about everyone scored well, even though not everyone scored from every event. Will always love the winter of that year. I was mainly thinking of a large widespread single snow event where everyone scores at the same time. Just ain't possible probably with the microclimates but it doesn't stop me from wishing it, lol. 2 𝘐𝘯 𝘮𝘺 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘭𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘥𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘮𝘴, 𝘐 𝘴𝘦𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘰𝘸𝘯. 𝘗𝘶𝘺𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘶𝘱. Reddit: HotlineMaestro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Crazy when you think how little we know about past weather events here, talking going back 500 years. I always sit and wonder what we are capable of, and how much snow has fallen around here in the biggest events. I'm sure there was events much bigger than even 1880. Given how we are able to pull steady arctic air in here and having the ocean so close that if everything played out perfect we could really have some outrages storms around here. 4 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 32 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: and by Retro i mean the greenland block will retro its big fat arse right on top of us I thought you were joking until I saw the 500mb on the weeklies. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive1010 Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 where does the east wind coming from the gorge near portland coming from? Where does the cold air originate? Weather! Atmospheric conditions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 This what you guys want to see? Pepto for all 2 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive1010 Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 this model looks high Weather! Atmospheric conditions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 13 minutes ago, HuskyMaestro said: Will always love the winter of that year. I was mainly thinking of a large widespread single snow event where everyone scores at the same time. Just ain't possible probably with the microclimates but it doesn't stop me from wishing it, lol. The most widespread regional events have mostly come from systems associated with strong Arctic fronts. Those have been known to deliver accumulations all the way from Bellingham to Salem or even Eugene. But as has been well-documented, quite a while since the PNW has seen one. 2 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 1 hour ago, TacomaWx said: February 2021. Didn’t go too far south of PDX though. 12/20/08 and 1/6/2004 were the most widespread ones I can think of. 1/1/2004 was pretty widespread too if I recall. I know PDX to Eugene got snow, and I thought Seattle did too. 2 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 8 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: This what you guys want to see? Pepto for all Cliff Mass gonna need some Pepto before NYE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, Olive1010 said: this model looks high Was it 420 when you pulled this? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 22 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: Fall lasted like 2 weeks in late October and early November then just went straight to winter basically. It’s crazy how we went from mid 80s and smoke to snow in about 6 weeks. There was even some lowland snow in early November so more like 3 weeks . We never had a fall up here this year... Or much of a spring either. Snow falling (though not sticking) in May, and then accumulating snow on November 2nd after a record warm October. Bonkers. 2 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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