Requiem Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Would definitely be nice to see the EURO throw Oregonians a bone. After more than a few years of Washington-centric snow events something like February 2014 would be welcome. 9 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Does anyone have the 500mb anomaly maps for the ICON? Tropical tidbits doesn't have those maps and I was wondering how they looked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yellowstone Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 19 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: By Christmas Day... Ok, I’m sorry, I love the Oregon posters but LOCK. IT. IN. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Are there more model runs to analyze tomorrow or is it a day off? What a week this going to be! I think we should do a group activity tomorrow. Maybe lazer tag or Wild Waves. I’d say naked badminton but that seems more like a third date kind of thing. 1 1 2 1 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: JMA is kool Hey Japan is the best Ever watch Kamen rider or Super Sentai Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Requiem said: Would definitely be nice to see the EURO throw Oregonians a bone. After more than a few years of Washington-centric snow events something like February 2014 would be welcome. It’s all clown range at this point. What matters is that this is a situation fraught with possibility. 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: I think we should do a group activity tomorrow. Maybe lazer tag or Wild Waves. I’d say naked badminton but that seems more like a third date kind of thing. A shot for every inch of snow GFS has. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Gfs ensembles still not really on board at all. It needs to increase its membership from 30 to 50 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: I think we should do a group activity tomorrow. Maybe lazer tag or Wild Waves. I’d say naked badminton but that seems more like a third date kind of thing. Promise nobody wants to see me naked. Not at my age or current weight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 The one consistent theme I’ve seen from the GFS since last month is it always wants to bury the Seattle area. I think it’s safe to assume why, with the Olympics directly to the west of the city and the Cascades to the east, this area gets blended in. The reality doesn’t always work in the favor of the model’s predictions. With numerous upgrades its done, just seems to be getting worse. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Good GEFS shift for next week. Much better block. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, Doinko said: Does anyone have the 500mb anomaly maps for the ICON? Tropical tidbits doesn't have those maps and I was wondering how they looked Great looking pattern and cold on ICON... but oddly very dry. 3 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 00z UKMET looks like a compromise between the GEM and Euro. Sends the mother lode a lot further west but appears to be pivoting right over us through the end. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Great looking pattern and cold on ICON... but oddly very dry. Thanks. That would be a great blast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fubario Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Looking at these snow maps I want to say "Yeah...no". But, the last time I said that was last Thursday when my buddy said, "Watch. Baker Mayfield is going to drive the rams 98 yards for a TD and win this game." 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Great looking pattern and cold on ICON... but oddly very dry. Snowfall map is only about 1000x more believable than the ones showing Seattle getting 40". 1 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, Cloud said: The one consistent theme I’ve seen from the GFS since last month is it always wants to bury the Seattle area. I think it’s safe to assume why, with the Olympics directly to the west of the city and the Cascades to the east, this area gets blended in. The reality doesn’t always work in the model’s predictions. With numerous upgrades its done, just seems to be getting worse. You can look at wind direction, it is clearly staying offshore during the snow, which does allow for snow. It is not phantom snow, it's just a nutty fantasy setup. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 7 minutes ago, Requiem said: Would definitely be nice to see the EURO throw Oregonians a bone. After more than a few years of Washington-centric snow events something like February 2014 would be welcome. Euro already threw them a bone and EPS has been consistent. We won't see 40" of snow in Seattle, and Spokane won't smash its low temp record. But a nice round of moderate cold and snow will sink well into Oregon. It's all right there in ECMWF and EPS runs for 3 days now... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: 00z UKMET looks like a compromise between the GEM and Euro. Sends the mother lode a lot further west but appears to be pivoting right over us through the end. I can live with that solution. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lowlandsnow Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 00z GEFS is colder 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 I was up at 5 a.m. looking at the 06Z GFS... a run which seems pretty irrelevant right now. I would like to sleep now but just have to wait for the ECMWF. 6 2 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lowlandsnow Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Just now, lowlandsnow said: 00z GEFS is colder Low teens for Portland 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 9 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: A shot for every inch of snow GFS has. Tiger can be the DD! 2 1 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 6 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: 00z UKMET looks like a compromise between the GEM and Euro. Sends the mother lode a lot further west but appears to be pivoting right over us through the end. This is only 6 days out. Almost 3’ of snow in one day for the lucky winner. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: Tiger can be the DD! What's the DD? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I can live with that solution. Pretty close to ideal. Best possible setup for a snowy arctic front to swing through and drop south with the trough axis. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 Total snow per the 00Z GEFS through next Thursday... do the GEFS members have a different snow formula than the operational run? I would think even a couple GFS-like members would skew this way high. 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 26 minutes ago, Deweydog said: I’m actually more worried for folks in the PS than anything else. Could be a dangerous situation up there and they’ll need our thoughts, prayers and financial contributions. Please open up your lock boxes for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: This is only 6 days out. Almost 3’ of snow in one day for the lucky winner. Something like that happened in Mt Vernon a few years ago... absolutely buried there with very little snow elsewhere. I am sure that would shift a few miles north and park over Randy's house! 2 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 00z GEFS is colder yet with a major low level blast. That's getting very cold combined with east winds it would be bitter. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Total snow per the 00Z GEFS through next Thursday... do the GEFS members have a different snow formula than the operational run? I would think even a couple GFS-like members would skew this way high. The 500mb heights in GEFS are also very different, so I'm not surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: This is only 6 days out. Almost 3’ of snow in one day for the lucky winner. February 2011 redux but one county further South. 1 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I was up at 5 a.m. looking at the 06Z GFS... a run which seems pretty irrelevant right now. I would like to sleep now but just have to wait for the ECMWF. Yeah I need sleep more than ever but I can’t until the Euro is done. 3 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 13, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Tiger can be the DD! I miss driving... 2 8 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest administrator Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: This is only 6 days out. Almost 3’ of snow in one day for the lucky winner. My house is in the coral! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 1 minute ago, MossMan said: Yeah I need sleep more than ever but I can’t until the Euro is done. This may be quite useful for some folks as this week wears on. It’ll be a war of attrition. 2 2 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 20 minutes ago, Doinko said: Does anyone have the 500mb anomaly maps for the ICON? Tropical tidbits doesn't have those maps and I was wondering how they looked Pretty nice. 6 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 00z GEFS for The Dalles is incredibly frigid! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrozenBites Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 41 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: By Christmas Day... Crippling. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mid Valley Duck Posted December 13, 2022 Report Share Posted December 13, 2022 45 minutes ago, Requiem said: Shades of February 2021. We're very lucky to have the Gorge as a factor. Hopefully the lows trend south for those sorely in need of some winter weather S of Salem. Yay for living 10 miles south of Salem! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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