PNW December 2022 - Part II

[MikeInEverett]

Down to 14! Perfect night to drive around and look at Christmas lights with the snow cover.

[Guest hawkstwelve]

 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

No likey. 

I don't see much of a chance that the majority of the Portland metro escapes with less than 1/2" of ice.

What are your thoughts on Puget sound getting more snow than freezing rain? I feel like there is a good chance hood canal stays snow for a long duration. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

13 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Wow

Hoping most of that falls as sleet.

[Cascadia_Wx]

24 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

I forecasted 27 at midnight for PDX. Looks like they may shave a degree or two off that. Sub 25 would be sexier for posterity. Either way their high is almost guaranteed to come at midnight, which isn't something we've been able to say very often in recent cold seasons and is a hallmark of strong CAA.

I’ve been pretty impressed this evening. Definitely faster and stronger CAA than I’ve anticipated at this point in the game. I think there’s a good chance PDX stays in the low 20s tomorrow afternoon too.

[MossMan]

Bam! Single digits! Which is always odd to see on my weather station with one less digit lit up. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

Hoping most of that falls as sleet.

I have a bad feeling about this for you guys. It looks bad as modeled, you know D**n well it will go on much longer than what is being shown.  

[BLI snowman]

7 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

What are your thoughts on Puget sound getting more snow than freezing rain? I feel like there is a good chance hood canal stays snow for a long duration. 

Hood Canal will definitely preserve the cold a little longer at 850mb, they always do. It looks like they could keep the column snow friendly under 13z (5am) on Friday, so while still a fairly quick transition they may indeed stay all snow through the entirety of that first wave of moisture. Problem is that precip still just doesn't look especially heavy through that time in the Puget Sound, with no model showing more than 0.2" of QPF for anyone.

Friday morning's WAA looks pretty uniform, though. Gonna be a messy day.

Edited December 22, 2022 by BLI snowman

[HuskyMaestro]

3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Bam! Single digits! Which is always odd to see on my weather station with one less digit lit up. 

Pretty sure 9.9F is still two digits..

Sorry I'm bored. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

13.1˚F here but 8.8˚F at YVR.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

17 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

No likey. 

I don't see much of a chance that the majority of the Portland metro escapes with less than 1/2" of ice.

The GEM was most aggressive model for ZR in 2021 and still ended up under doing. 

[Requiem]

Definitely feels like a pre winter weather day with the cold winds now howling out of the east. How does the EURO look?

[mtep]

9* in south Bham! My '06 forester makes the most disgusting sound starting in this cold. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

How's the euro look?

[RentonHill]

Down to 17.1 after sitting around 19 for a while. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

How's the euro look?

No bueno 

[Requiem]

1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

No bueno 

Could we please get a zoom in on PDX for sleet, QPF, and ZR?

[BLI snowman]

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The GEM was most aggressive model for ZR in 2021 and still ended up under doing. 

Still scouring Portland out way too quick, as well. Its temp output is fairly laughable but it's actually colder than the other models. Here's Saturday morning. Note that gorge factory SLE is two degrees colder than PDX.

 

Let's just say that if Salem really is still below freezing on Saturday morning, then all of NW OR is gonna be in for a pretty ugly weekend.

[mtep]

3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

No bueno 

Could I see zr through 3pm friday? Supposed to fly out of seatac that afternoon... looking less and less likely now lol

[Jbolin]

4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

No bueno 

MINIMUM .40" ice accretion.

 

[Doinko]

2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Still scouring Portland out way too quick, as well. Its temp output is fairly laughable but it's actually colder than the other models. Here's Saturday morning. Note that gorge factory SLE is two degrees colder than PDX.

 

Let's just say that if Salem really is still below freezing on Saturday morning, then all of NW OR is gonna be in for a pretty ugly weekend.

GEM seems the most realistic with warming us up. A very nasty Gorge ice storm on it

[OysterPrintout]

6 minutes ago, Requiem said:

Could we please get a zoom in on PDX for sleet, QPF, and ZR?

ZR looks about how it looks. No sleet. Gofundme for Requiem WB subscription, we should encourage the youth

[BLI snowman]

3 minutes ago, Doinko said:

GEM seems the most realistic with warming us up. A very nasty Gorge ice storm on it

Yeah, even the "king" is still looking incredibly dopey with its insistence upon a splitting, relatively weak warm front taking Portland from 20 to about 40 inside of 48 hours with a saturated airmass and a raging east wind.

[Cold Snap]

Down to 14 now. Looks like I may witness single digit temps for the first time since Dec 2008 tonight!

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, Cold Snap said:

Down to 14 now. Looks like I may witness single digit temps for the first time since Dec 2008 tonight!

Duvall valley gets a little colder huh? I know Woodinville dropped to 8 degrees in 2008.

[Slushy Inch]

Windstorm potential coming up.

[Dave]

NWS says 32 for a high tomorrow. Currently at 35 but have winds from the north. We've got some work to do if we want to have any chance of finding that unicorn. Cloudy skies are unhelpful. Running out of time. Midnight will be here soon.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Down to 22 already out here and breezy east winds. Going to be a cold night!

[Guest hawkstwelve]

Down to 14fº in Everett. Only saw 4º of warming during the afternoon with temps dropping off at 1440.

 

[Ice_is_Everywhere]

3 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Windstorm potential coming up.

As if an ice storm wasn't enough...

[TigerWoodsLibido]

3 minutes ago, Dave said:

NWS says 32 for a high tomorrow. Currently at 35 but have winds from the north. We've got some work to do if we want to have any chance of finding that unicorn. Cloudy skies are unhelpful. Running out of time. Midnight will be here soon.

Pretty sure the streak is a lock to live on here. Still 35F and no signs of dropping anytime soon.

[Cold Snap]

6 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Duvall valley gets a little colder huh? I know Woodinville dropped to 8 degrees in 2008.

I live just over 400 feet up on the hill. Don’t know if that makes a difference though. The stations at the bottom of the hill in Duvall always seem to be a degree or two above the station that’s by my house. I hit 10 degrees twice in Feb 2019 and got down to 11 one night last December so I was very close those times.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

34 at Eugene 

[KingstonWX]

16 degrees here now. I think this is the lowest temperature here since I've lived in Kingston (since 2012). 

[dhoffine]

Getting windy out in Enumclaw, 14 degrees out, not sure of current wind chill, but has to be low...  

[Dave]

15 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Pretty sure the streak is a lock to live on here. Still 35F and no signs of dropping anytime soon.

Check your freezer for ice cream maybe. A well aimed chunk of it could be helpful if you could throw it on the sensor.

[Slushy Inch]

9 minutes ago, Ice_is_Everywhere said:

As if an ice storm wasn't enough...

Still eight days out.

[Slushy Inch]

7 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

I live just over 400 feet up on the hill. Don’t know if that makes a difference though. The stations at the bottom of the hill in Duvall always seem to be a degree or two above the station that’s by my house. I hit 10 degrees twice in Feb 2019 and got down to 11 one night last December so I was very close those times.

During cold nights like this it should actually be colder at lower elevations I believe.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

No reports from @Terreboner? I see reports of snow in central Oregon. 

[Doinko]

25 at PDX! Would be great if they can drop another 2 degrees or so