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PNW February 2023 Weather Discussion - Meteorological winter finale


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Wife says its dumping snow up at the house again, but so far just a dusting. Unfortunate we are burning through the bulk of available precip during the peak of daytime heating. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Wife says its dumping snow up at the house again, but so far just a dusting. Unfortunate we are burning through the bulk of available precip during the peak of daytime heating. 

Per the ECMWF... the same thing is happening up here.    Its been pretty consistent in showing the precip ending around King County by 5 p.m. today just when it starts to get dark.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Per the ECMWF... the same thing is happening up here.    Its been pretty consistent in showing the precip ending around King County by 5 p.m. today just when it starts to get dark.  

Precip actually keeps going until

after midnight down here, so I’m sure we ll get an inch. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Flakes were definitely falling just a bit ago. If there's any time I can rely on my elevation...

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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14 minutes ago, MossMan said:

That stupid NAM map sent me over the edge…I have had nearly 3” of rain in less than 3 days but when it becomes cold enough for snow I will get .02” (if I’m lucky) of precip over the next 4 days. 🤢🤮 
Then maybe 1.5” of slop Sunday morning before turning to rain! Yay! 

I’m ready for summer. 
I never sleep well when the power is out…It’s way too quiet. I’m cranky. 

If it makes you feel any better and as I’ve said in the previous post… I think I’ve gotten 1.5-2” all season. Most exciting was probably the flash freeze event and then the ice storm. 
 

Either way, meh, I don’t have much expectations for this time of year. Pretty much been ready for spring since I got back couple weeks ago. ☺️

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1 minute ago, Phishy Wx said:

dumping here too with nothing to show for it

34, DP 33

Well if Spokane isn't getting any accumulation, I certainly won't tonight then. Yet I'll still put my board out like a wide eyed newbie.

How's the wind up there? I bet you have much more of that NE wind now.

Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

Kind of a bummer. Progs look a bit less dynamic than they did 24-36 hours ago. Starting to look like a pretty traditional wringing out of remnant moisture as opposed to a widespread event with sustained isentropic lift. I imagine there will still be some echo training for some lucky folks though. 

Getting a fairly broad area with 1-2 inch totals going into a multi-day period of cold still seems possible. It isn't the 4-10 inch stuff some models had over the weekend but I think it would still please given our low bar here.  The 0.2 in PDX season total is at serious risk!

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Live look in Albany! 

77D183F5-04F5-42F0-95FB-D9C77CA848F1.jpeg

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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5 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

Well if Spokane isn't getting any accumulation, I certainly won't tonight then. Yet I'll still put my board out like a wide eyed newbie.

How's the wind up there? I bet you have much more of that NE wind now.

it's pretty calm currently.  awaiting the Arctic front.  looks like its south of Sandpoint now headed toward CDA

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6 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

The QPF king (ICON) keeps Portland almost entirely dry tomorrow on the 18z.

The QPF king that is either egregiously wet or far too dry 85% of the time?

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Pretty active line of showers moving through.  Temp dropped from 41 to 38 with some flakes and then soft hail.  Drove up Springwater Rd (above Estacada) and hit a 50/50 mix at 650ft.  At 1K temp was only 37 but patches of a slushy dusting in spots.  I was about 5 min ahead of the this shower line so temps will probably drop enough to put some snow down there.  I was in between showers as there as there was already a little snow.  Couldn't hang around and wait to see what was going to happen.  I was surprised the atmosphere had cooled this much to bring some splats down to 315' at my home. 

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It should be added that there is some phantom snow thrown into these 18z GFS totals since the GFS believes there will be some sticking snow before tomorrow night. IMO that would be pretty unlikely. 

Regardless, it shows a pretty nice progression for tomorrow night into Thursday AM. Would be snowy for much of the valley if it verifies. 

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Looks like I could be in a good spot . 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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17 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

It should be added that there is some phantom snow thrown into these 18z GFS totals since the GFS believes there will be some sticking snow before tomorrow night. IMO that would be pretty unlikely. 

Regardless, it shows a pretty nice progression for tomorrow night into Thursday AM. Would be snowy for much of the valley if it verifies. 

Yeah, all of this is probably phantom snow. Still a good 6-8" after that though

 

snku_acc-imp.us_nw.png

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13 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

It should be added that there is some phantom snow thrown into these 18z GFS totals since the GFS believes there will be some sticking snow before tomorrow night. IMO that would be pretty unlikely. 

Regardless, it shows a pretty nice progression for tomorrow night into Thursday AM. Would be snowy for much of the valley if it verifies. 

Not IMBY. Arctic front sweeps in tonight. Even a light snowfall could make a mess if it flash freezes.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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11 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Yeah, all of those is probably phantom snow. Still a good 6-8" after that though

 

snku_acc-imp.us_nw.png

I think it’s more like 4” unless snow sticks earlier than expected. The closer to Newberg you are, and the higher your elevation, the better. That NW/SE line will be brutal for someone if it happens as modeled. 

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2 minutes ago, thickhog said:

The closer to Newberg you are, and the higher your elevation, the better. That NW/SE line will be brutal for someone if it happens as modeled. 

I think your area will do pretty good. Nice to see that area probably in a good place for once

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