Deweydog Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Lives will be made.Cabin fever!!! My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ewnichols25 Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I had ~4" yesterday out in the yard, in a spot protected from the strong winds. Wind-exposed spots had far less snow accumulation and some unshaded lawns were already bare by this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Models for this storm show a foot for Seattle, and 2-3" for myself and others up in Whatcom County. So yeah, you can imagine the frustration Yes, I hope a band stalls over you or something. 2-3 inches is great, don't get me wrong, but not when everyone around you has a foot. 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Watched Mark's segment on the news, he showed the 12z ECMWF from Friday to Monday, he seemed pretty confident about the gorge dominating with the frigid east winds once each of these systems approach us. Mentioned how it might be snowing Saturday-Tuesday and possibly even Friday night if we manage to stay just cool enough. He's pretty hyped. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Watched Mark's segment on the news, he showed the 12z ECMWF from Friday to Monday, he seemed pretty confident about the gorge dominating with the frigid east winds once each of these systems approach us. Mentioned how it might be snowing Saturday-Tuesday and possibly even Friday night if we manage to stay just cool enough. He's pretty hyped. EURO shows it. So does the GEM. Just the notoriously bad GFS (for Gorge winds, at least) that doesn't. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 This will be one of the most sleepless weeks of our lives.Sleepless in PNW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 EURO shows it. So does the GEM. Just the notoriously bad GFS (for Gorge winds, at least) that doesn't.The GFS generally handles gradients as well as other models. Euro is definitely on its own right now with a better influx of cold, dense air into the basin. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Mark is apparently now calling for significant snow chances through Valentine's Day.Watched Mark's segment on the news, he showed the 12z ECMWF from Friday to Monday, he seemed pretty confident about the gorge dominating with the frigid east winds once each of these systems approach us. Mentioned how it might be snowing Saturday-Tuesday and possibly even Friday night if we manage to stay just cool enough. He's pretty hyped.Always great to see Mark on board the train. God bless the Columbia River Gorge. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 weather app says rain this weekend is it gonna snow i hope it snowMy weather app thinks positive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairiedog Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 The track of the low will obviously be important but I'm spending more time watching pressure gradients in the basin. That will tip the scale one way or the other for something I'd be calling significant. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 The GFS generally handles gradients as well as other models. Euro is definitely on its own right now with a better influx of cold, dense air into the basin. I don't know, the GFS almost always underplays the east wind. All the models do to some extent, but the GFS more so. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 My location is on the higher hills in West Seattle. The town virtually shut down over 2-3 inches and schools have been closed the past 2 days with almost no snow on the main arterials. Can't imagine what the city will do if half the potential outcome from the weekend comes to fruition. But..been burned before too many times to count by telling my wife/ friends too quickly...wait until Thursday?Did you live in W.Sea during Dec 2008? If not, then find some video/pics of those numerous snow events that absolutely crippled west seattle I guarantee you IF the models come to fruition on Fri/Sat, you'll be singing a different tune Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Just got back from a trip to Stayton. Temp went down to 33f and a surprisingly intense snow/graupel shower. Must be some serious orograpics at work. Doesn't surprise me that Andrew mentioned it snowing at his place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 00z nam much faster with snow. Belingham by about 5pm Thursday 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 LOL NWS says a low of 25. We are back up to 37 so there is zero chance that happens. 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 LOL NWS says a low of 25. We are back up to 37 so there is zero chance that happens.Why do you say zero chance? What's the logic behind this? 1 https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bueryan Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Did you live in W.Sea during Dec 2008? If not, then find some video/pics of those numerous snow events that absolutely crippled west seattle I guarantee you IF the models come to fruition on Fri/Sat, you'll be singing a different tune Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 So Seattle proper got about 2-3". It's hard to tell what amounts were widespread sometimes because in my mind everyone in W. Washington on here is "from Seattle," but I know different locations up there vary wildly. Yet here in the north part of the city a sound 4-5". It really was dependent on who received accumulating snow first. Areas to the north and east of the city got up to 10". Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Currently 20 after a high of 31.6. 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bueryan Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Just ask Greg Nickels 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Why do you say zero chance? What's the logic behind this?Cloud cover. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 00z nam much faster with snow. Belingham by about 5pm ThursdayBut slowing down from its 12Z run. Its playing catch up. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Cloud cover.Respectfully, the air mass aloft is quite cold. It wouldn't take much clearing to have the bottom drop out. Snowfall on the ground would have helped, but we are just talking about lowering the floor. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Cloud cover.Some weather stations around your area shows clearing by midnight but down to 29 by sunrise. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 My main road conditions didn’t change at today. My driveway which is quite steep (hard to tell by pic) and was becoming glazed compact snow and ice so I had to sand it. Nice day!! 3 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joaqweri Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 tonight's NAM has the low hugging the WA coast after sliding off van island, snow beginning in seattle around midday friday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 But slowing down from its 12Z run. Its playing catch up.Thats not what I'm seeing. Compare 00z at 09z to 12z at 09z. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 tonight's NAM has the low hugging the WA coast after sliding off van island, snow beginning in seattle around midday friday Still gives PDX just a cold rain.... "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joaqweri Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 only goes out to 12Z (4am) saturday which has it still snowing steadily by then, but already 4" in seattle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Models for this storm show a foot for Seattle, and 2-3" for myself and others up in Whatcom County. So yeah, you can imagine the frustrationI really do hope you can score more than that. I do think from past events many of us can relate. I hope you get pounded with snow!! My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lars43 Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Signed up, hopefully it will help break the record! Skies have cleared here down to 35. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 00z NAM faster with the moisture arrival. Also, 850s are colder looks a lot like the ECMWF bringing the cold air in sooner and tracking that low hugging it along the Washington Coast. The source region for this air mass is coming from Northwest Territories, AB... Oh this 1061mb high over BC couldn't hurt. Wow. That mega high would force arctic air further south/southwest into WA/OR than is modeled. We could see much colder model runs ahead, especially Gorge, Columbia Basin. 00z GFS in 27 minutes 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 00z NAM faster with the moisture arrival. Also, 850s are colder looks a lot like the ECMWF bringing the cold air in sooner and tracking that low hugging it along the Washington Coast. The source region for this air mass is coming from Northwest Territories, AB... Oh this 1061mb high over BC couldn't hurt. Wow. We could see much colder model runs ahead, especially Gorge, Columbia Basin. 00z GFS in 27 minutes So....better run? "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joaqweri Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 cooled back down to 27F, melted snow from the sunshine and 35F high today should be refreezing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Westy Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Did you live in W.Sea during Dec 2008? If not, then find some video/pics of those numerous snow events that absolutely crippled west seattle I guarantee you IF the models come to fruition on Fri/Sat, you'll be singing a different tuneYes, 2008 was arguable the best event of my lifetime. Big snow dump followed by days of cold and hard freeze at night. Probably the last time the old sled was pulled out of the garage where ice was actually under the snow and thick enough to sled. Hoping for the same this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joaqweri Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 GFS in half an hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 So....better run?Let it play out youngster... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Thats not what I'm seeing. Compare 00z at 09z to 12z at 09z. Friday at 10 a.m. 00Z run 12Z run Slightly slower at that time. Snow was farther into Snohomish and King counties on the 12Z run. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 It's pretty neat to see the general pattern repeating itself. Here is the EURO analysis for yesterday at 4pm. Then what the 12z EURO showed at days 5 and 10 today. Basically if it verifies, we'll have 3 separate troughs digging into Southern Oregon around 5 days apart from each other. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Icon is faster with precip also. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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