December 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Outside comfortably in a t shirt and shorts on Dec 20.

 

 

Time to move...

[Cloud]

[Prairiedog]

You said several pages ago or at the beginning of the week “look for things to be locked in by Thursday” — which was yesterday. Now it’s delayed another week?

 

I don’t respond to trolling and non-weather related stuff but this is hilarious

Sounds like Hr 360 EURO

[Cloud]

2.63” for the day.

 

4.62” total since Wednesday.

[Deweydog]

She’s weakening, guys!

[Requiem]

Moisture's getting into PDX, but it's kinda dying. 

[Prairiedog]

Now there's some low solar minimum's.

Fairbanks, Ak

[Prairiedog]

Moisture's getting into PDX, but it's kinda dying. 

20 more miles east for me.  May never see rain again.  Good news is I've plummeted to 59f. 

[Phil]

some are saying the pattern sort of reminds them of 1986-87 in fact Anthony commented there is some 86-87 looks in the pattern.

I’d hit that. That was a consistently warm winter for us but lots of snow. Sort of like 2015/16 but stormier.

 

I think we’ll end up much colder overall, though.

[Deweydog]

I’d hit that. That was a consistently warm winter for us but lots of snow. Sort of like 2015/16 but stormier.

 

I think we’ll end up much colder overall, though.

December 2008 only warmer and snowier?

[ShawniganLake]

I’d hit that. That was a consistently warm winter for us but lots of snow. Sort of like 2015/16 but stormier.

 

I think we’ll end up much colder overall, though.

Haha 86-87. Pretty much a dud out here.

[snow_wizard]

Well...another box checked for setting the stage for a major cold wave.  These baroclinic soakers have a rich history of leading to good things.  I like where the European suite of models has been going the last few runs.

 

FWIW the 0z CFS shows pretty much the entire first half of January being quite cold.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Well...another box checked for setting the stage for a major cold wave. These baroclinic soakers have a rich history of leading to good things. I like where the European suite of models has been going the last few runs.

 

FWIW the 0z CFS shows pretty much the entire first half of January being quite cold.

I admire your optimism Jim. So days with near +20F warm anomalies bode well going forward?

[Esquimalt]

[Guest CulverJosh]

It’s all coming together. My buddy and I were always in agreement the post-AR scenarios and opportunities. Look for the next couple weeks to turn wetter with each run of model suites as opposed to what has been happening so far this late fall. Winter solstice!!

[Deweydog]

I admire your optimism Jim. So days with near +20F warm anomalies bode well going forward?

Cool downs often follow warm ups. Stay tuned...

[ShawniganLake]

The CFS in early December was showing us getting blasted right about now. Fwiw.

[snow_wizard]

I admire your optimism Jim. So days with near +20F warm anomalies bode well going forward?

 

Yup.  This is classic stuff especially with neutral ENSO.  It's more knowing what this often leads to as opposed to optimism.

[ShawniganLake]

42” of snow in 24hrs at Allison pass. This was a top tier snow event for the passes in Sw BC

 

24” in 12 hrs is 2nd place for 12 hr snowfalls for the Coquihalla.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Definitely the wettest storm since Mr Bean was on channel 9.

[GHweatherChris]

Definitely the wettest storm since Mr Bean was on channel 9.

Go big or go home I guess, we are approaching 6 inches of rain in 32 hours now, just at 200 feet elevation here has drastically given us much more rain than KHQM.

[GHweatherChris]

Remember, models lock in tonight!!

[Guest CulverJosh]

Looks like the north/south orientation has backed the real heavy stuff to the coastline for now. Look for things to pick back up in the western Washington valleys after midnight. So tough to forecast the progression these D**n rivers. Especially with weak jet support. It’s eastward progression pace is amazing really.

[seattleweatherguy]

lights flickered!

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

It’s all coming together. My buddy and I were always in agreement the post-AR scenarios and opportunities. Look for the next couple weeks to turn wetter with each run of model suites as opposed to what has been happening so far this late fall. Winter solstice!!I 

I think people were hoping for something more than just rain.  Like cold and snow.  Though for me normal temps and wet is good enough.  But not most people here.

[Shawn]

1.48" since midnight

3.09" storm total

53 degrees

6 miles sw of Scappoose Airport

[FroYoBro]

It's getting cold out there.

 

Down to 52 here! 

[Guest CulverJosh]

I think people were hoping for something more than just rain. Like cold and snow. Though for me normal temps and wet is good enough. But not most people here.

 

Baby steps but wetter can mean whiter. Below average temps are in the cards.

[FroYoBro]

Baby steps but wetter can mean whiter. Below average temps are in the cards.

Just give up dude. Your email isn’t happening.

[jcmcgaffey]

Darkest day ever recorded at SEA. Only been 20 years of records though.

[Requiem]

Baby steps but wetter can mean whiter. Below average temps are in the cards.

 

I thought you were going to provide some screenshots as proof? 

[Guest CulverJosh]

I thought you were going to provide some screenshots as proof?

I may be able to do that. Need to ask him still if I can post it with his name blurred. Government organization and all.

[FroYoBro]

Don’t use the dude crap. Everything I have said is true.

 

Believe what you want. Just focus on temper tantrum babies like Rob, not me.

K.

 

You said we would be shoveling snow in the valleys.

[Deweydog]

[MossMan]

Was a fun day in Leavenworth, yesterday would have been much more magical than today’s slush fest but oh well!

 

At home here we are at .94” for the day, 3.89” for the month.

 

And I can confirm at 4:30pm it was all rain at the top of Stevens.

[TT-SEA]

Darkest day ever recorded at SEA. Only been 20 years of records though.

Wow... impressive.

 

And glad we missed it.

 

Still bright here.

 

[FroYoBro]

Should be a wet night down here.

 

KI2!

[Requiem]

Should be a wet night down here.

 

KI2!

 

Yeah, nice and drizzly outside. Looks like the AR is finally onto us!

[ShawniganLake]

Been raining all day with a little over a 1/2” to show for it.

[High Desert Mat?]

If anything happens in the lowlands it’ll be Feb 7th or later, per the SSW. If anything happens in the high desert of Oregon this winter, it’ll happen no earlier than 1/20. Lived here long enough to see what happens year to year. Not scientific just experience. Good luck all.