BLI snowman Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 To be fair, the GFS map does indicate that it understands the gorge effect at least a little bit. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 Iv'e been through this type of pattern here before and i will be getting gas for the generator. This will be a tree busting power out snow storm here. Looks like i will get hit again saturday and sunday before the snow level lifts. Also notices the gfs is hanging the second system out to see further slowing the warming trend.Yep... seems like lows are farther offshore which delays warm up. This becomes a cold air damming special after today. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 Per HRRR look like some snow showers will develop for Seattle around noon and keeps it going for few hours. Doesn’t like much accumulation though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 Started snowing up here about 6:45 or so, coming down a a good clip. Got down to 15 at my house. Radar indicates the fun is almost over, but this is the first shower that made it mostly intact to Bellingham without being mostly evaporated by the outflow. Hopefully more to come. It is quite rare to see it snowing at this temperature in this climate. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 This will probably be very unpredictable tonight. The storm track is aimed right at the Olympics and it looks like energy will be diverted around the north and south of the Mountains. This image kinda shows this idea. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silverfin Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 Bellingham looking better than yesterday morning. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 Ended up with about 5.5" from this event. Respectable. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 This could be the biggest snow for the northern tip of washington in a long time. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 This will probably be very unpredictable tonight. The storm track is aimed right at the Olympics and it looks like energy will be diverted around the north and south of the Mountains. This image kinda shows this idea.Yeah that’s a solid 7 or 8 inches for me. We can only hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 Of course the models trend north with the snow band tonight. I should call my real estate agent. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 12z GFS further north.That would be nice for here. 14-18” Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 That would be nice for here. 14-18”Guidance is looking good. EC is playing it super conservative Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 Yeah that’s a solid 7 or 8 inches for me. We can only hope That seems to be the developing consensus with the potential for double that, not a bad place to be. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 That seems to be the developing consensus with the potential for double that, not a bad place to be.Yep. But if that band sets up a little north or a little south we could easily be looking at 2-3 inches. Super precarious set up Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 Hey look, another hole for Kent/Covington/Maple Valley! <_> Common thread in many models over the past couple days for each of these 'events'. Too north for the stuff heading south around the Olympics, too south for the CZ and stuff heading north around the Olympics. Obviously too early to say how things will play out, but certainly doesn't feel like our time. Everett gets nailed again though so that's nice.Of course the Olympics is cock-blocking the moisture. Not all that surprising considering it’s aiming straight east. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 Guidance is looking good. EC is playing it super conservative4-6” is probably a little too conservative unless that band misses to our south. It’s pretty narrow. As that storm comes North tomorrow I think Nanaimo to Comox are going to get nuked. Strong winds and heavy snow. Too bad that storm couldn’t have come closer to the coast before blowing up Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 To be fair, the GFS map does indicate that it understands the gorge effect at least a little bit. im impressed and a little optimistic with the consistency the gfs has had for snow in Columbia county for tomorrow for about a week now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 4-6” is probably a little too conservative unless that band misses to our south. It’s pretty narrow. As that storm comes North tomorrow I think Nanaimo to Comox are going to get nuked. Strong winds and heavy snow. Too bad that storm couldn’t have come closer to the coast before blowing upMy personal forecast is 6-9 inches for myself, 8-11 for you. I don’t think environment Canada wants to add those numbers until they’re absolutely convinced they’re gonna haooen Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 2" new snow overnight, apparently I have to be asleep for it to snow good. And that is shittty about tonights system, it needs to be 50 miles further south. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 Light snow starting up again. 33 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 That is better. I’d be good with that Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 This could be the biggest snow for the northern tip of washington in a long time. Sequim got 3 feet last year. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 im impressed and a little optimistic with the consistency the gfs has had for snow in Columbia county for tomorrow for about a week now. The other models turn the flow due southerly much quicker. The GFS insists on a more ESE gradient north of the river, which allows the main round of precip overnight to stay snow. Definitely some similarities to January 17-18, 2012 with what it's been showing locally. Scappoose picked up 11" with that and Ridgefield had about 6" as the flow stayed ESE the entire night. South of the river it turned to rain pretty quickly and then it was all rain south of Tualatin. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 Heavy snow! Going to give my driveway a good plow now! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 NWS is saying 50-60mph wind gust for North Bend tomorrow. That’s crazy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 Sequim got 3 feet last year.Thats not the tip. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 My wife said I-90 is a complete mess of compact snow from North Bend to Fall City. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 Looks like a good band of showers is curving its way toward the north sound from the straight and Clallam County. Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 Currently 21F and getting some more flurries this morning, up to nearly 3" since this all began. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 WRF from 4PM tonight through 4PM tomorrow. About the exact same spot for the southern edge of the band as the 00z. At least it didn't trend further north like everything else. Don't care for how close to the edge of that I am Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnarkyGoblin Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 Of course the models trend north with the snow band tonight. I should call my real estate agent.I feel ya. Seattle and Vashon are the only school districts in King County which are not closed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 #trendsouth 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 The other models turn the flow due southerly much quicker. The GFS insists on a more ESE gradient north of the river, which allows the main round of precip overnight to stay snow. Definitely some similarities to January 17-18, 2012 with what it's been showing locally. Scappoose picked up 11" with that and Ridgefield had about 6" as the flow stayed ESE the entire night. South of the river it turned to rain pretty quickly and then it was all rain south of Tualatin. GFS has been kind to Washington County for tomorrow, I hope reality will too. Hillsboro area will probably warm up too fast from the southerlies though.I'd be pleased to get an inch before the changeover. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 Uw wrf showing 2-2.5 inches over tacoma by tomorrow but nobody does. Gotta be a outlier.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 Thats not the tip. Neah Bay? That would be unusual for them to get heavy snow. 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 Got down to 33F at about 7AM. Up to 35F now. Occasional light rain overnight but I didn't notice any snow mixing in. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OysterPrintout Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 Snow at my work near Hillsboro Airport 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted January 14, 2020 Report Share Posted January 14, 2020 Not as much snow as I expected barely an inch hope for more this week Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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