Blizzard777 Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Current snapshot of the world 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Gargantuan WWB cycle has established of late..this latest one features healthier convergence east of the dateline to help depress the thermocline further, perhaps triggering a stronger downwelling OKW. So maybe we finally get that stronger niño in 2020/21 to finish draining the warm pool and prime the multiyear Niña thereafter. http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ventrice/real_time/timeLon/u.anom.30.5S-5N.gifOr maybe it peaks in Spring/Summer and is neutral by next winter 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest LaPineLurker Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Dumping in Bend at the moment. Looks like that low out there may not curl as far north as forecast. Surprise for someone possible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Or maybe it peaks in Spring/Summer and is neutral by next winterThat would be difficult to pull off given seasonal dynamics that favor peak ENSO amplitudes during boreal autumn/winter. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 "Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 That is incredible. I would love to spend a few winters in that area. I’m spending my first one. It’s certainly been fun. It’s about 15 degrees F warmer in downtown than it is here in my neighborhood on the far north end of Bellingham right now! Just crazy. And it’s been that way all night, from what I can tell. The more interesting weather was hardly the main reason I chose to move here, but I’d be lying if I said it wasn’t a reason at all. We get more frequent wind storms, too. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Dropped to 30F overnight with a little bit of clearing. Some snow showers moved through around 2 a.m. and dropped about 0.3" which is nice to see the landscape white again. According to CoCoRaHs it looks like those showers that were trained over Anacortes most of the night gave them another 1-3". Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Well all I got was a dusting or the lightest gray shade on the Euro...But that’s okay since we ended up with snow earlier in the week. Currently 30.9 degrees. 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 31* icyI’m assuming the same that Pdx got if this band holds together band is eroding away ...sadly 31*27* dp Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Chehailis is enjoying live YouTube down there https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bfGaUembwA8 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Well since Phil just cancelled next winter I hope everyone enjoys the last of the snow currently. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OysterPrintout Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Well since Phil just cancelled next winter I hope everyone enjoys the last of the snow currently.If I close my eyes and try real hard I can remember the 24 minutes of mixed precip flurries we've had like it was yesterday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Bend is getting dumped on. It’s been snowing since 4am. The roads are as bad as I’ve seen all winter. Huge flakes and holding at 23 degrees now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North_County Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Bluebird day! Still only 15F when I left the house this morning, but the absence of the wind made it feel much much warmer than the past week. 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Snow seems to get put back on the trees every night... here is the view this morning. Been that way here too. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairiedog Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Made it down to 33f (on two of my three stations) but precip never really changed over. Had just enough ice in the rain to leave a little slush on the car windshield. Tough micro climate where I'm at. Some fog has settled in. Definitely elevation driven on this one and spotty. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 My road and Silver Falls Hwy were completely snow covered this morning. Absolutely no other cars on the road though. 4 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 So is this it? Anything tonight/tomorrow morning? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 County Schools apparently still running. Only because this snow occurred over the last week, where as my storm in 2017 happened too quickly for plows. (It's rare, schools can close in K-Falls) Snow still coming down! Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 26 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, 5/21, 5/22, 5/26, 5/27, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 County Schools apparently still running. Only because this snow occurred over the last week, where as my storm in 2017 happened too quickly for plows. (It's rare, schools can close in K-Falls) Snow still coming down! My wife went to school in K-Falls through 8th grade. She says they only closed school twice during that time. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 I have noticed the ensembles and operational GFS are trending wetter. Probably good news for our snow pack. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 It's flurrying!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Mt Hood snow pack now u to 95% of normal. Good to see the healthiest snow pack in the state is in the parched SE part of the state. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 I have noticed the ensembles and operational GFS are trending wetter. Probably good news for our snow pack. 12z GFS is considerably less splitty and points the jet straight into our region until Day 10. Euro was never very splitty. Personally I’m a little concerned about the warm fronts that could make this precip fall as rain in the mountains as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Looks like much of the Portland area saw snow falling this morning. It fell to 8F here by midnight with early clearing. Then snowed heavily during the late night and early morning hours. Another 3-4 inches. Up to 17 now. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 12z GFS is considerably less splitty and points the jet straight into our region until Day 10. Euro was never very splitty. Personally I’m a little concerned about the warm fronts that could make this precip fall as rain in the mountains as well. Does not look like a lot of mountain rain with these systems. The systems are not cold by any means, but look like 3500-4000' snow levels mostly. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 More than a flurry now! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Weather outlook after today is about as boring as it gets. 50/42 and drizzle every single day pretty much. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Weather outlook after today is about as boring as it gets. 50/42 and drizzle every single day pretty much.That is not what the models show. The 12Z GFS... for example... shows distinct systems and fronts and dry periods in between and some longer dry periods later in the run. This does not look like a perpetual warm front pattern that you are describing with that forecast. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 That is not what the models show. The 12Z GFS... for example... shows distinct systems and fronts and dry periods in between and some longer dry periods later in the run. This does not look like a perpetual warm front pattern that you are describing with that forecast.Lots of mountain snow. Far from a Boring pattern. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Bainbridge Island Schools were completely closed today. Interesting since they didn't actually really see any new snow, but apparently the roads were very icy. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Only made it down to 33F and a bit of rain overnight. Up to 40F now so the streak without a sub-40 high lives on. The only one we have had was way back on Nov 30. If we don't have another it will be the fewest since 1933-34 which is the only year on record where there were zero sub-40 highs. Every other cold season has had at least 2. If we don't have another, it would likely cement this cold season as a solid F for the south valley. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 That is not what the models show. The 12Z GFS... for example... shows distinct systems and fronts and dry periods in between and some longer dry periods later in the run. This does not look like a perpetual warm front pattern that you are describing with that forecast.Does look boring in Bakersfield. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Only made it down to 33F and a bit of rain overnight. Up to 40F now so the streak without a sub-40 high lives on. The only one we have had was way back on Nov 30. If we don't have another it will be the fewest since 1933-34 which is the only year on record where there were zero sub-40 highs. Every other cold season has had at least 2. If we don't have another, it would likely cement this cold season as a solid F for the south valley.Could be worse. Up in Failland we haven’t even had one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 So is this it? Anything tonight/tomorrow morning? NWS is saying another inch or two in Bellingham tonight, then the slushfest begins. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 NWS is saying another inch or two in Bellingham tonight, then the slushfest begins.must be rough 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Bainbridge Island Schools were completely closed today. Interesting since they didn't actually really see any new snow, but apparently the roads were very icy.Some local schools closed today due to just ice, today is the only day of the week our daughters school closed, but did have 2 late start days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Snowing the Puyallup valley. Also got a dusting last night so miracles happen Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Some local schools closed today due to just ice, today is the only day of the week our daughters school closed, but did have 2 late start days.That was the reason Stanwood was 2hrs late this morning. Between the dusting last night and the melting slush from yesterday it was amazingly slick this morning, much more so than the snow covered roads previous to yesterday. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Moderate snow! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 17, 2020 Report Share Posted January 17, 2020 Chris looks to be in a good spot right now. Steady stream of showers. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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