Still all playing out like '19, '20, and '21.
Try a mental exercise, close your eyes.
Think of cold, snow, a wintery landscape. Think of the cityscapes of Vancouver, Seattle, Portland, and Eugene, and picture them with just globs of snow heaped over them. Keep your eyes closed and imagine maps filled with those pepto pinks and purples. Imagine that arctic air spilling over Vancouver Island and making its way back to Washington and Oregon. Imagine regional blizzard warnings and snow cov
Yeah, the delta on Monday will be telling with Graphcast and Spire. People forget (or don't know) that both models only work off of initialization data and then use various degrees of image based machine learning at very high terrain definitions. Its effectively taking those analog lists to the next level. This means though that there is no real condition modeling taking place, but rather a "I think this feature will develop here because it typically does when these patterns at these levels are
I saw this on the ECMWF seasonal. That would be a hot summer in the west but us in the central parts might be near or just a bit above normal temperature wise with plenty of rain. I'd take it.
Looking ahead we will probably get another good soaking tomorrow night as storms roll in. I wouldn't be surprised if we had another inch. Warmer weather is coming this weekend, with a few days potentially near or in the low 90s with humidity, but more rain is likely next week.
I picked up 0.89" yesterday from a few rounds of showers and storms. The high was in the mid 70s. It was a very nice day!
So for the month of May that puts me at 6.22" so far and 12.42" for April+May (almost all of which came since April 20th).
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