January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part I)

[Hawksfan2008]

Run to run change. 

[Slushy Inch]

Just now, Hawksfan2008 said:

Run to run change. 

Temps

[Mid Valley Duck]

Significant moves towards the colder solutions

[Frontal Snowsquall]

9 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Ridge bridge. This run is going Arctic.

 

8 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

You know why GFS has bad runs? So it can show us improvments, like this 

 

Improved blocking right at our sweet spot up in Alaska! Here we go!  

[Deweydog]

14 minutes ago, Dave said:

I step away from the forum for a day and half and there are 90 new pages? What in the flying **** is fappening. Is it coming?

Andrew and the high desert door mat came last night.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Oh look, more!

[thisisacreativename]

Never thought I'd see the GFS cave to a colder solution...

[Kolk1604]

lol 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Excellent!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

This would be a 1990 repeat with that low moving down the sound with a very strong arctic front behind it.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

BAM!

[Doinko]

Not nearly as good as the Euro or GEM, but significantly better than previous runs today. Cold air makes it into the Columbia River Gorge.

[OysterPrintout]

Portland dusting

Longview 13"

 

THROW IT OUT DO NOT LOCK THIS IN

[Frontal Snowsquall]

17 minutes ago, Dave said:

I step away from the forum for a day and half and there are 90 new pages? What in the flying **** is fappening. Is it coming?

Yes it’s coming. We had a little windshield wiper effect but now that’s pretty much gone. Get ready!  

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

Drunkle doesn't even look that drunk so far!

 

Edit: actually yes it is super drunk, not cold enough, it must of had 10 bottles of warm beer.

[van city]

1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

BAM!

Not cold enough. Toss it in  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Yeah, it's a huge improvement, but still nowhere close to the GEM or EURO. Still too progressive. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

This run is much better for snow!

[Roman-Dallas Snow-Zone]

No correlation at all but for some reason this type of model riding excitement gives me the safe feels as when I’m in riding a stock short squeeze to the moon! The payout is huge!

[Timmy]

6 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

lol 

While it’s frustrating comical.  Wild swings are to be expected with the vertical orientation of the trough/ridge.

[MWG]

So many pages! 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Starting to get some national attention. If this is the end it was nice knowing you all!

 

[Front Ranger]

This will work! Drunkle aboard.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Significantly better for western Oregon on this run.

[Slushy Inch]

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Yeah, it's a huge improvement, but still nowhere close to the GEM or EURO. Still too progressive. 

It’s not that far off at this point realistically 

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, MWG said:

So many pages! 

Probably getting close to needing a new thread at this point. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

We do have some sort of overrunning "event" on this run as well. 

[The Winter Warlock]

What did I miss? We had an ISO 27001:2013 surveillance audit all day (#CISOlife) - but we passed with no major non-conformities!

[TT-SEA]

The 18Z GFS lines up very well with the 12Z GEFS now at day 9.    It was clear that the 12Z run was huge outlier. 

 

[uwgraduate2021]

Seems like the low on Sunday came in far enough South that it didn’t scour out the cold air from the puget sound lowlands.

[Slushy Inch]

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

We do have some sort of overrunning "event" on this run as well. 

Not sure how much warming will result . Doesn’t look like much 

[Slushy Inch]

Gefs 

[Meatyorologist]

16 minutes ago, thisisacreativename said:

Never thought I'd see the GFS cave to a colder solution...

Usually happens before it comes

[Meatyorologist]

Just now, Slushy Inch said:

Gefs 

Nice, I was just wondering. Seems like more and more members are hopping onboard, hence the incremental improvements.

[Mid Valley Duck]

Solid overruning event Saturday night into Sunday.

[Mid Valley Duck]

4" snow followed by up to 1" ice. I'm sure that wont cause problems.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Mid Valley Duck said:

4" snow followed by up to 1" ice. I'm sure that wont cause problems.

January 2004. 

[Doinko]

2 minutes ago, Mid Valley Duck said:

4" snow followed by up to 1" ice. I'm sure that wont cause problems.

More zr falls after, big snow/ice storm

[Deweydog]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

January 2004. 

2.0 2.0 decades later!!

[Mid Valley Duck]

Significant event.