January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

4 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

So far it hasn’t been that heavy I’m just on the other side of the mountain from Tim. Could get close to stickage if the precip rates start to pick up. 

snow flurries here in port orchard and 31 degrees

[Norwood]

Us Oregon folks

[LowerGarfield]

My area has been downgraded to a WWA from a WSW which makes a lot more sense. They are expecting 2-4 inches here when I last checked this am.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

5 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

It didn’t get colder than 38F last night, but the small pond outside already has a decent layer of ice on it. I don’t think I’ve ever seen that before. DP is down to 23F though.

Similar story IMBY. Bottomed out at 34.9˚F yet there was ice on the puddles this morning.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Do we think this is a 2004 or more a 1968 type event?

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Do we think this is a 2004 or more a 1968 type event?

More of a 2009 type event.

[Phishy Wx]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Do we think this is a 2004 or more a 1968 type event?

given the era, i'd lean modern

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Do we think this is a 2004 or more a 1968 type event?

1968, 2004 was not this cold in sw bc was it?

[MikeInEverett]

In laws in Mill Creek have light snow sticking to all surfaces. Bone dry here in Edmonds and my home in Everett

[bainbridgekid]

Snow sticking in South Everett near my house. I'm at work in Mountlake Terrace but that little band is doing its thing there.

 

[MossMan]

5 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

It didn’t get colder than 38F last night, but the small pond outside already has a decent layer of ice on it. I don’t think I’ve ever seen that before. DP is down to 23F though.

Yeah I expected the horrific icy roads around my place after the overnight rain flash froze on the roads here with the temp dipping to 29…However when I dropped my daughter off at her school in Mt Vernon it was 36 but the roads were still slick as snot! 

[Requiem]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Do we think this is a 2004 or more a 1968 type event?

2004 with all the ice, the metro blizzard, the persistent low level cold...

[Front Ranger]

12 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

No sir.    Just a few tiny flakes.   Temp is still 36 as well.   ECMWF insists on burst of SW wind and temp going up to around 40 by noon or 1 and then dropping.

This was probably mentioned earlier, but the 6z Euro definitely looked juicier for the central Sound with the front.

[Meatyorologist]

PORTALND!!! Are y'all hyped or what??? This is gonna be a big snowstorm for someone down there. Excited for y'all.

Our Arctic front is already trying to do stuff in the central sound, though bands are setting up all around me except for over my house. Figures.

Big story is the cold here. Realistic outide shot KSEA gets their coldest temp of the century, and since Dec 1990. 13°F is the moneyshot, to beat out 14°F in Dec 2008 and Nov 2010.

[MossMan]

So close yet so far away…Stuff nightmares are made of. I’m so freaking disappointed right now. 

[WhoNeedsAC]

31 minutes ago, Timmy said:

I think this really will be an event where we won’t know. I think areas like west Clark county, Columbia and Washington counties will be the big winners with the right amount of cold and moisture without the wind. I think the system will be more on the juicy side as it interacts with the Arctic front

I hope you're right. It's kind of disappointing to see so many models that show a good dump in Portland but little accumulation up here. That's atypical, but it does happen.

No matter what happens, though, it will be an interesting few days.

[OysterPrintout]

11 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

Another snowy GFS run for PDX. 12z shows 16” snow with temps in the teens Saturday. They never lose the east wind so when moisture arrives again the middle of next week it shows some ice.

 

Pretty wild how the GFS shows 16.0" vs the GRAF 4.5" with only 0.30" extra qpf.

[ShawniganLake]

33 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

The 27th

We had 20” with that arctic front. Thought maybe it was a recording error but there were lots of 10-20” totals on southern Vancouver island the night of the 26th through the 27th, when the arctic front went through.  

[MikeInEverett]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

So close yet so far away…Stuff nightmares are made of. I’m so freaking disappointed right now. 

Yeah we’re both too far north right now. Hopefully these showers expand a bit. Same thing as last year right now, my house is about a single mile north of the CZ. 

[RCola]

Sister in law said it's snowing on Mercer Island right now. Maybe we'll get lucky in Seattle today.

[Meatyorologist]

Hope this fills in lol

[LowerGarfield]

6 hours ago, RentonHill said:

Kitty on the move…it knows it’s coming 

Is it following the Axe Beaver?

[sherwoodor]

4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

PORTALND!!! Are y'all hyped or what??? This is gonna be a big snowstorm for someone down there. Excited for y'all.

Our Arctic front is already trying to do stuff in the central sound, though bands are setting up all around me except for over my house. Figures.

Big story is the cold here. Realistic outide shot KSEA gets their coldest temp of the century, and since Dec 1990. 13°F is the moneyshot, to beat out 14°F in Dec 2008 and Nov 2010.

I've learned not to say anything until its happening, been disappointed too many times.

I'm right down the road from the Tualatin National Wildlife Refuge, Washington Co. OR and I think we're gonna see some big snow out here. hopefully little to no ice. 

[Front Ranger]

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Do we think this is a 2004 or more a 1968 type event?

Depends on where you are talking? I think there are more similarities to 1968 with large scale pattern. And I think a lot of places will end up colder than 2004.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

So close yet so far away…Stuff nightmares are made of. I’m so freaking disappointed right now. 

You are in a good spot man. Watch and see.

[Blizzard777]

3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

So close yet so far away…Stuff nightmares are made of. I’m so freaking disappointed right now. 

C’Mon Dewey!    Your supposed to be all over this !

[Anti Marine Layer]

12 minutes ago, Norwood said:

Us Oregon folks

[MikeInEverett]

1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

Hope this fills in lol

This loop gives me hope it’ll move a little north to DT Everett.

[WeatheringLoyalHeights]

Flakage but no stickage IMBY (Ballard/N. Seattle).  The roads & sidewalks are damp though, so depending on when this front moves in it could make for an icy commute this evening.  Glad I'm WFH today.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Anybody have the wrf gfs to post pls 

[Deweydog]

6 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

1968, 2004 was not this cold in sw bc was it?

1968 was a bit colder than what is progged, 2004 a tad warmer. These are about the coldest frames for both at 850mb. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

5 minutes ago, MossMan said:

So close yet so far away…Stuff nightmares are made of. I’m so freaking disappointed right now. 

Meh. The arctic front is not due down your way until much later today. By which time the sun will have come out and melted all or most of what will fall from that. They will get a brown blast, too.

[Phishy Wx]

Spokane:

12/30/68:  -25

1/5/04: -22

 

both are 10+ degrees colder than current forecast and we have no snow cover.  Need to look to see if snow for those past events

[KingstonWX]

7 minutes ago, MossMan said:

So close yet so far away…Stuff nightmares are made of. I’m so freaking disappointed right now. 

If it helps, this is currently producing approximately 2 flakes her minute IMBY. 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

7 minutes ago, MossMan said:

So close yet so far away…Stuff nightmares are made of. I’m so freaking disappointed right now. 

Don't think any of this is accumulating anyway

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Anybody have the wrf gfs to post pls 

It's stupid.   Through tomorrow morning.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

4 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Depends on where you are talking? I think there are more similarities to 1968 with large scale pattern. And I think a lot of places will end up colder than 2004.

Yeah I don’t want to be hyperbolic, but this seems like a 1968 lite 

[TacomaWx]

Just now, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Don't think any of this is accumulating anyway

It has a little bit in south Everett, but overall the better chances are later when the actual boundary slips south. 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

It's stupid.   Through tomorrow morning.

This is probably realistic. 

[TT-SEA]

Through Sunday...