Gradient Keeper Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 6 minutes ago, Requiem said: What are your thoughts right now? GFS doesn’t show this sort of scenario even on the latest run... I'm thinking the low should turn more sharply to the north soon and exit jet energy should weaken some leading to the low to peak out fairly soon and perhaps weaken as it moves north of ~45 N. I guess we'll see.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: I'm thinking the low should turn more sharply to the north soon and exit jet energy should weaken some leading to the low to peak out fairly soon and perhaps weaken as it moves north of ~45 N. I guess we'll see.... Still should result in some gusty winds, especially seeing how much stronger the low is than modeled (if I’m understanding that correctly). Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 17, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Up to +1.3F on the month so far. Anybody else above that? 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Just now picking up an east wind. 29.38" and falling but slowly. Interesting map this morning showing 62 degrees with an east wind at 1,500' on Larch Mountain, meanwhile it's 41 here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 KPTV finally saying something about the wind. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 The Weather Channel also acknowledging the wind storm for PNW. Even mentioned PDX possible 50 mph gust 44* and pressure falling rapidly once again 992.8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 6 hours ago, SouthHillFrosty said: What are we guessing for wind speeds boys My conservative guess is 110 kts sustained, gusting to 150. Some of the smaller, regional jets are going to be dark horse picks for those STOL competitions and we all go to our Tornado shelters and eat our SHTF rations that we've been hoarding since March. 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 57 here... and a possible beautiful sunrise brewing. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Sunrise is a dud here 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 The wind is still pretty much calm here. I see the easterly gradient through the gorge is weakening though, so maybe some southerly winds are about to start up. Fairly cool 44 degrees right now from a easterly breeze. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 1 minute ago, The Blob said: Sunrise is a dud here Ended up a dud here too. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Barometer now steady and rising a notch 993.9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 The storm this morning. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Been a gusty morning! It even started a bit before my wind advisory went into effect (12:30-1am). My loudest gusts I'd say were between 1:00-2:00am. There appears to be a difference in gusts from up here to KLMT, as they are just now getting the 55mph memo from 36mph hours ago. Seems to be the opposite at the house as I would say things toned down a notch or two since the start of the event. No power blinks or anything so far... so I must have been under the 60 mark. There will probably be isolated reports of limbs down in sections. There can easily be another wave of strong gusts through the afternoon. The front isn't even here yet. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 I assume the sustained 101 mph, gusts to 118 mph at Cape Disappointment is just an equipment error? https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=82SW1&num=72&banner=gmap&raw=0&w=325 1 1 1 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 28 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Ended up a dud here too. It had potential. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 My brother down in Coos County said it got pretty windy around 3a. Cloudy, calm and 47 here. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 so far nothing here but action will pick up in the next couple hours i hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 The calm before the big windstorm...Or the calm before the dud...Time will tell. 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Good thing nothing currently here otherwise waves would be breaking over the sea wall. The Sound will awake soon! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 According to FB we had a big blow 5yrs ago today. If I remember correctly it was the westerly surge that got us. 2 days without power at our old place which was rare for that location. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 18 minutes ago, MossMan said: The calm before the big windstorm...Or the calm before the dud...Time will tell. Exactly! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Just a slight S breeze this morning. Coast is getting hit hard. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 22 minutes ago, MossMan said: The calm before the big windstorm...Or the calm before the dud...Time will tell. Wind storm has started in my area. Gust to 50mph in town so far and it is supposed to last 12 hours or so. Damaging gust up to 75mph expected around lunch time. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 4 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Just a slight S breeze this morning. Coast is getting hit hard. Sistek followed up by saying surface obs on VI are down to 968. Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 7 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Just a slight S breeze this morning. Coast is getting hit hard. I thought there were supposed to be two lows? Is the south low shown here or the original? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said: I thought there were supposed to be two lows? Is the south low shown here or the original? I think the southern low is somewhere off the WA/OR coast currently if I’m not mistaken. Just not displayed on this map. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Just now, TacomaWaWx said: I think the southern low is somewhere off the WA/OR coast currently if I’m not mistaken. Just not displayed on this map. thx Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 I’d charge my phones if I were y’all. Gonna get windy in the next 2 hours. Especially for anyone up north. This is the first decent wind event of the season so wouldn’t be surprised if this knocked out power to a lot of people as this is the first decent south wind in awhile. Even in the central and south sound. 1 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Weird vibes going on outside. My highest trees are blowing up top but calm at ground level. Getting dark as well. Chainsaw coming with me today in case I have to cut my way back home. 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 36 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: Good thing nothing currently here otherwise waves would be breaking over the sea wall. The Sound will awake soon! Im thinking I might go to the narrows today to titlow beach to see the wind. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 17, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Reached a peak gust of 28mph. The most recent significant weather event for here remains the Labor Day firestorm. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Was no wind here and 49 degrees at 8am. Temp is now up to 56 with gusts about 20mph out of the south 45 minutes later. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 48 minutes ago, MossMan said: According to FB we had a big blow 5yrs ago today. If I remember correctly it was the westerly surge that got us. 2 days without power at our old place which was rare for that location. 2015 definitely ended on a stormy note.. Unrelated but I remember Keno reporting a gust near 90mph early that December. Probably just localized conditions made that possible as I had nothing higher than 67mph (01/19/2016 squall t'storm) over the last several years. Keno neighbors my town just a bit to my SW. They're close enough that I can hear their thunderstorms from my place. I think it's incredible they can have gusts like that and I have only under 60. Willamette Valley floods, and snow burying Klamath County nearly that entire December. Crater Lake NP breaks a 1940's record monthly snowfall. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 17, 2020 Author Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 I remember absolutely nothing about weather in 2015 or the 15-16 winter. It was one of those years like 96-97 and 97-98 where pretty much nothing of interest happened in the south valley. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fircrest Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 Wind really starting to pick up here in Fircrest/East UP. I don't have a good weather station so not sure of speeds. What is a good site for wind speeds/gusts? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: I remember absolutely nothing about weather in 2015 or the 15-16 winter. Other than the December snowfall, and the ultra rare squall on Jan 19, I think not much exciting happened rest of the winter down here. Late winter was pretty mild. Did have the snowiest Dec since the 1990's. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 24 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: I’d charge my phones if I were y’all. Gonna get windy in the next 2 hours. Especially for anyone up north. This is the first decent wind event of the season so wouldn’t be surprised if this knocked out power to a lot of people as this is the first decent south wind in awhile. Even in the central and south sound. central sound not sure but there is hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 1 hour ago, MossMan said: The calm before the big windstorm...Or the calm before the dud...Time will tell. Can’t be a dud if it was only supposed to be great by a few amateurs on a weather forum. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 17, 2020 Report Share Posted November 17, 2020 I'd like to see gusts over 100. Maybe get some of that free lawn furniture Dewey got a couple years ago! 1 2 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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