The Swamp Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 8 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Models think puyallyupjon will outdo Mossman with this. That would be a first. I don't "outdo" anyone, ever. This is not going to be a first. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Wow. It was actually 17 years ago when we had that baroclinic band snowfall I referenced in an earlier post. Time sure flies. Was gonna say, 11/19/03 was probably what you're thinking of. Almost a legal adult now! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 4 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: OLM is +3.4 through yesterday, good chance they bump that up to +4 or so before the cooler pattern emerges. That kind of mildness in the early part of a Nina winter is often a good sign for mid to late winter. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 I think there will probably be a lot of window licking somewhere in the Puget Sound region... 1 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crf450ish Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 Currently in Medford Oregon at the hotel....on my way to Phoenix for Xmas vacation. It's 50 degrees and overcast. Can't wait to get down to Burbank, CA and meet up with friends and have some beers. Phoenix real estate market is booming. Owning a home in Western Washington and Phoenix is the way to go! Air BnB the AZ home during summer and use it for vacations in the winter. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 Day 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 Pretty stormy right now. Moderate rain and wind gusts to around 30. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 1 minute ago, crf450ish said: Currently in Medford Oregon at the hotel....on my way to Phoenix for Xmas vacation. It's 50 degrees and overcast. Can't wait to get down to Burbank, CA and meet up with friends and have some beers. Phoenix real estate market is booming. Owning a home in Western Washington and Phoenix is the way to go! Air BnB the AZ home during summer and use it for vacations in the winter. Wow. That does sound like a good deal. Good for you for being able to afford two homes. Very nice! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 5 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Quite the gradient That's quite something actually. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 Just now, snow_wizard said: That kind of mildness in the early part of a Nina winter is often a good sign for mid to late winter. Sometimes. Mild Decembers in a moderate to strong Nina are more common than people think. 2010, 1999, 1995, 1988, 1975, 1974, 1973, 1950 (warmest December on record) ...... some of those worked out and some of them didn't. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 Day 6 NOPE! This is getting boring and discouraging to be honest Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: That's quite something actually. That is a neat map. Very interesting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 63 in the Tri Cities and 34 in Tacoma. wow 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: That's quite something actually. It's madness. Snow at SeaTac with 35degrees temp while 41 in Wenatchee and 57 in moses lake. It is wild! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, puyallupjon said: 63 in the Tri Cities and 34 in Tacoma. wow Models on drugs. That will never happen. 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 16 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: Pretty stormy right now. Moderate rain and wind gusts to around 30. Just left there a few hours ago to head home. Wind and then the heavy rain between Longview Federal Way. It was a fun drive. Also a couple trees down along the freeway. Glad I’m outa that mess!!! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 Best forcing below the DGZ suggesting low snow to liquid ratios and heavy wet snow at KSEA taken verbatim 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 Monday could be the warning shot to the warning shot before the mother load in February. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 1 minute ago, wxmet said: Best forcing below the DGZ suggesting low snow to liquid ratios and heavy wet snow at KSEA taken verbatim Pretty much no warm nose(or finger, tongue) at 950mb, and previous soundings didn't indicate much, but it was there. Minimal at best now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 6 minutes ago, wxmet said: Best forcing below the DGZ suggesting low snow to liquid ratios and heavy wet snow at KSEA taken verbatim Sounds like lots of transformers lighting up the nighttime sky unfortunately 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 Day 8 Actually has a marginal southward digging trough over western Washington. Rising heights at ~150W too. Hmmm.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 48 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: It's a pretty brief blip in the overall pattern. Ridging returns immediately to the West Coast. Now if we were seeing sustained -PNA, that would be another story. This “blip” (ie: the shortwave trough) isn’t happening by chance. There’s a reason it’s there. And it hasn’t been very ridgy out there other than the 1st week of the month. Zonal yes, but not ridgy. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 HRDPS looks really good both for me and the Seattle folks. Can anyone share good quality maps? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 The 0Z is chilly! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 Day 5+ Gorge, Columbia Basin several notches colder, persistent temps near/below freezing. Interesting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 5 minutes ago, Phil said: This “blip” (ie: the shortwave trough) isn’t happening by chance. There’s a reason it’s there. And it hasn’t been very ridgy out there other than the 1st week of the month. Zonal yes, but not ridgy. Either way, +PNA has been dominant and one skinny, transitory ridge isn't flipping the pattern. However, it does appear things might be starting to move in the right direction. You can claim "delayed but not denied" if it gets cold in early January. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 Day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 The 0z GEM is south of the 12z with the low. The different in track is becoming quite narrow across the models now: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 33 minutes ago, crf450ish said: Currently in Medford Oregon at the hotel....on my way to Phoenix for Xmas vacation. It's 50 degrees and overcast. Can't wait to get down to Burbank, CA and meet up with friends and have some beers. Phoenix real estate market is booming. Owning a home in Western Washington and Phoenix is the way to go! Air BnB the AZ home during summer and use it for vacations in the winter. Who visits Phoenix in the Summer? 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 6 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: Who visits Phoenix in the Summer? Tim. 1 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 13 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: Who visits Phoenix in the Summer? Wonder whatever happened to Farmboy? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 Should put a solid dent in our rainfall deficit. 3 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 WRF still looking good, especially North of Seattle and East of 405. Looks like it's liking about a 300 foot snow level. 1 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 In a much better mood tonight after hitting all 3 bets I’d set the O/U for snow inches in Seattle at 1” with -115 odds. Models later could up that to 1.5” 3 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 18 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: Who visits Phoenix in the Summer? I did and it was 115 degrees Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 Standing water on 512. Cars turning into hydro planes 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 4 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: WRF still looking good, especially North of Seattle and East of 405. Looks like it's liking about a 300 foot snow level. 300 foot snow level perfect for me as im higher than that 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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