AbbyJr Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 GFS not backing down on a major SSW event end of the month early January. In fact, timing has moved up a few days if I'm not mistaken? Thats good news. 7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 4 minutes ago, AbbyJr said: GFS not backing down on a major SSW event end of the month early January. In fact, timing has moved up a few days if I'm not mistaken? Thats good news. Promising. Yep, timing has sped forward. Let's keep that trend going. Thanks for posting. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 Transition from rain to snow is always fun to track especially in these kind of setups. Checking obs waiting for the transition to occur and people giving up 3-4 hours before it’s suppose to happen. I suspect there will be a lot of panic on Monday. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 1 hour ago, bainbridgekid said: Reminds me a little of a poor man's 2/5/17 . . . Nice little event! 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 Up to 0.52” as of 9:10...3.11” on the month. Up to our daily high of 50 currently too. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 1 minute ago, MossMan said: Nice little event! We had 5” of snow during the epic patriots comeback of Super Bowl 51. I always refer to that event as the Super Bowl snowstorm. This event seems like it could be fairly similar like bainbridge said earlier. 3 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 31 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: Who visits Phoenix in the Summer? Every MLB team in the NL West, among others on the schedule 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 17 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: WRF still looking good, especially North of Seattle and East of 405. Looks like it's liking about a 300 foot snow level. Wouldn’t be shocked to see it verify just like that. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 And.... Next. 1 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 30 minutes ago, Kayla said: Tim. No way. I prefer 70s and 80s. We try not to leave home much in the summer. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 9 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: We had 5” of snow during the epic patriots comeback of Super Bowl 51. I always refer to that event as the Super Bowl snowstorm. This event seems like it could be fairly similar like bainbridge said earlier. Major Superbowl snowstorms here in both 2017 and 2019. In 2017 I had 5 straight hours of nonsticking 33 degree snow and it finally started to stick right as the game was ending. Ended up with 5" that night. That was also the night Jim got hammered with like 10" after being completely shut out during the day while it snowed everywhere around him. Just to be clear, that was like Monday's potential storm on steroids. 4 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 GFS ensemble mean is almost on top of the operational with the low position with a good amount of members taking a southern track. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 7 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: We had 5” of snow during the epic patriots comeback of Super Bowl 51. I always refer to that event as the Super Bowl snowstorm. This event seems like it could be fairly similar like bainbridge said earlier. Our 2-25-19 event was the ‘post-Oscars after party hangover’ snowstorm. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 9 minutes ago, jakeinthevalley said: Every MLB team in the NL West, among others on the schedule Almost every NL team and 3 AL teams in a normal season. Assuming the interleague games are mid-loaded into late June. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 1 minute ago, wxmet said: GFS ensemble mean is almost on top of the operational with the low position with a good amount of members taking a southern track. Appears to be trending towards a weaker solution. I wonder how far south this could ultimately end up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 9 minutes ago, MossMan said: Nice little event! Ended up with about 9-10 inches that storm. Snow stuck around for about a week if I remember right. The local school district didn’t have school for a week I think! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: Major Superbowl snowstorms here in both 2017 and 2019. In 2017 I had 5 straight hours of nonsticking 33 degree snow and it finally started to stick right as the game was ending. Ended up with 5" that night. That was also the night Jim got hammered with like 10" after being completely shut out during the day while it snowed everywhere around him. I remember it started snowing during the Super Bowl in 2019 and we did not see our lawn again for 6 weeks. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 52F and pouring. Pleasant night on the porch. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: I remember it started snowing during the Super Bowl in 2019 and we did not see our lawn again for 6 weeks. Steelers/Bengals MNF is pretty much the same thing, right? 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 Just now, bainbridgekid said: Steelers/Bengals MNF is pretty much the same thing, right? Guessing my satellite dish will not be functioning during that game... heavy, wet snow is the worst for that. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 26 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Promising. Yep, timing has sped forward. Let's keep that trend going. Thanks for posting. The real question is whether or not a major SSW would actually translate into a cold and snowy pattern in the PNW? I'd say the odds are in our favour given we are in a -ENSO/+QBO/Low solar state. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 00z GFS Day 1.5 past 12 runs. As I was mentioning to @bainbridgekid earlier, regarding the strength and track of the low on Monday there have been 3 distinct trends. Weaker/south, Stronger/north, and back to weaker/south. It almost appears we're heading back to the initial trend with the low ending up much further south over Oregon. I'm not saying that's what will occur, but it's interesting to see how we have recently been trending back to a weaker/southern solution. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 4 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z GFS Day 1.5 past 12 runs. As I was mentioning to @bainbridgekid earlier, regarding the strength and track of the low on Monday there have been 3 distinct trends. Weaker/south, Stronger/north, and back to weaker/south. It almost appears we're heading back to the initial trend with the low ending up much further south over Oregon. I'm not saying that's what will occur, but it's interesting to see how we have recently been trending back to a weaker/southern solution. What the euro does tonight will be very important. Stays similar to the 18Z, probably a good indication that B.C. will get hit. If it goes towards the 12Z solution, Washington stands to benefit the most Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 Abby Acone did the KOMO writeup this evening and summed it up pretty nicely. But no snow icon on the iPhone weather app yet, so nobody will notice 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 46 minutes ago, AbbyJr said: GFS not backing down on a major SSW event end of the month early January. In fact, timing has moved up a few days if I'm not mistaken? Thats good news. do you work for KOMO? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 00z ECMWF Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 35 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: Major Superbowl snowstorms here in both 2017 and 2019. In 2017 I had 5 straight hours of nonsticking 33 degree snow and it finally started to stick right as the game was ending. Ended up with 5" that night. That was also the night Jim got hammered with like 10" after being completely shut out during the day while it snowed everywhere around him. Just to be clear, that was like Monday's potential storm on steroids. That one was pretty awesome. The transition was more rapid here. Went from cold rain to sticking snow within an hour. Super Bowl has been a good time for snow the last couple years! We had a little bit of snow the day after the super bowl this February as well. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 Pdx is going to get a new highest low on the day with 49. The record is 51 for tomorrow. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 Day 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 00Z ECMWF shows temps near 60 here again at noon on Monday like some previous runs... the 12Z run showed temps in the 30s at that the same here. Could just be timing though. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said: Uh... LOL. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 2 looks like all the cold is digging off shore down the coast leaving us in SW flow? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 Good thing I didn’t tell my wife and kids yet...Looks like a model pullback has started. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 1 hour ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals Whatcom County Special? I will note that the 18Z Euro agrees. Yes, please! 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 Just now, MossMan said: Good thing I didn’t tell my wife and kids yet...Looks like a model pullback has started. My most favorite of holiday traditions; the rug pull! 1 1 1 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 Just now, MossMan said: Good thing I didn’t tell my wife and kids yet...Looks like a model pullback has started. rug pull alert, rug pull alert...... 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 Where does the EURO track the low? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 The ECMWF doesn't have a clue. 12z the low was in central Washington and now it's near the Canadian border. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 Low went north. Starts off north of Seattle and heads NE into BC 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted December 20, 2020 Report Share Posted December 20, 2020 Euro is significantly North. Brings the low through about Bellingham which would leave the Puget Sound region more reliant on CZ action Monday evening/night for snowfall. 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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