Blizzard777 Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I have already had my first cup of coffee... and I fired the shot at myself. That you did! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 00Z EPS loop... as Andrew mentioned last night it appears that second half of November might be drier than normal. On the precip anomaly map you can see the remnants of the current AR skewing the entire 15-day anomaly in NW WA and SW BC. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 53F and overcast here. 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 up to .99" since midnight and winds have picked up. Schools are closed up here, Iowa Street is flooded, and looks like a tree fell over the freeway last night. Power is out up in Sumas, which isn't good for anyone trying to run a sump pump. A quick perusal of FB and some folks in the Nooksack area are starting to move pets and valuables upstairs. Bad thing with this one is that Whatcom County has had a huge influx of people who have moved to the area, and are not really aware of the potential for damage. I have seen more than a few "does this happen very often" posts on the various community FB pages. And in the time it took me to type this we have ticked over to 1.00", 5.07" since Saturday. 3 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 22 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 00Z EPS loop... as Andrew mentioned last night it appears that second half of November might be drier than normal. On the precip anomaly map you can see the remnants of the current AR skewing the entire 15-day anomaly in NW WA and SW BC. Joshua is going to reappear with a vengeance here in a few days. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 51 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I had to look up pedantic... I think I have the same syndrome. Pedantic is an insulting word used to describe someone who annoys others by correcting small errors, caring too much about minor details, or emphasizing their own expertise especially in some narrow or boring subject matter. The awakening is happening!! I also have that syndrome. 2 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North_County Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 My back deck doesn't normally come with a lakefront view. 3 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 Cloud bases are higher this morning... you can see a little of Mt Rainier between the hills on the Issaquah cam. That is such a fortunate location because you really can't see Mt. Rainier once you get east of Bellevue because there are too many hills in the way. But from Lake Sammamish Parkway there is a gap in the hills that perfectly frames Mt. Rainier. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 Very windy here, I’m shocked we still have power. .02” so far on the day, 53 degrees. I just got a text from Mt Vernon schools saying they are open and operating as normal. However our small private school our kids go to that usually follows Mt Vernon SD lead has closed since several of the teachers live in the flood effected areas. Stay safe everyone! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 6 minutes ago, North_County said: My back deck doesn't normally come with a lakefront view. D**n, stay safe! Do you have power where you are at? 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 High Wind Warning for a good portion of EWA /N. ID issued by NWS Spokane. 1 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 Looks to me that there has been a subtle shift south in the AR in the last hour 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North_County Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Chewbacca Defense said: D**n, stay safe! Do you have power where you are at? No. Power went out around 6am. I've got the generator going for now to keep the house warm. I'll have to abandon that if the water gets too high. Or when I run out of fuel, because I have no way of getting to a gas station at this point. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 12 minutes ago, North_County said: My back deck doesn't normally come with a lakefront view. Ouch! Stay vigilant keep safe 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 Wind gusting to 40 mph here and rain has returned after being in the shadow for most of the night. 0.13" on the day. 1 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 Wind is steadily increasing here 59* 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 Just the beginning most likely. 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 Like @Jginmartini said strongest winds so far from the event were 1-3am in the ~45mph range but it’s picking up again. Looking at the radar the AR looks like it’s getting ready to swing through. 1 1 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 Rain still coming down as hard as I’ve seen sustained rain come down here, ever. Water is everywhere. Winds are gusting to 40. 4 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 HRRR says the entire front has cleared the western WA lowlands already by 1 p.m. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 Hope with almost 7” of rain yesterday. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 3 minutes ago, MossMan said: Just the beginning most likely. Yeah this morning will be the peak almost everywhere but I’d imagine if that doesn’t knock out your power the burst through the strait will do it. 1 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: HRRR says the entire front has cleared the western WA lowlands already by 1 p.m. In the meantime, the strong winds and rain is still coming in. Then a pretty impressive cooldown. 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 4 minutes ago, Brennan said: Rain still coming down as hard as I’ve seen sustained rain come down here, ever. Water is everywhere. Winds are gusting to 40. Stay save brother. 3 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 Looks like the Skagit River has crested in Concrete at 38.5 ft which puts it about 12th in the last hundred years or so. They're still predicting record flooding in Mount Vernon, but I don't see how that's possible with the lower crest in Concrete. I'd imagine the crest will get revised down another couple of feet. 2 1 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 Trajectory of the AR have changed as it’s passing through. This will get areas in the central sound wet and windy before it’s finally out. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Skagit Weather said: Looks like the Skagit River has crested in Concrete at 38.5 ft which puts it about 12th in the last hundred years or so. They're still predicting record flooding in Mount Vernon, but I don't see how that's possible with the lower crest in Concrete. I'd imagine the crest will get revised down another couple of feet. Atleast the forecasted levels seem like they’ll come in a bit lower than expected for now that’s good news. 2 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 Peak wind is now until 10am and then diminishing by 1pm. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: HRRR says the entire front has cleared the western WA lowlands already by 1 p.m. Oops. I thought it said 1 am. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 SEA just had a gust of 46mph. Strongest one yet. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 Don’t forget today is “take your chainsaw to work” day! 4 1 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 Rain has been coming down in buckets here on the North Shore for hours on end, and now it is starting to get windy. No rain gauge here, so I have no idea how much has fallen, but I would have to guess it is in the 4 to 8 inch range. Most of the major highways in BC are now closed due to slides, flooding, or both. 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Rain has been coming down in buckets here on the North Shore for hours on end, and now it is starting to get windy. No rain gauge here, so I have no idea how much has fallen, but I would have to guess it is in the 4 to 8 inch range. Most of the major highways in BC are now closed due to slides, flooding, or both. I go to the Vancouver Sun to see news about the flooding and their big headline this morning is about COVID. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 2.15” since midnight here. 6.25” total. A historic rainstorm for BC 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I go to the Vancouver Sun to see news about the flooding and their big headline this morning is about COVID. Pretty pathetic of them. Try https://drivebc.ca/ and go to the conditions and events tab. Literally dozens of high-impact closure notices in red. 4 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 5 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Pretty pathetic of them. Try https://drivebc.ca/ and go to the conditions and events tab. Literally dozens of high-impact closure notices in red. I am busy reading the top of the news of the day up there... Vancouver is going to have the first electric fire truck! Way bigger news than some rain falling. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I go to the Vancouver Sun to see news about the flooding and their big headline this morning is about COVID. Of course it is. So tired of every news outlet shoving this down our throat. 4 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 That front has some horsepower. 3 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 15, 2021 Report Share Posted November 15, 2021 38 minutes ago, Brennan said: Rain still coming down as hard as I’ve seen sustained rain come down here, ever. Water is everywhere. Winds are gusting to 40. The AR is truly amazing to be underneath and witness its powerful rain rates! When it relentless like this we find out how fragile our surrounding are and how powerless we are against such a force! Those tropical raindrops are HUGE! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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