Meatyorologist Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 00z GFS Day 8: 4 Run Trend: 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 00z GFS Day 9: 4 Run Trend: 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lowlandsnow Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Terrible GFS run for Washignton, GEFS so far is better 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Winter cancelled again. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Friday looks wet 3 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 It’s over 1 1 1 (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 3, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Theweatherforums.com most often used cliches: 1. Its over 2. Winter Cancel 3. Devastating Trendz 2 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Just now, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Theweatherforums.com most often used cliches: 1. Its over 2. Winter Cancel 3. Devastating Trendz 4. Backdoor Penetration Complete 4 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 9 minutes ago, lowlandsnow said: Terrible GFS run for Washignton, GEFS so far is better I'm 9 minutes ago, lowlandsnow said: Terrible GFS run for Washignton, GEFS so far is better You mean Western Washington. Some of us in Washington look to be getting heavy snow. Hopefully the rest of you will be too at some point. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 GEM??? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 00z GFS Day 10: 4 Run Trend: 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Just now, Deweydog said: Friday looks wet 1 1 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 00z GFS 10 Day Precip: 10 Day Snowfall: 1 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 No worries, GFS just had the primetime jitters 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 5 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Theweatherforums.com most often used cliches: 1. Its over 2. Winter Cancel 3. Devastating Trendz I can't find that post I did last Winter I think? The Devastating Trendz t-shirt lol. Can anyone find it? 00z ECMWF in 55 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fubario Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 You "winter cancel" people are exhausting. 1 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: No worries, GFS just had the primetime jitters The catch is, it is modelled to be dry then. 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 I am easy to please, just give me my cold easterlies and all is right. 6 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: The catch is, it is modelled to be dry then. Gotta start somewhere. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 3, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Just now, fubario said: You "winter cancel" people are exhausting. Besides, nothing quite says “Winter in the Northwet” like moisture that runs out just as the cold air arrives, dry blast, then massive southerly blast scours the cold air out and back to mild rain. 5 3 2 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, fubario said: You "winter cancel" people are exhausting. 9 times out of 10. It’s sarcasm. 4 1 https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, fubario said: You "winter cancel" people are exhausting. How can you not be devastated about tonight’s GFS? Clearly winter is over and there is nothing we should’ve ever been excited about. We just need to accept it. 1 2 1 1 (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Just now, Kolk1604 said: Gotta start somewhere. At this point, our best hope for snow is to get the cold air in place then hope that something not currently in the models materializes and overruns it. Which, given that we are still talking clown range for most of next week, could well happen. 4 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said: At this point, our best hope for snow is to get the cold air in place then hope that something not currently in the models materializes and overruns it. Which, given that we are still talking clown range for most of next week, could well happen. Maybe Eugene can see snow with that system on Sunday. Temps look to be around 33-34 with very heavy precip so it could happen there! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Isn't the GEFS just an average of 30 perturbed, lower-resolution GFS runs? 2 Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 GEFS is not bad at all, these are temps in the middle of the day 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fubario Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, MillCreekMike said: How can you not be devastated about tonight’s GFS? Clearly winter is over and there is nothing we should’ve ever been excited about. We just need to accept it. lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lowlandsnow Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 1 minute ago, Doinko said: GEFS is not bad at all, these are temps in the middle of the day That's still worse than the 18z GEFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Just now, joelgombiner said: Isn't the GEFS just an average of 30 perturbed, lower-resolution GFS runs? Speaking of which, there’s at least 30 perturbed members on this forum right now. 3 6 1 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: At this point, our best hope for snow is to get the cold air in place then hope that something not currently in the models materializes and overruns it. Which, given that we are still talking clown range for most of next week, could well happen. That's what I'm hoping for. The cold is a lock at this point. Let's see if anything surprising shows up 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 The GEFS is again colder than the Op. 850s -13c to -14c over the central and eastern Gorge. I assume the GFS is simply overdoing the cold air rather how aggressively it spills southward. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 1 minute ago, lowlandsnow said: That's still worse than the 18z GEFS The ensemble mean showing subfreezing highs north of Portland in early November is really good even if it's slightly warmer than the 18z 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, Doinko said: Maybe Eugene can see snow with that system on Sunday. Temps look to be around 33-34 with very heavy precip so it could happen there! Even if that would happen, and Eugene would be only lowland city to score, the real pity of it is that it wouldn’t stop the regulars there from griping how it never snows there. 1 1 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lowlandsnow Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 1 minute ago, Doinko said: The ensemble mean showing subfreezing highs north of Portland in early November is really good even if it's slightly warmer than the 18z Definitely but I would like to see some snow 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 5 hours ago, TT-SEA said: Going for work or for fun? For fun. 2 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 13 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Besides, nothing quite says “Winter in the Northwet” like moisture that runs out just as the cold air arrives, dry blast, then massive southerly blast scours the cold air out and back to mild rain. We've all been at 35°F and rain at some point. It's such a bummer. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 You guys will be worn out before Thanksgiving. 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 The GFS has basically been showing the same thing for the large scale pattern for several runs now. Everything will be in the fine details now, and they can change very quickly. 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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