November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember

[FroYoBro]

Well that was an interesting dog walk! A heavy rain shower just turned into hail. Wind picked up and boom! A lightning strike within a mile of me over here in far SW Portland. Poor doggy is soaked and scared now. 

[T-Town]

4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

This is more fun to look at than the maps with the big snowhole where i live. 

[SnowWillarrive]

3 minutes ago, dhoffine said:

Pouring down rain in the Kent/Auburn valley, not sure about home (Enumclaw), my wife hasn't answered me..

Definitely snowing in Enumclaw 

[Gummy]

5 minutes ago, Cloud said:

UW model for this morning…. Deformation band extends north. 

Isn't that from last night, the newest one has switched the precip to the south, missing Seattle.

[DeepFriedEgg]

I guess it makes sense that Puget sound would do better in a la nina winter.... 

[TacomaWx]

Down to 38 with north winds at home. Looks like there will be a lull in the precip for a bit but by the time more works in it could get interesting again. 

[Randyc321]

16 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

snowing here at work in Port orchard

That's a good sign since the 18z just told us snow would be south of there.

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

GFS goes crazy on Saturday... while the ECMWF doesn't even show much precip that day.

[dhoffine]

2 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said:

Definitely snowing in Enumclaw 

My wife confirmed, Raining

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Last night was the worst damage from wet snow in years. Even in 2019 feb the snow was much dryer.  Been a long time since we had a dump that large of wet snow. Probable Dec 3 2007.

[DeepFriedEgg]

Temp tanked from 47 to 40 in last shower

[Snownerd3000]

5 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

NICE!

You're gonna need a bulldozer

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

GFS goes crazy on Saturday... while the ECMWF doesn't even show much precip that day.

I think about every other model shows a bunch of precip Saturday Morning.

[KingstonWX]

37 and snowing here now. 

[SnarkyGoblin]

More snow than rain in DT Seattle now.

[runninthruda206]

Still rain in udist

[TacomaWx]

34 and snowing in SeaTac. 

[Requiem]

21 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

18z GFS shifted the bullseye up into WA for Friday. Leaves PDX and OR pretty much completely dry now.

The message for us Portlanders is that we should probably get back to tracking heat waves 

Nice squall, though some pretty loud thunder with that one...

[T-Town]

4 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Down to 38 with north winds at home. Looks like there will be a lull in the precip for a bit but by the time more works in it could get interesting again. 

Down to 39 with chunky rain now. Wind is from the north. 

[Cloud]

6 minutes ago, Gummy said:

Isn't that from last night, the newest one has switched the precip to the south, missing Seattle.

Appears so! Thanks for pointing that out. Grabbed the wrong map...  look like that was 4pm tuesday map. The newer one shifted the band south. Bummer, but still interesting to see where things set up. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

[DeepFriedEgg]

Timberline snow stake completely covered

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I think about every other model shows a bunch of precip Saturday Morning.

ECMWF looks strange for Friday night and Saturday... but its been quite consistent now with this scenario.

 

[SnarkyGoblin]

This must be a nightmare to forecast.  So many different variables in such a borderline event.

[KingstonWX]

Real nice snail shower now. 

[Christensen87]

I’m in Enumclaw with my parents for the next couple days. We should do good! 

[Brennan]

Windy app now has a million webcams available. Brand new feature today. 24 hour time lapses too. 

[Gradient Keeper]

4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Looks like Winter!

[Ice_is_Everywhere]

The weather can’t make up its mind between snow and rain here, however the temperature has dropped to 34 from 39 a couple hours ago.

[TacomaWx]

Almost all snow in Milton. 

[Gradient Keeper]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

ECMWF looks strange for Friday night and Saturday... but its been quite consistent now with this scenario.

 

The low is diving south too far offshore.

2 minutes ago, SnarkyGoblin said:

This must be a nightmare to forecast.  So many different variables in such a borderline event.

No kidding! I don't envy any meteorologist trying to forecast where it will, or might snow over the next 48-72 hours! There will be many fluctuations made with short-term fine tuning needed by the hour in some cases.

[SnowWillarrive]

12 minutes ago, dhoffine said:

My wife confirmed, Raining

Funny I live a few miles north of there and it’s dumping snow in Ravensdale.

[Seattle]

Light chunky rain occasionally mixing with snow here. Looks like I'm just low enough and north of heavier precip to miss out on snow in the air. Waiting patiently.

[SouthHillFrosty]

No statement by the NWS for tonight…. Wow

Edited November 30, 2022 by SouthHillFrosty

[TigerWoodsLibido]

[WeatheringLoyalHeights]

Still mostly a mix here, but going to drive from Renton to Ballard in about 30 mins.  Looking forward to all the possible precipitation I may see!

[SnowWillarrive]

1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

No statement by the NWS for tonight…. Wow

Better not to hear from them. 

[Blizzard777]

8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

ECMWF looks strange for Friday night and Saturday... but its been quite consistent now with this scenario.

 

 

to me looks kind of like this action

[TacomaWx]

The next round of precip is south of Olympia. Could be even more interesting in a couple hours. 

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

Stevens Pass ski area will open Friday