Jesse Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Some really nice developments on the GFS tonight, both in the short range and the mid range. Interested to see if there is any ensemble improvement. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 d**n this josh character has really damaged your guys's psyche. You can have that admin guy do an IP search on me if you want. I'm in Miami right now, I'll be back in Tucson on Monday.I noticed you never post in the Southwest forum 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnarkyGoblin Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I feel really bad for him if he's not Again, this shouldn't be too difficult for the admins to determine if it's legit. I think this account is real. The others...definitely not. I highly doubt Josh has the brain cells to mask his IP with a VPN. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 looks further south Every run Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 d**n this josh character has really damaged your guys's psyche. You can have that admin guy do an IP search on me if you want. I'm in Miami right now, I'll be back in Tucson on Monday. Actually I do have a question: is there a reason you didn't post in the SW section of the forum first? Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJ1013 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I noticed you never post in the Southwest forumNope because it's totally dead. I got referred to this forum by someone who's a regular on here. I mainly post on another forum but I really enjoy the model analysis on this board. You guys are much more fast paced and in depth than where I usually post. Was great until this "Josh" bullshit started. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJ1013 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Actually I do have a question: is there a reason you didn't post in the SW section of the forum first?Yes, the only reason I'm here is that I was shown this forum by one of your regulars. I did check out the SW forum but it's completely dead. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Wow, the Canadian is different and interesting. Great for Portland. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I noticed you never post in the Southwest forumTo be fair the Southwest forum is pretty dead compared to the PNW forum. So more people would want to post on this one either way. Quote (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Wow, the Canadian is different and interesting. Great for Portland. Yeah, what the heck has been happening with that model haha Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 The track on the GEM is closer to the 00z GFS now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Not often you see this strong a CZ signature on the GFS.4 PM to 10 PM precip : Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Nope because it's totally dead. I got referred to this forum by someone who's a regular on here. I mainly post on another forum but I really enjoy the model analysis on this board. You guys are much more fast paced and in depth than where I usually post. Was great until this "Josh" bullshit started. Fair enough! I'm curious which regular it was-- I think I understand why some on here are paranoid. But I believe you Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 00z UKMET days 3 to 5. http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/GZ_D5_PN_072_0000.gif http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/GZ_D5_PN_096_0000.gif http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_00/GZ_D5_PN_120_0000.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I feel really bad for him if he's not I can assure you he isn't. He's actually a user on another weather forum that both him and I use. He signed up because he was interested in the model analysis on this forum. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeInEverett Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 These CZ situations always have me so nervous about it screwing me over. Like 2/17/18 and what the WRF show tonight. Feel decent about this one though. Quote (Previous name: MillCreekMike) Everett, WA (elev. 180’) 2023-2024 Snowfall: 1/11: Tr. 1/18: Tr. Go M’s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJ1013 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Fair enough! I'm curious which regular it was-- I think I understand why some on here are paranoid. But I believe you Hahaha. It was Omegaraptor 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I can assure you he isn't. He's actually a user on another weather forum that both him and I use. He signed up because he was interested in the model analysis on this forum. Ah, see? There we go, I had an inkling-- seemed to genuine to just be another Josh profile. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I can assure you he isn't. He's actually a user on another weather forum that both him and I use. He signed up because he was interested in the model analysis on this forum. Hey guys, I just found the 5th account of Josh! 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Hey guys, I just found the 5th account of Josh! this conspiracy just got a lot deeper. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I can assure you he isn't. He's actually a user on another weather forum that both him and I use. He signed up because he was interested in the model analysis on this forum.Yeah, AJ is legit. He posted pictures of himself down in Arizona the other day. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 D**n, some of you on here are beyond paranoid. Keep it weather related ffs. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 d**n this josh character has really damaged your guys's psyche. You can have that admin guy do an IP search on me if you want. I'm in Miami right now, I'll be back in Tucson on Monday. Phil? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Oof... 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North_County Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I think I understand why some on here are paranoid. But I believe you Okay Josh...... (That's a joke, by the way. To be clear, I don't really even care if he does have a burner account.) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 The track on the GEM is closer to the 00z GFS now. Yeah, great track to pull in the east winds. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Okay Josh...... (That's a joke, by the way. To be clear, I don't really even care if he does have a burner account.) Brb, gonna go drink a ton and then pour my insecurities out on a weather blog 2 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Not often you see this strong a CZ signature on the GFS.4 PM to 10 PM precip : qpf_006h.us_city_sea.pngWow. 6 tenths inch converts to 6” snow at 10” per. That would be nice. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Nice improvements on the GFS and CMC so far for PDX. UKMET still looks like a screw job. UKMET can sometimes be an indicator of what the ECMWF will do but we will see. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Nice improvements on the GFS and CMC so far for PDX. UKMET still looks like a screw job. UKMET can sometimes be an indicator of what the ECMWF will do but we will see. UKMET actually still looks better for PDX than the last run, so I'll take that as a tiny victory. Weird how changed the GEM was, to say the least. 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Not often you see this strong a CZ signature on the GFS. 4 PM to 10 PM precip : qpf_006h.us_city_sea.pngI glance at the WRF and think it's going to dump snow here tomorrow evening... but the GFS and ECMWF agree on your area. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJ1013 Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Here's a link to the post I made where I showed photos of the area I live in http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/2146-part-i-january-2020-weather-discussion-for-the-pnw/?p=540798 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Phil? Tucson Phil 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Nice improvements on the GFS and CMC so far for PDX. UKMET still looks like a screw job. UKMET can sometimes be an indicator of what the ECMWF will do but we will see. Kind of interesting that the euro has a suboptimal track for PDX with the low going north and bringing in southerly flow but it still manages pretty good results. Though half of the snow comes from Monday which is pretty suspect. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 I'm liking my chances at a dusting tomorrow night. ECMWF seems to be picking up on very light accumulations in the metro hills based off the runs earlier. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Here's a link to the post I made where I showed photos of the area I live in http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/2146-part-i-january-2020-weather-discussion-for-the-pnw/?p=540798My apologies in that case. That Josh guy did indeed damage our collective psyches. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Here's a link to the post I made where I showed photos of the area I live in http://theweatherforums.com/index.php/topic/2146-part-i-january-2020-weather-discussion-for-the-pnw/?p=540798 regardless, no one cares about the weather in your neck of the woods. And I mean that in the nicest way 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 All the way down to...42F Rainy out there. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 These CZ situations always have me so nervous about it screwing me over. Like 2/17/18 and what the WRF show tonight. Feel decent about this one though.That one went to my old house instead! 3 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 12, 2020 Report Share Posted January 12, 2020 Nice improvements on the GFS and CMC so far for PDX. UKMET still looks like a screw job. UKMET can sometimes be an indicator of what the ECMWF will do but we will see.Still going be a couple days before we get a better idea of what track and how strong the midweek system will be. Hasn't even formed yet and will be doing so out over the Ocean. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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