January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part I)

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Everybody get the fuck in here and let's party. Almost 100 people on the board right now. Here in a week it could be 250+

Buckle up!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I think he’s mainly disappointed that a a mid-January start to spring may be in jeopardy.

When i walk into fred meyer and see all the D**n seeds out already i want to kick the rack down, always a rush to spring, winter just Started!!

[TacomaWx]

Glad the models still look good this morning…honestly needed something good today. Saw a terrible car accident this morning at work here on Highway 18. Guy in one of the cars was horribly injured screaming for help and we couldn’t get to him until paramedics arrived. Honestly still shaken up by seeing and hearing that. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Just now, MWG said:

Can you post Medford? 

[Roman-Dallas Snow-Zone]

Based on my past results I think this pattern could produce 2’+ snow totals for my location. Let’s get this rolling 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

3 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

What about Port Angeles?

Goofus says you get a 50-burger.

[catnip]

Wiz after he gets home and  sees this morning's runs.

 

[Norwood]

Weather will be really boring when they can predict it for the whole year ahead of time. 

[RentonHill]

30 minutes ago, Phil said:

Everyone on the plane is hacking up a storm. Never seen anything like it, I bet 1/3rd of the passengers have covid or flu. Meanwhile I’m barely symptomatic, so don’t judge.

i cant believe how many people are sick right now. especially people with kids. My wife and I are FINALLY starting to feel better after a nasty cold that evolved into a sinus infection and a terrible deep cough that will probably take two months to totally disappear. Miserable house for the holidays. 

[iFred]

21 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Some one plz post the AI model.

Graphcast has the ridge hugging the coast and everything being pinched to the east.

For what it is work, Graphcast is based on ERA5 data and so each new run is effectively saying "lets throw the initilaization dataset into the hopper, tuned down the resolution, and let the analog matching begin". We'd need to see what features are being modeled and what is being dropped at lower resolutions.

Someone can say otherwise, but my eyeballs are going to an Aleutian low that might be under or over powered based on how you're looking at it.

[LowerGarfield]

We all know there are probably like 5-10 lurkers right now who have been reading the thread but have never posted. During the 2019 event, I checked this site religiously  every day before joining like 2 years later. Before the event starts, I challenge you to create an account and say hello! No professional met experience required, but of course those are always appreciated. So if you live in WA, OR, ID, MT, or even northern CA join us...and share your snow totals later.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

When i walk into fred meyer and see all the D**n seeds out already i want to kick the rack down, always a rush to spring, winter just Started!!

The same retail industry that now trots the Christmas stuff out a week before Halloween….

[MWG]

2 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Wow!! Thank you! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

2 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Goofus says you get a 50-burger.

Yeah… this is the perfect setup. I’m at 1000’ too. 2019 redux

[Tyler Mode]

4 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

i cant believe how many people are sick right now. especially people with kids. My wife and I are FINALLY starting to feel better after a nasty cold that evolved into a sinus infection and a terrible deep cough that will probably take two months to totally disappear. Miserable house for the holidays. 

My cough literally last two months.  Was happy to finally get rid of it.

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

What an a**hole!!!

[Tyler Mode]

4 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

The same retail industry that now trots the Christmas stuff out a week before Halloween….

I've worked retail for 26 years.  It has gotten way earlier.  But guess what, as soon as it's out, people are buying it.   That's why it keeps getting put out.  We sell through 80% of our holiday stuff long before the holidays.

[Phishy Wx]

26 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Neighbor’s dog has been out in the yard barking non-stop since the Euro finished running…

dang when did you move to town (my neighbors dog is doing the same)

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Tyler Mode said:

My cough literally last two months.  Was happy to finally get rid of it.

I had COVID the end of February 2022, it was rough, but I never had much of a cough. May 2022 I got whatever strain of influenza was going around and my cough lasted over 2 months. I was in hell. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

He also said it would get to 48F on Dec 21, 2008 in Yamhill County...whoops.

[High Desert Mat?]

9 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

When i walk into fred meyer and see all the D**n seeds out already i want to kick the rack down, always a rush to spring, winter just Started!!

No $hit. Like the Valentines crap the day after Xmas hogging up all the shelves. Get real. 

[umadbro]

15 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said:

Would be great to hear Mr. Nelsen’s thoughts on this. I know he won’t dive in until it’s closer but would still like a new blog post about the trends or something. 

He mentioned on Facebook that “something is up” but that’s about it. 

[Phishy Wx]

19 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Control members going insane with the snow totals IMBY.

Clown Control to Major Tom

[SouthHillFrosty]

[iFred]

Dalle tried.

[SnarkyGoblin]

7 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

i cant believe how many people are sick right now. especially people with kids. My wife and I are FINALLY starting to feel better after a nasty cold that evolved into a sinus infection and a terrible deep cough that will probably take two months to totally disappear. Miserable house for the holidays. 

Hey my wife and I got the exact same thing a few days before christmas.  It slowly travelled deeper into the chest.  My nose cleared but the cough lingered for a long time (still have it). Was one of the worse ones I've had in a while.

Wasn't covid.

Our 3 year old son recovered the quickest.

[Cascadia_Wx]

5 minutes ago, umadbro said:

He mentioned on Facebook that “something is up” but that’s about it. 

Probably hard to type with gardening gloves on. 

[Deweydog]

6 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

dang when did you move to town (my neighbors dog is doing the same)

I had a non-sexual urge to cohabitate with my 71 year old mother in law and also experience a TOP TIER BLAST near the gorge. 

[SnarkyGoblin]

2 minutes ago, iFred said:

Dalle tried.

lol.  The space needle is not at the correct location like at all.  Curious what prompt you used.

[NorthBend RainEnthusiast]

[Phishy Wx]

Me:

When they say 'It's Coming' on The Weather Forums, what does that mean?

ChatGPT:

The phrase "It's Coming" on weather forums is not a standard meteorological term, and its meaning may depend on the context within the specific forum or community where it's used. In general, weather forums are platforms where weather enthusiasts, meteorologists, and the general public discuss various weather-related topics.

If someone says "It's Coming" in a weather forum, they could be referring to an upcoming weather event, such as a storm, precipitation, or any significant weather change. It might be a way of expressing anticipation or excitement about a particular weather occurrence.

To better understand the meaning in a specific context, you should look for additional information in the discussion thread or ask for clarification from the person who made the statement. Weather forums often use informal language and expressions, so the meaning may vary based on the community's conventions.

[RaleighHillsRunner]

15 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

We all know there are probably like 5-10 lurkers right now who have been reading the thread but have never posted. During the 2019 event, I checked this site religiously  every day before joining like 2 years later. Before the event starts, I challenge you to create an account and say hello! No professional met experience required, but of course those are always appreciated. So if you live in WA, OR, ID, MT, or even northern CA join us...and share your snow totals later.

Guilty as charged Made an account last season after religiously tracking Mark’s blog here in Ptown for several years. Love snow and the model riding season. Hoping this thing verifies!

Learned a lot on here; still have no idea what Phil is talking about most of the D**n time, but it sounds smart  

[Deweydog]

We’re right next 2 each other, Jess! Just like in REAL LIFE!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

CFS is relatively on board. Also cools things off the beginning of February, though nothing crazy. 

[Deweydog]

Still barking. VERY interested to see how he reacts to the 18z…

[Phishy Wx]

Wunderground now trending towards 'on board'

 

[HuskyMaestro]

26 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

We all know there are probably like 5-10 lurkers right now who have been reading the thread but have never posted. During the 2019 event, I checked this site religiously  every day before joining like 2 years later. Before the event starts, I challenge you to create an account and say hello! No professional met experience required, but of course those are always appreciated. So if you live in WA, OR, ID, MT, or even northern CA join us...and share your snow totals later.

Sadly didn't get to experience 2019 here, but discovered the forum from @KSeattleWeather and lurked in 2021 and kept lurking for a year until finally joining. Haven't gotten to experience the buildup and model-riding to a potential widespread snow event as an actual member here, so this has been a fun ride so far. Still so many days out, but feeling each day creep closer and hoping the runs verify. 

[SimplySmoothWX]

37 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

We all know there are probably like 5-10 lurkers right now who have been reading the thread but have never posted. During the 2019 event, I checked this site religiously  every day before joining like 2 years later. Before the event starts, I challenge you to create an account and say hello! No professional met experience required, but of course those are always appreciated. So if you live in WA, OR, ID, MT, or even northern CA join us...and share your snow totals later.

Shhh...

[Winterdog]

34 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

i cant believe how many people are sick right now. especially people with kids. My wife and I are FINALLY starting to feel better after a nasty cold that evolved into a sinus infection and a terrible deep cough that will probably take two months to totally disappear. Miserable house for the holidays. 

My wife and I are just getting over that exact same thing.  My cough lasted 6 weeks and her sinus infection is still going a bit.  Never got terribly miserable but it was bad enough that you didn't want to go anywhere or do anything.  49 here after a low of 41, partly cloudy