Still all playing out like '19, '20, and '21.
Try a mental exercise, close your eyes.
Think of cold, snow, a wintery landscape. Think of the cityscapes of Vancouver, Seattle, Portland, and Eugene, and picture them with just globs of snow heaped over them. Keep your eyes closed and imagine maps filled with those pepto pinks and purples. Imagine that arctic air spilling over Vancouver Island and making its way back to Washington and Oregon. Imagine regional blizzard warnings and snow cov
Yeah, the delta on Monday will be telling with Graphcast and Spire. People forget (or don't know) that both models only work off of initialization data and then use various degrees of image based machine learning at very high terrain definitions. Its effectively taking those analog lists to the next level. This means though that there is no real condition modeling taking place, but rather a "I think this feature will develop here because it typically does when these patterns at these levels are
We had 3 absolute banner years in a row for snowpack in the central Cascades... then one sort of down year with a Nino. But our water supply is still in great shape. Some people seem to think our ecosystem can't survive the variable nature of Nina/Nino winters even though its been happening for eons. Not every winter can have 150-200% snowpack.
With our new warm season climo, it's very tough for us to avoid 90s now with any potential ridge from now through about mid-September.
Gone are the days of 85 degree peaks.
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