TacomaWaWx Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Gfs and euro look good for Southern BC and Western WA...but not great for a regional event 1 Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, Requiem said: Nice can’t wait to move to Boulder someday As I mentioned earlier, we were just one trend away from losing all those pretty 20-30 inch snow maps. The cold pool east can't do us much good if the low is going well north of us and giving us a SW wind. I'm sure there will be more model changes to come but yeah not looking good for us since I think the euro has the best handle on this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 A definite step back from yesterday's 12z run, and the 00z trend continues. I was hoping for a suppressed jet. D**n Pacific Ocean! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Arctic front snow during the day on Wednesday... That’s garbage day here! Garbage day has set a trend this season for being the most active weather day here so I don’t doubt this at all! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 I still say either the sweet spot will be Portland or way north around the border. No way puget sound gets nailed like that again just 2 year later almost the the same day! 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Here is February 1884. These are the all-time PDX records for February 11-13th (Downtown/Airport) https://climate.usu.edu/mapServer/reports/e15daily.php?stn=USW00024274&year=1884&month=2&unit=EN&network=direct:ghcn&sidebar=0 2 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just tons of moisture... straight up insanity for WA from Thursday into Friday and more is still coming. 4 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 47°F in Tigard/Beaverton at hour 132 If this run verifies, I’m moving to Montana. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: I still say either the sweet spot will be Portland or way north around the border. No way puget sound gets nailed like that again just 2 year later almost the the same day! I would honestly like either of those to happen. I Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: I still say either the sweet spot will be Portland or way north around the border. No way puget sound gets nailed like that again just 2 year later almost the the same day! Lol what is there some rule saying it won’t happen? It’s happened before it can happen again. Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Wait, why doesn’t the Euro look like the GEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Next system is way north too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Starting to look like a big juicy nothing burger 1 2 https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Great. By Tuesday that will all be up in Southern BC. Gotta hope things switch back towards the GEM, but it's probably out to lunch. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 What cold air? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Even most of my offshore flow is gone gloomy Sunday isn’t it 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 There's still time to move back to the colder solutions. Let's hope they prevail. I never bet against the Pacific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 With a shift like this and still days away, we have to hope it doesn’t sling straight into BC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Warm air surging north. Good thing I never was fully on board. This is the most likely solution. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, hawkstwelve said: By Friday evening... Oh yeah thats more like it :)))) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 These are the January 2011 fears we were talking about yesterday. It’s just one run...hopefully the next run brings things back south a bit. Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Downright brutal. I hope models can someday get a better grip on weather or stop allowing us to see each run. What a waste of time. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Wow, caught up finally. Asleep from 11:15 to 8:30, like I’m a 16 year old on winter break! I see the bullseye has moved dramatically north...hopefully it doesn’t go too far north! Things are getting serious. Weather app shows a high of 28 and low of 17 for Thursday. Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Euro looks significantly warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Great. By Tuesday that will all be up in Southern BC. Gotta hope things switch back towards the GEM, but it's probably out to lunch. Devastating trends 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 23 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Looks like Uranium City, Saskatchewen hit -56 this morning, which would set an all-time February low and tie their all-time record low from January 1974. Impossible..the climate is wArMiNg Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Remember yesterday when people made fun of me for saying Eugene would be in the 50s? 1 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, umadbro said: Starting to look like a big juicy nothing burger I'd like that with sharp cheddar and ketchup please Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said: By Friday evening... 30 for me! 1 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, Timmy said: Downright brutal. I hope models can someday get a better grip on weather or stop allowing us to see each run. What a waste of time. Really though, maybe I should find a better hobby then getting invested in these things. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 For what it’s worth, that’s definitely a more “classic” progression with retrograding Arctic energy unsupported by a strong Pacific block. Almost immediately becomes cyclogenic. 4 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, Timmy said: Downright brutal. I hope models can someday get a better grip on weather or stop allowing us to see each run. What a waste of time. We all know once the shift happens we almost never get it back, but who knows. Maybe the GEM will be right. lol 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 We still got time. I'm not pulling out the pitchforks yet Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: Remember yesterday when people made fun of me for saying Eugene would be in the 50s? It’s only one run. It’s obviously not set in stone yet. Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Warm air surging north. Good thing I never was fully on board. This is the most likely solution. February 19 says things can change. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, Snowdrift said: A trend north is disconcerting. I'm hoping for the colder solutions. Don’t get me wrong...I wants it’s all! But, if we only get the initial Arctic Blast with 2-3 hour burst of snow and strong winds I’m good so agree with you on the colder solution. Once the cold air is in place bring on that overrunning event battle between cold and moist warm! Loving our position currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, Snowdrift said: There's still time to move back to the colder solutions. Let's hope they prevail. I never bet against the Pacific. True. But we've seen this happen a few times the last few years. Probably be a decent event north of Kelso. But realistically north of Seattle. The models performance this year has been abysmal. https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemDuck Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Euro digs the trough straight westward and doesn’t allow it to dig southwest and it gets cutoff ending the fun somewhat early but not before burying Washington Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 96 redux? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Who wants to catch up after the Super Bowl to watch the 00z runs put the final nail in the coffin? Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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