On the 7th month of... July PNW 2022 (Preferance Wars)

[Cascadia_Wx]

9 minutes ago, Phil said:

If you ban me it’s right back to 1999-2005 winters. 

I would take it for some 1999-2005 summers.

[NWbyNW]

Never thought I would say this, but I would feel blessed if our highs only reached the 80Fs as shown in the latest extended forecast for Everett. 

[TacomaWx]

7 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I would take 1999-2005 for another century if it meant our region wouldn't experience a mid level die off event every other year

We should’ve known we were f*cked with the recent heat events in Japan the Midwest and now Europe. Some of the videos of the buckling roads and fires there are pretty insane. 

[MossMan]

18 minutes ago, Phil said:

If you ban me it’s right back to 1999-2005 winters. 

Oh GOD NO!! Though I did have a nice little event at the end of 04/beginning of 05 if I am remembering correctly! 

[ShawniganLake]

35 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

How about those teleconnections? Those troughy analogs?

Summer weather doesn’t care about the tropics anymore.  Hasn’t mattered for awhile now. 

[SnowWillarrive]

37 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I would take 1999-2005 for another century if it meant our region wouldn't experience a mid level die off event every other year

I’m ok with these wild summers as long as the good winters keep happening. 

[BLI snowman]

37 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I would take it for some 1999-2005 summers.

2003 and 2004 were pretty hawt for the time. Would be pretty agreeable though by recent standards.

[Deweydog]

Might need to phire up of the ol’ phorecast contest machine.

[MossMan]

All of this teleconnection talk has gotten me in the mood for some daily PNA fuzz! 

[Deweydog]

Massive Ensemble Improvement season is only a matter of weeks away!

[TacomaWx]

12 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Might need to phire up of the ol’ phorecast contest machine.

I’ll start the thread right meow. Predictions due by Friday or Sunday maybe? 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Never thought I would be celebrating an 18z GFs run that only shows 3-4 days peaking in the low 100s but here we are.

 

[Cloud]

13 minutes ago, MossMan said:

All of this teleconnection talk has gotten me in the mood for some daily PNA fuzz! 

Not even close to being fuzzy! This is totally HD

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Hotel next to us caught on fire. Omg this is horrible.

https://www.the-sun.com/news/5817642/dallas-fort-worth-airport-fire-dfw/amp/

[GobBluth]

Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

Never thought I would be celebrating an 18z GFs run that only shows 3-4 days peaking in the low 100s but here we are.

 

Only Thursday has vague similarities to last June, otherwise the comparison is ridiculous. What you're describing isn't crazy during the hottest time of the year.

[Meatyorologist]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Never thought I would be celebrating an 18z GFs run that only shows 3-4 days peaking in the low 100s but here we are.

 

Remember when a week of 80s was a heatwave? That's the way it was in the aughts when I was a kid.

Normal was low-mid 70s and clouds burning off around noon. Like a slightly warmer version of this weekend.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, GobBluth said:

Only Thursday has vague similarities to last June, otherwise the comparison is ridiculous. What you're describing isn't crazy during the hottest time of the year.

Never said the 18z was anything like June 2021. The comparison isn’t so ridiculous for the Euro though.

[snow_wizard]

Looks like the models are converging on the idea of some hot weather next week and then a retrogression in time for early August.

[GobBluth]

Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

Never said the 18z was anything like June 2021. The comparison isn’t so ridiculous for the Euro though.

just referencing some of the comments others have made today.

[GHweatherChris]

Hmm, noone has mentioned the possibility of some hot weather on here today at all. 

Edited July 19, 2022 by GHweatherChris

[Cascadia_Wx]

2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Remember when a week of 80s was a heatwave? That's the way it was in the aughts when I was a kid.

Normal was low-mid 70s and clouds burning off around noon. Like a slightly warmer version of this weekend.

Aka a summer from HELL if you ask a few people here.

Summer 2010 was like that and there was one particular user who was pushed to the edge of sanity. 

[Cloud]

5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Looks like the models are converging on the idea of some hot weather next week and then a retrogression in time for early August.

Hopefully this will be the last major heatwave of the season. Summer's window will be closing fast once we head into late August. 

[TacomaWx]

6 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Hmm, noone has mentioned the possibility of some hot weather on here today at all. 

Not too unusual for people to talk about upcoming weather on weather forums…

[Deweydog]

If this verifies as a nice, robust midseason event it bodes well for avoiding the super Extended Stay America summer come September and early October.

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

If this verifies as a nice, robust midseason event it bodes well for avoiding the super Extended Stay America summer come September and early October.

Take your superstitious voodoo elsewhere

[Cloud]

9 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Hmm, noone has mentioned the possibility of some hot weather on here today at all. 

Welcome to the party…

[TacomaWx]

12 minutes ago, GobBluth said:

just referencing some of the comments others have made today.

Up here atleast it could end up pretty comparable to July 2009 and June 2021 getting to 100. Don’t think we will see 6/28/21 temps but the duration might make it a pretty comparable event to those juggernauts. 

[Cloud]

We're just going to ignore all the puking Randy has been doing since April is finally going to pay pay off and deliver us w/ possibly a week's long of extreme heat?! YAY!! 

[Meatyorologist]

6 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Aka a summer from HELL if you ask a few people here.

Summer 2010 was like that and there was one particular user who was pushed to the edge of sanity. 

You may be surprised to learn there was a version of me not quite like this user you speak of, but one that used to favor the warm summers.

This version of me looooved the second half of 2012. Then he was really pleased when things picked up where they left off in 2013. Then 2014 one upped things again and he was very happy!

But then 2015 rolled by and redefined what this climate was capable of. And 2016-20 continued with the alien marine layer behavior and the constant overperformance of warmth, something he grew worried for.

2021 of course shocked my core but it felt oddly.... Expected. Even during the oppressive warmth of 2013-2020, only August 2020 even approached what would be considered a really powerful heatwave in the Puget Sound. Just lots of dull warmth. We were due in a way. We felt due. But I never expected that.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

KPTV going with 98 next Mon and Tue so nothing too extreme just yet.

[TT-SEA]

12 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Aka a summer from HELL if you ask a few people here.

Summer 2010 was like that and there was one particular user who was pushed to the edge of sanity. 

Are you mad that I don't like clouds and drizzle all summer either?   So sorry. 

Side note... I ran the satellite loop for July and August of 2010 a few weeks ago and it was really not that bad.   It cleared out almost every afternoon.   Waiting until 1 or 2 p.m. to see sunshine most days is still annoying in the summer... but at least it did clear out.  

[Deweydog]

9 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Take your superstitious voodoo elsewhere

Calling for a hot September?

[Cloud]

Welp. I kinda knew this was coming but 18z is going hotter for the central sound areas. And Tacoma hitting over the century mark on consecutive days. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

7 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Calling for a hot September?

Warm is more likely than cool pretty much any given month these days. I don’t think yet another freak heat event at x time of year will really change the equation all that much.

[TT-SEA]

SEA is at 81 at 4 p.m.

For those scoring at home (@snow_wizard) the 12Z ECMWF showed 75 for a high and the 12Z GFS showed 84.   The GFS was considered laughably bad this morning.   It will end much closer than the ECMWF though.   

[Phil]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

SEA is at 81 at 4 p.m.

For those scoring at home (@snow_wizard) the 12Z ECMWF showed 75 for a high and the 12Z GFS showed 84.   The GFS was considered laughably bad this morning.   It will end much closer than the ECMWF though.   

What’s the temp at Boeing field?

[The Blob]

How early in August are the pumpkin spice lattes going to be released?

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

What’s the temp at Boeing field?

78 there.

84 in beautiful North Bend.   82 in Issaquah where my kids are on Lake Sammamish.   

 

[Cloud]

3 minutes ago, Phil said:

What’s the temp at Boeing field?

79 at 4pm. Still 79.

[Deweydog]

9 minutes ago, The Blob said:

How early in August are the pumpkin spice lattes going to be released?

Costco has Halloween sh*t out.