TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Smoke has cleared a bit. Thank goodness. Another shitt GFS run. The model war continues. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Blizzard777 Posted October 13, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 He’s Back !!! Nest cam caught the action last night. Hope the video shows FullSizeRender.MOV 10 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MV_snow Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Pretty sad that we’re in mid Oct and model riding just for normal Fall rains instead of lowland snow. I definitely put more stock in the Euro’s solution given the EPS is rock solid. The 12z GEFS also looks pretty good so I wouldn’t put much stock in the GFS Op beyond day 7 anyway. I definitely get the anxiety though given the anomalies since late July. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 GEFS is crap. Low next weekend is weakened and further west. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 23 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I'm going for around a 60% chance the ECMWF will be right. I have no idea why the GFS and ECMWF are so different right now. The problem I have is that there are no ensemble members among the last three GFS runs that agree at all with the Euro operational output. I will not be surprised at all if the 0Z Euro starts hedging towards the GFS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 38 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Normally the Euro is the more accurate of the two but ever since last July it has been unwise to bet against dryness and torching. So who knows which will prevail. The 00z GFS run will be wearing a beret and carrying a baguette. Let's hope so anyway. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 Team Euro Team GFS pick your challenger 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 2 hours ago, RentonHillTC said: at Cafe Milano? At Del Frisco Grille, but that's before I got there. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 Looks like the Cedar Creek fire is up to 122k acres. Fires of that size west of the Cascade Crest are, at least supposed to be, rare events. You have the Yacolt Burn, Tillamook Burn, 1936 Bandon, and September 2020 burns and that's really about it for massive westside fires. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 13 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Team Euro Team GFS pick your challenger If it’s Hat I will go out and play more! If wet finally happens I suppose the house needs a lot of attention as I’ve ignored it all summer But….no matter what I should probably clean the gutters in the next 7 days regardless. I’ve got a plan 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 Maybe everyone should wash their cars. I mean, it works in the winter if you buy a snowblower or snow shovel it usually doesn’t snow. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 75 for the high at SEA. Talk about an over performing a** day for the wrong reasons. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 Which one would bring out the weenie in you the most? Pick below! 1) The 00z GFS holds serve with another ugly run and the GEFS minimal precip with ridging. The 00z ECMWF and EPS doesn't budge as well showing the pattern change at Day 7-8 with cold trough sitting over us. Wet, chilly, mountain snows. .... OR 2) The 00z GFS moves towards the EURO with chilly troughing throughout Day 8-16, but the 00z ECMWF moves towards the previous GFS with only a brief, transitory trough and upper low digging well offshore leading to another ridge. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 Seattle has the 8th worst air quality in the world. 1 2 1 Quote Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 30 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Which one would bring out the weenie in you the most? Pick below! 1) The 00z GFS holds serve with another ugly run and the GEFS minimal precip with ridging. The 00z ECMWF and EPS doesn't budge as well showing the pattern change at Day 7-8 with cold trough sitting over us. Wet, chilly, mountain snows. .... OR 2) The 00z GFS moves towards the EURO with chilly troughing throughout Day 8-16, but the 00z ECMWF moves towards the previous GFS with only a brief, transitory trough and upper low digging well offshore leading to another ridge. Number 2 would be more upsetting to me at this point. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 6 hours ago, Sonny Summers said: Of course the East Coast gets above average snowfall in January. Please wait while I grab my barf bag. images.mp4 Why the hate? 1 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 7 minutes ago, Phil said: Why the hate? We've enjoyed our good friend Reggie McRidgerson way too often over the years. I can only tolerate so much fog. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted October 14, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 Hadn’t looked at the models the last few days. Can’t believe how dry they are through the next 7 days. Only glimmer of hope is the euro +7 days out. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 This evening at soccer practice. 70 for a high. 3 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 10 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: Hadn’t looked at the models the last few days. Can’t believe how dry they are through the next 7 days. Only glimmer of hope is the euro +7 days out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 9 hours ago, Deweydog said: Next round of feet photos should be of all of us wearing Nikes and drinking Kool-Aid. Only got safety shoes, but I did have kool-aid earlier today. The smoke layer was thick this afternoon, I could only see the bottom half of Mt.Hood going to work. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 21 minutes ago, MossMan said: This evening at soccer practice. 70 for a high. That bare tree makes it look like its the dead of winter and cold there. 1 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: That bare tree makes it look like its the dead of winter and cold there. But it's really 80 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 3 hours ago, Deweydog said: Latest 83+ on record at PDX. A record that will be re-set Saturday or Sunday. Not even a close call or even making it interesting. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 And yeah there is not doubt in my mind the GFS will win this model battle. Euro is a better model objectively, but that doesn’t negate the fact that an inordinate amount of weight should always be given to whichever model is warmer and drier for our region. 4 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 3 hours ago, snow_wizard said: I'm going for around a 60% chance the ECMWF will be right. I have no idea why the GFS and ECMWF are so different right now. GFS is not seeing the snow cover upstream in Siberia but Euro is?. GeoPolitical? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 48 minutes ago, MossMan said: This evening at soccer practice. 70 for a high. Saturns in orbit again! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 11 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: And yeah there is not doubt in my mind the GFS will win this model battle. Euro is a better model objectively, but that doesn’t negate the fact that an inordinate amount of weight should always be given to whichever model is warmer and drier for our region. Ugh Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 Here we go! Time for a good GFS run! C'MON!!!! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 00z is running! 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 4 hours ago, snow_wizard said: Wow what a terrible run. We truly are in the end of days. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, Deweydog said: 00z is running! Better go catch it!! HAHAHAHAHAHAHA! Ahhhhh…It needs to weather soon. 4 1 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 6 minutes ago, Deweydog said: 00z is running! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 That’s a massive Aleutian low. 1 1 1 2 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 12 minutes ago, MossMan said: Better go catch it!! HAHAHAHAHAHAHA! Ahhhhh…It needs to weather soon. With the way it’s been running… no one want to catch the D**n thing 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 1 hour ago, MossMan said: This evening at soccer practice. 70 for a high. Nice to have the Eye of Sauron watching over soccer practice. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 That is a huge ridge rebuilt by next Wednesday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 The D**n thing is actually holding quite firm lol. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 Just another DOA GFS run. Don’t really need to see beyond 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted October 14, 2022 Report Share Posted October 14, 2022 Feels bad, man Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by SouthHillFrosty,
Congrats Frosty!!!
Recommended by Meatyorologist
35 reactions
Go to this post
Posted by T-Town,
Incredible tornado footage.
Recommended by Meatyorologist
13 reactions
Go to this post
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.