Gradient Keeper Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 Just now, kokaneekidz said: Apparently they have footage of the alleged perp that started the Nakia Creek Fire. Find him and throw him off a cliff, or make him have to reforest all areas he caused burn, or.... Something like that. 18z GFS in 1 hour 48 minutes 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 Just now, DJ Droppin said: Find him and throw him off a cliff, or make him have to reforest all areas he caused burn, or.... Something like that. 18z GFS in 1 hour 48 minutes I love it. Have em plant a million seedlings one by one. Should keep em pre-occupied for a while or longer 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 Smoke is 2020 bad here. 2 5 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 1 hour ago, Phishy Wx said: euro showing a 979er coming in next wed Can we get this storm track with cold air entrenched in 2 months please and thanks! 4 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 My Davis App says the fires are gonna take a big hit here Saturday. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: Smoke is 2020 bad here. It’s actually worse up here but you had it worse in 2020 than I did. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 20 minutes ago, Doiinko said: Smoke is pretty bad here now too. Here too, probably the worst in a few weeks. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 Definitely not as bad as 2020 here in Salem today, but not good! Maybe September 2017 level. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 1 hour ago, Phishy Wx said: euro showing a 979er coming in next wed Ohhh. Who here had October 25-26 in the Wind Storm contest? 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 30 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: Rob will love that! Here we go! Yeahhhh! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 Frame that 12z ECMWF op run. Perfect. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 13 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Find him and throw him off a cliff, or make him have to reforest all areas he caused burn, or.... Something like that. 18z GFS in 1 hour 48 minutes Our arsonist on the king fire got 20 years! https://wildfiretoday.com/2016/04/09/arsonists-selfie-at-king-fire-leads-to-sentence-of-20-years-in-prison/ 7 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 10 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Smoke is 2020 bad here. Getting close here today as well after virtually no smoke the last 3 days. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 our smoke is coming from the fire in the Northern ID panhandle Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 Inversions make smoke worse. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: Inversions make smoke worse. Only if there is smoke around to make worse, and after this weekend, it sure looks like there won’t be. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 14 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Here we go! Yeahhhh! It must be tracking in a bad spot. I was expecting more widespread higher gusts 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Getting close here today as well after virtually no smoke the last 3 days. We’re in about the perfect drainage spot for the Nakia fire. After a nice inversiony night, it’s settled into the valley like concrete. 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 Current accumulations! 1 2 1 8 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 Smoke season is a pain in the ash. 2 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 I found winter. It's in West Virginia 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 September 2020 was still the worst smoke I have ever been in, you could not be outside for more than a few minutes during the height of it. 1 6 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 1 hour ago, Phishy Wx said: euro showing a 979er coming in next wed It's so weird because I'm pretty sure this is the same 961mb low that the GFS was showing at one point yesterday then completely backed off away from it. Now the Euro is showing it. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 1 hour ago, Sonny Summers said: It's safe to say that everybody would be happy with the 12z ECMWF. Not me 2 2 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 2 hours ago, Sonny Summers said: I looked at the Canadian and it's pretty active. I'm always amazed at how cold 850s can get in the Midwest over a broad area. We just suck. Ah, the price of having an ocean nearby. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 Amazing... live view from Friday Harbor on top and Bellingham on the bottom. Unbelievable difference across a short distance. 7 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Amazing... live view from Friday Harbor on top and Bellingham on the bottom. Unbelievable difference across a short distance. Nasty. I love that view from the top of the hill in Friday Harbor. Great place to sip a drink and have some grub while watching the marina. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 1 hour ago, Snownerd3000 said: Can we get this storm track with cold air entrenched in 2 months please and thanks! Just have that bad boy make landfall a little south of Cape Blanco with an ENE track. Massive and expansive deformation shield to the north. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 1 hour ago, Phil said: Pacific Ocean ftl. Rocky Mountains. SMH 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 15 minutes ago, Randyc321 said: Ah, the price of having an ocean nearby. And large mountain ranges to our east, blocking the Arctic airmasses from penetrating into the region. 3 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 1 hour ago, DJ Droppin said: Ohhh. Who here had October 25-26 in the Wind Storm contest? No one, because it's obviously gonna trend north. RIGHT Tim? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 1 hour ago, MossMan said: Current accumulations! "Spla-ash" test confirmed 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seattle Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 What would our climate be like if the Rockies and associated ranges did not exist, but the Cascades/Coast Mtns did? Quote 2022-23 Winter: 11/29: .25" + 1" = 1.25" | 11/30: .25" 12/2: .2" + .5" = .7" | 12/3: .2" | 12/4: trace 12/18: .4" | 12/19: .2" + .8" = 1.0" | 12/20: .2 + 1.5" = 1.7 1/31: trace | 2/14: trace | 2/22: .2 | 2/26: 1.0" Total: 6.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 Just now, Seattle said: What would our climate be like if the Rockies and associated ranges did not exist, but the Cascades/Coast Mtns did? Backdoor airmasses would be Cross-Cascade gradients often. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 Kind of crazy how much the switch flipped this year from the spring to the summer. The last 120 days (6/20-10/18) at SEA have been the driest on record for that period with only 0.54" of precipitation. The previous 120 days (2/21-6/20) were the second wettest on record for that period with 17.11". It's now been 122 days since SEA recorded more than 0.15" of rain in a day which is by far the longest streak on record. In the previous 120 days before that, SEA tied a record with 36 days with more than 0.15" of rain in a day. 5 1 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 5 minutes ago, JBolin said: No one, because it's obviously gonna trend north. RIGHT Tim? Maybe. I dunno what Tim has to do with it? I will say that I've noticed over the past many years of tracking wind storms that there are usually three distinct model trends within 96 hours. South, north, and then locked in to the south, or north, south, north. 18z GFS in 9 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 1 minute ago, Seattle said: What would our climate be like if the Rockies and associated ranges did not exist, but the Cascades/Coast Mtns did? Ellensburg would be like Great Falls or Cut Bank. Spokane would be like Havre or Glasgow. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 Look like timing is moving along quite nicely for this week per the 12z euro. A little bit of showers Thurs. evening and the rain moves in Fri morning and go on all day Friday. 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 18, 2022 Report Share Posted October 18, 2022 41 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Amazing... live view from Friday Harbor on top and Bellingham on the bottom. Unbelievable difference across a short distance. At least the air quality is not as bad as Bellingham here. 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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