tStacsh Posted November 12, 2022 Report Share Posted November 12, 2022 Pretty sure everyone in the country will see snowflakes and accumulation before I do. Long range looks boring and slightly below normal. Then back to normal. Normal November shaping up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 12, 2022 Report Share Posted November 12, 2022 1 hour ago, jaster220 said: @Niko INCOMING?? Could be a sweet surprise on tap. What a NEG-tilted shortwave can do: Special Weather Statement Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Northern Indiana 931 AM EST Sat Nov 12 2022 INZ008-009-017-018-022>027-032>034-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016-024- 025-121745- Noble-De Kalb-Whitley-Allen IN-Cass IN-Miami-Wabash-Huntington- Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-Henry- Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH- Including the cities of Kendallville, Ligonier, Albion, Auburn, Garrett, Columbia City, Tri-Lakes, South Whitley, Fort Wayne, New Haven, Logansport, Royal Center, Peru, Grissom AFB, Mexico, Wabash, North Manchester, Huntington, Roanoke, Bluffton, Ossian, Decatur, Berne, Marion, Gas City, Upland, Hartford City, Montpelier, Portland, Dunkirk, Bryan, Edgerton, Wauseon, Archbold, Swanton, Delta, Defiance, Sherwood, Hicksville, Napoleon, Deshler, Liberty Center, Paulding, Antwerp, Payne, Ottawa, Leipsic, Columbus Grove, Continental, Pandora, Van Wert, Ohio City, Lima, and Spencerville 931 AM EST Sat Nov 12 2022 ...A PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW THIS MORNING... Snow will move through this morning and will be heavy at times, with snowfall rates of 1 inch per hour expected. This will result in areas of slippery travel. Total accumulation of 1 to 2 inches is expected. Motorists need to be alert for changing travel conditions. This area of snow has a history of reducing visibility to 1/2 mile and falling at a rate of 1 inch per hour. Numerous slide offs have been reported in the greater Indianapolis area. WOW! Good catch bud..didn't even see this coming. They were just calling for light snowshowers at best. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 12, 2022 Report Share Posted November 12, 2022 52 minutes ago, tStacsh said: Pretty sure everyone in the country will see snowflakes and accumulation before I do. Long range looks boring and slightly below normal. Then back to normal. Normal November shaping up. Your Nov snowfall climo is no doubt skewed positively due to being further north and historically large early-season LES outbreaks. Down in Marshall my Nov avg was like 1.5" iirc. Of the (3) times I had large snowstorms in Nov ('11, '15, '19) 2-1/2 of those seasons went on to be duds. I don't really want to see huge snows in Nov - its bad juju 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 12, 2022 Report Share Posted November 12, 2022 Wow. "KDAY at 10am reporting heavy snow 1/16 mile visilbilty" 4 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 12, 2022 Report Share Posted November 12, 2022 UHI to the rescue (of those who hate snow) National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 1015 AM EST Sat Nov 12 2022 .UPDATE... FGEN forcing is working up into the southern forecast area, primarily south of I-94 so far this morning with the northern extent forecast into the I-94 to I-696 corridor into the afternoon. Temperatures have climbed into the upper 30s, but intensity of the precipitation seems decent enough on regional radar composite to support some snow or at a minimum at least rain/snow mix as temperatures fluctuate between say 36 and 40 depending on how heavy the rain/snow is at any given time/location. Will introduce some minor accumulation (grassy/elevated surfaces) over the southern 4 counites with perhaps 1/2 an inch for parts of Lenawee/Monroe and higher terrain of Washtenaw. Urban heat island of Metro Detroit should limit this potential into Wayne county even as modest precipitation rates spread in by midday. Will also knock one or two degrees off of forecast high temperatures from I-94 south where upper 30s seem likely to be more of the rule much of the day. 3 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 12, 2022 Report Share Posted November 12, 2022 Fwiw, nice to see.. Further SOUTH even more better: 1 3 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted November 12, 2022 Report Share Posted November 12, 2022 We got our first real flakes this morning as some light snow showers moved through the area. I may have to record 0.1". 2 4 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 12, 2022 Report Share Posted November 12, 2022 8 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: FSD has recorded three days so far this month with a trace of snow. We're also down to +3.8 on the month after hanging around +8 for the first week of November. Expecting that number to continue to tank through the next week. Never thought we'd see the likes of this tbh. So Retro late 70's 2 2 3 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 12, 2022 Report Share Posted November 12, 2022 19 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Looking like there is increasing probability of the northern plains warming up around Thanksgiving. Both the EPS and GEFS ensembles are showing this. If I was to guess I'd say we warm up to around normal for a couple weeks and then we get cold again around the start of the 2nd week of December. One of the moderators on my other forum mentioned it as well, but he said the word "Moderation", which means that the temperatures will warm up back to "near normal". And then, another cold shot in DECEMBER! 2 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted November 12, 2022 Report Share Posted November 12, 2022 First flakes of the season this morning with some flurries. Actually the same date as last year for first flakes too. 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 12, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 12, 2022 1 hour ago, hawkstwelve said: Looking like there is increasing probability of the northern plains warming up around Thanksgiving. Both the EPS and GEFS ensembles are showing this. If I was to guess I'd say we warm up to around normal for a couple weeks and then we get cold again around the start of the 2nd week of December. The MJO has been moving quickly and it will travel through phase 6 around the 20th and we will have to pay that toll. Good news is that it looks to be headed to an amplified 7 before months end. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 12, 2022 Report Share Posted November 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, Clinton said: The MJO has been moving quickly and it will travel through phase 6 around the 20th and we will have to pay that toll. Good news is that it looks to be headed to an amplified 7 before months end. The toll is "Moderated Temperatures", it's better than last year's November and December torch 3 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 12, 2022 Report Share Posted November 12, 2022 SNizzle has given way to moderate snow falling here in Canton. Not really sitting on much tho with temps warm. Good to see any precip it's been so scarce this autumn. Was 74F about 48 hrs ago 2 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 12, 2022 Report Share Posted November 12, 2022 Just now, jaster220 said: SNizzle has given way to moderate snow falling here in Canton. Not really sitting on much tho with temps warm. Good to see any precip it's been so scarce this autumn LOL! When there is more wind, I call it a "Flizzard!" 1 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 12, 2022 Report Share Posted November 12, 2022 We had a SnowFan here this morning. Not the one from Omaha. Anyway, it's time for the weather to get exciting. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 12, 2022 Report Share Posted November 12, 2022 2 hours ago, OmahaSnowFan said: First flakes of the season this morning with some flurries. Actually the same date as last year for first flakes too. What's the likelihood of that? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 12, 2022 Report Share Posted November 12, 2022 11 minutes ago, jaster220 said: SNizzle has given way to moderate snow falling here in Canton. Not really sitting on much tho with temps warm. Good to see any precip it's been so scarce this autumn. Was 74F about 48 hrs ago Big drop. Usually the kind of thing to cause severe weather. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 12, 2022 Report Share Posted November 12, 2022 1 hour ago, Clinton said: The MJO has been moving quickly and it will travel through phase 6 around the 20th and we will have to pay that toll. Good news is that it looks to be headed to an amplified 7 before months end. We need El Nino 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 12, 2022 Report Share Posted November 12, 2022 2 hours ago, jaster220 said: SNizzle has given way to moderate snow falling here in Canton. Not really sitting on much tho with temps warm. Good to see any precip it's been so scarce this autumn. Was 74F about 48 hrs ago Here in Macomb, light snow w temps at 34F. Not sticking. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 12, 2022 Report Share Posted November 12, 2022 Low clouds with flurries all day at the MN home. Temp has been bouncing back n forth 27-28 all day. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 12, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 12, 2022 Temps here never made it to the freezing mark, only had a high of 30 with clouds and flurries. Normal high is 58 and the normal low is 35. 4 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 13, 2022 Report Share Posted November 13, 2022 It snowed today in the Detroit Metro Area. A whopping 0.5" of snowfall fell. Here is a start to a good snowy winter. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted November 13, 2022 Report Share Posted November 13, 2022 Currently 35* Dew 31 Humidity 88% Slowly getting deeper cold air Freeze shouldn’t be too far away. 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted November 13, 2022 Report Share Posted November 13, 2022 13 hours ago, Iceresistance said: One of the moderators on my other forum mentioned it as well, but he said the word "Moderation", which means that the temperatures will warm up back to "near normal". And then, another cold shot in DECEMBER! Came to write something in regards to this as well. This pattern doesn't have an end, honestly. Moderation to normal and then crash is correct. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted November 13, 2022 Report Share Posted November 13, 2022 1 minute ago, OKwx2k4 said: Came to write something in regards to this as well. This pattern doesn't have an end, honestly. Moderation to normal and then crash is correct. Adding.... The good news is that moderation brings moisture with it. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 13, 2022 Report Share Posted November 13, 2022 It was a wonderful Saturday here in the PHX valley as we enjoyed crystal clear blue skies and temps topped out in the low 70's (74F). As much as I am enjoying these wonderful temps, I'm yearning for some Snow and Cold to get me in the Holiday spirit. I took a gander at my local grid forecast back home and it looks more like a mid/late DEC forecast! High temps won't get above freezing for several days if the forecast holds. If you believe last nights 0z Euro, it ushers in a Lobe of the Polar Vortex right over the GL's with subzero lows the following weekend north of the "Cheddar Curtain"! My goodness, if that happens, I'm sure plenty of the ski resorts in the region will be opening up early for the Thanksgiving holiday week. #Good4Biz "Here...Polar Vortex..." 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 13, 2022 Report Share Posted November 13, 2022 INDY reported a record snowfall event of 2.7" yesterday and more is coming this week....and the following week...and then we will be One of the LR calls I've been pondering on was for Thanksgiving week "shenanigans" and the development of more high lat blocking up near Greenland. Last nights 0z EPS continues the trend since yesterday's 12z run and continues to cool Thanksgiving week and upping the ante of a Thanksgiving Winter Storm. #SWFlow #SPlainsCutter 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted November 13, 2022 Report Share Posted November 13, 2022 The string of above average days was broken yesterday. After 14 days in a row of above average temperature Grand Rapids had a below average day. The official H/L was 41/32 there was a trace of snow fall and just 3% of sunshine. The overnight low so far for today has been 31. At the current time I have a reading of 32 and there is light snow falling. There is now a trace of snow on the ground here at my house for the 1st time for the winter of 2022/23 season. The average H/L for today is 48/34 the record high of 70 was in 1989 and the record low of 10 was set in 1986. The record snow fall amount of 3.5” was set in 1959. Last year Grand Rapids had a H/L of 42/33 and there was a reported 0.5” of snow fall. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wheezer Posted November 13, 2022 Report Share Posted November 13, 2022 Had about 2" of snowfall throughout yesterday in and around the Cincinnati area. Although there was never 2"on the ground at any one time because of the warm ground temps. Imby had an inch through early morning, a brief break and melting , then another inch late morning Into the afternoon. An impressive feat considering the first 10 days of November's double digit above normal temps 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 13, 2022 Report Share Posted November 13, 2022 Very impressive snowfall totals that hit the MW yesterday... 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted November 13, 2022 Report Share Posted November 13, 2022 We made it. First freeze. 31* Dew 25*. Humidity 35% 4 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted November 13, 2022 Report Share Posted November 13, 2022 2 hours ago, Tom said: It was a wonderful Saturday here in the PHX valley as we enjoyed crystal clear blue skies and temps topped out in the low 70's (74F). As much as I am enjoying these wonderful temps, I'm yearning for some Snow and Cold to get me in the Holiday spirit. I took a gander at my local grid forecast back home and it looks more like a mid/late DEC forecast! High temps won't get above freezing for several days if the forecast holds. If you believe last nights 0z Euro, it ushers in a Lobe of the Polar Vortex right over the GL's with subzero lows the following weekend north of the "Cheddar Curtain"! My goodness, if that happens, I'm sure plenty of the ski resorts in the region will be opening up early for the Thanksgiving holiday week. #Good4Biz "Here...Polar Vortex..." Question is how big o a snap back early Dec. Nervous we blow this first half of Dec thanks to this early cold. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chescowxman Posted November 13, 2022 Report Share Posted November 13, 2022 11 of our first 12 days this month have averaged well (+11.5 degrees) above normal. This is by far the warmest first 12 days to start November in Chester County history. The top 5 warmest prior to 2022 were: 1935 (55.4)/2020 (55.3)/1975 (55.1)/2015 (55.0) and 1946 (54.9). Now after that warm start we will do what the climate likes to do....even things out with a now well below normal stretch of weather over at least the next 2 weeks. Today will likely average above normal only because our high temperature occurred at midnight at 55.1. With the exception of Tuesday night expect below freezing low temperatures across the entire county for the next couple of weeks. We should see rain overspreading the county starting on Tuesday evening....this may start as a little wet snow or sleet in some spots in NW Chester County. It looks like another 0.50" to 1.00" of rain with that system. The record high temperature for today is 78 degrees set in 1902. The record low is 17 degrees set in 1920. The daily rain record is 2.33" set in 1904. The daily snow record occurred just 8 years ago when 1.5" fell in 2014. Quote All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County. There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science! Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" - 11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8") Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5") 2020/21 snow (52.2") / 2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0"). Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com. Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx National Weather Service SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chescowxman Posted November 13, 2022 Report Share Posted November 13, 2022 11 of our first 12 days this month have averaged well (+11.5 degrees) above normal. This is by far the warmest first 12 days to start November in Chester County history. The top 5 warmest prior to 2022 were: 1935 (55.4)/2020 (55.3)/1975 (55.1)/2015 (55.0) and 1946 (54.9). Now after that warm start we will do what the climate likes to do....even things out with a now well below normal stretch of weather over at least the next 2 weeks. Today will likely average above normal only because our high temperature occurred at midnight at 55.1. With the exception of Tuesday night expect below freezing low temperatures across the entire county for the next couple of weeks. We should see rain overspreading the county starting on Tuesday evening....this may start as a little wet snow or sleet in some spots in NW Chester County. It looks like another 0.50" to 1.00" of rain with that system. The record high temperature for today is 78 degrees set in 1902. The record low is 17 degrees set in 1920. The daily rain record is 2.33" set in 1904. The daily snow record occurred just 8 years ago when 1.5" fell in 2014. Quote All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County. There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science! Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" - 11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8") Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5") 2020/21 snow (52.2") / 2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0"). Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com. Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx National Weather Service SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 13, 2022 Report Share Posted November 13, 2022 5 hours ago, westMJim said: The string of above average days was broken yesterday. After 14 days in a row of above average temperature Grand Rapids had a below average day. The official H/L was 41/32 there was a trace of snow fall and just 3% of sunshine. The overnight low so far for today has been 31. At the current time I have a reading of 32 and there is light snow falling. There is now a trace of snow on the ground here at my house for the 1st time for the winter of 2022/23 season. The average H/L for today is 48/34 the record high of 70 was in 1989 and the record low of 10 was set in 1986. The record snow fall amount of 3.5” was set in 1959. Last year Grand Rapids had a H/L of 42/33 and there was a reported 0.5” of snow fall. Surprising year for that record. A few days later a bliz was raging over the Mitt. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 13, 2022 Report Share Posted November 13, 2022 5 hours ago, Tom said: Very impressive snowfall totals that hit the MW yesterday... Wow yeah, that's gotta be up there on the list of early Nov snows for a lot of places down in the SOHV. I could be too far N if this is a recurring theme. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 13, 2022 Report Share Posted November 13, 2022 4 hours ago, hawkstwelve said: I think I'll need to wait for the next cold shot and the pattern to reset to get any meaningful accumulations. This is just not a good pattern to bring substantial moisture to my area, apparently. We are scrounging for any solid precip but it seems to continuously skirt around us in the current setup. On the cold side of things, we dropped down to 17 this morning. We are not being able to reach our full low temp potential due to stubborn stratus that has been hanging around the past few days. If we could get that to clear out we should bottom out more impressively. Haven't a clue how it works in the PNW, but here in the MW if you are "just missed" N, it will be a while b4 your zone is targeted. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted November 13, 2022 Report Share Posted November 13, 2022 Currently on track to have some decent LES event Thursday through Saturday this week. Perfect west flow reminding me of 2014 lol I asked and I may receive. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 13, 2022 Report Share Posted November 13, 2022 55 minutes ago, Stacsh said: Currently on track to have some decent LES event Thursday through Saturday this week. Perfect west flow reminding me of 2014 lol I asked and I may receive. Greatness. I figured your call to be last scoring snow was premature. That dubious honor will likely be mine. At least for those I-80 and north. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 14, 2022 Report Share Posted November 14, 2022 Currently at 21° at the MN home. Officially the coldest temp yet this season according to my weather station. We've been under 32° for the entire weekend so the ground should be ready to go for accumulating snow starting tomorrow 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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