Deweydog Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 14 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: In one week we will know what the weather was like one week from today. A year and a week from now it’ll be a year after the time we knew what the weather would be like a week from now and we’ll be very interested in what the weather will be like a week from then. 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2022 Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 2 hours ago, TT-SEA said: All of western WA is in the mountains. will give up bodily organs for this to verify. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2022 Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 2 hours ago, Deweydog said: Seems unethical to NOT tell EVERYONE about this. shh let it be a surprise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Alright. I am exhausted and cannot keep awake. No Night Shift 6z for me. Have a great night all. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 24.8˚F. 1 3 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 24 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 10 I wonder if the EPS will show that yet again for I think 4 consecutive runs that the Op has been an outlier shoving that ridge over us Day 7-9. ECMWF EPS 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Just got home to Shawnigan Lake. Looks like there is 7-8” of snow on the ground. Temp is 25.9F. Couldn’t make it up the driveway so we had to shovel it. The snow was nice and light at least. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 EPS over the last few days has been trying to show a ridge developing over us in the 12-15 day range. Tonight's EPS is not as aggressive with that ridge, at least so far. Today's 12Z EPS Tonight's, same hour 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Looks like it's 33F and partly cloudy. Nice night! The new model GFS honestly feels worse than the last 2. 3 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 3 hours ago, TT-SEA said: Its actually worse now. The GEM might be a little conservative... but this is what the 00Z run shows for the next 10 days. That map looks like an overestimate. 0.6" over my house? Not happening this winter. Throw it out. Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Winter is canceled 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 I’ve seen worse runs than the 06z GFS but it was not super cold or inspiring. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Woke up to bright moonlight shining through the window. Completely clear now and 29. Freeze #27 if we are counting such things. 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 35F and foggy. 1 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Everleigh Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 All that snow, and not even a 2hr delay for Yelm SD. I am a little miffed and confused. Sat at 32* pretty much all night. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 28.6 here far more clearing than expected or modeled. PDX even dipped to 30! Not bad. 12z GFS in 1 hour 23 minutes 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Breaking news. Heaven and earth move and PDX scores a rare freeze. 3 1 5 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 I see the 6z GFS kept the potential southerly wind event/storm on the table for Saturday. Simulated IR shows it well with the classic curl/comma signature. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Everleigh Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Went out to warm up the car, and we have a light rain/mist falling. 32.2* DP 31.5* 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 I may or may not be available for the 12z GFS in 50 minutes. It will be interesting to see if this run continues to show the possible southerly wind/event storm for Saturday. The pattern with the deep trough and axis near the coast does bare watching closely. I think we're all caught up on looking for the next cold trough and potential lowland snow chances and this possible wind event/storm may sneak up on us. We'll see.... Long range it would be nice to see a continued chilly NWLY flow or the ridge to become even more favorable yanking that bitter air in British Columbia southward over us. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Currently 26.8 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fubario Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 10 hours ago, yellowstone said: I think we’ve had enough South sound specials this month… how dare u 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 21.2˚F. 3 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Still over forecasted but this morning we had an inch of new powder. Not quite the two inches I wanted but enough to play in (just barely).So far I'm at 1.20 for the event. I will reset the board at lunch when it is over. 8 Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 We had a tiny bit of snow on this day 6 years ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Looks like very low snow levels Saturday morning on the GFS. 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Pretty much a flat line temperature wise since 2pm yesterday. Currently 34* with a dp 29 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seattle Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 26 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: 21.2˚F. Meanwhile SEA couldn't get below 35 1 2 2 2022-23 Winter: 11/29: .25" + 1" = 1.25" | 11/30: .25" 12/2: .2" + .5" = .7" | 12/3: .2" | 12/4: trace 12/18: .4" | 12/19: .2" + .8" = 1.0" | 12/20: .2 + 1.5" = 1.7 1/31: trace | 2/14: trace | 2/22: .2 | 2/26: 1.0" Total: 6.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Looks like a lot of mountain snow after our short break at the start of this week. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 22 and very fine flurries/ice crystals falling. just shovelled and blowed the driveway, front steps and sidewalk. looks like about 1.5-2" from yesterday and last nights event. looks like constant flurries/showers through wednesday when a stormier pattern takes over. snow in the forecast through the foreseeable future. I'll take it. may start running out of places to put the snow piles though. we live in a garden home community so very little front yard. just a grass storm water ditch out by the street after our small yard fills up. I've been blowing a lot of it out in the street and this years plow guy luckily understands to plow it to the other side of the street where there is not a driveway and to avoid berms when possible. last year we got plowed in while out of town and it froze solid so high I couldn't get my car out for a month. had to drive the wife's subaru over the berm until it got warm and softened up to shovel. I've lined up my landscapers for snow removal this year while we're on the east coast for xmas > NYE. Hoping to avoid berms this season. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 oh and btw. has SEA got their shiit together yet? I have to fly through there tomorrow for a quick biz trip up to Vancouver on Tues/Wed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Gotta wonder how much of this low level fog and stratus in the Willamette Valley is going to break up today. Coming down the hill the fog started around 1200'. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Everyone seems very hyped for snow... what did I miss? Been busy the last few days. 2 My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 15 minutes ago, gusky said: Everyone seems very hyped for snow... what did I miss? Been busy the last few days. You almost missed a Jimeltdown and FIFA. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepFriedEgg Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 47 minutes ago, Doinko said: Ideal storm track 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 5, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 From the 400 pages here and the 1500 post's from me the important lesson here is snow will not stick to warm pavement. Cliff Mass for president!! 2 1 7 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 5, 2022 Report Share Posted December 5, 2022 Based on the Teleconnection forecasts of a positive PNA mid month, that things might not be the best for lowland snow for Christmas and NYE. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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