TT-SEA Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 I updated my wife on her new options for next week: 1) Snow Sunday and then brutal, pipe-bursting, car won't start type of cold... but dry. 2) Snow Sunday and then slightly warmer with 3 feet of snow driven by a 50 mph east wind. She is refused to pick and she is not happy about the remaining options and wants to know what happened to the '38-degree rain and life goes on normally' option. I told her to file a complaint with Mother Nature. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 If these model trends continue I am going to have to send out a memo to the employees by Friday. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 If the 6z GFS were to verify we could be looking at some places dropping to zero if it clears out and decouples. -30 daily departures could be possible. True old school stuff! 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Temps -40 or colder AlaskaChalkyitsik -51Fort Yukon -49Tanana -49Nikolai -49Allakakeet -48Kaiyuh -48McGrath -47Umiat -45Eagle -45Bettles -44Chena River -43Kaltag -42Selawik -41Nenana -40Fairbanks -40 YukonSatah River -49Old Crow -45 Northwest Territories Fort Good Hope -48Rae Lakes -47Norman Wells -47Lac La Martre -45So, it cold? Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 If the 6z GFS were to verify we could be looking at some places dropping to zero if it clears out and decouples. -30 daily departures could be possible. True old school stuff!Never experienced a temp below 12F. Was out of town when all of them happened. Maybe this time? Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 06z kinda guts the midweek low— I’d be willing to sacrifice a bit of cold to get that on the wetter side again. Crazy cold though! 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairiedog Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Never experienced a temp below 12F. Was out of town when all of them happened. Maybe this time?In 2012 I had two mornings of 8. Really cold for this area. I've had some low teens on and off but single digits are plenty rare for most of the north valley. I don't have records but if I did have single digits, '72 or '89 maybe. Before that I do remember ''68 I'm pretty sure (could be wrong. Memory is the second thing to go at my age) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 In 2012 I had two mornings of 8. Really cold for this area. I've had some low teens on and off but single digits are plenty rare for most of the north valley. I don't have records but if I did have single digits, '72 or '89 maybe. Before that I do remember ''68 I'm pretty sure (could be wrong. Memory is the second thing to go at my age)I had a -9 in Nampa, ID when I was in school there. That's pretty cold. I think the coldest I got to growing up in Monroe was 8 or 9 maybe. Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 In 2012 I had two mornings of 8. Really cold for this area. I've had some low teens on and off but single digits are plenty rare for most of the north valley. I don't have records but if I did have single digits, '72 or '89 maybe. Before that I do remember ''68 I'm pretty sure (could be wrong. Memory is the second thing to go at my age) 68-69 probly. That one was the best regional burying of the 20th century with crazy cold around it. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairiedog Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 68-69 probly. That one was the best regional burying of the 20th century with crazy cold around it.I think that's right. I had 6f. I lived in La Grande in '72-73. Had one morning of -12f. That was my coldest. If you count windchills, had -20f up at Crown Point during a wind event. Man, that was frickin cold! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 I updated my wife on her new options for next week: 1) Snow Sunday and then brutal, pipe-bursting, car won't start type of cold... but dry. 2) Snow Sunday and then slightly warmer with 3 feet of snow driven by a 50 mph east wind. She is refused to pick and she is not happy about the remaining options and wants to know what happened to the '38-degree rain and life goes on normally' option. I told her to file a complaint with Mother Nature. You need to get her in line and quick. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Roughly 4.5 days until the good stuff gets here. So probably another 36hrs of tense model runs trying to avoid the rug pull Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Looks like 45F out there. Down from 54F around midnight. Nice cloudy morning. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 GFS getting too cold. Still hoping for some slight moderation as the event draws near. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 GFS getting too cold. Still hoping for some slight moderation as the event draws near.It always happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Day 6 850s COLD! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Why are there so many white pixels on the 850 maps? Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 GFS getting too cold. Still hoping for some slight moderation as the event draws near. I'd rather have a moderate Arctic blast and tons of snow than a top-tier one with 3" of snow. Doesn't mean that the latter isn't exciting though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Why are there so many white pixels on the 850 maps?Those grid spaces have terrain higher than the 850mb level. Mountains 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 ICON sends the midweek low way north and strong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Why are there so many white pixels on the 850 maps? Pretty sure you're referring to how Tropical Tidbits handles mountain areas. At a certain elevation the 850 level is below the ground level so there's no 850 temperature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Oh I think it must be zones of higher terrain above the 850 pressure level Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 The ICON model flailed this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ewnichols25 Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Just catching up... WOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Cold is taking longer to arrive on the GFS 12z... Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 6z GFS Ensembles850mb Temps Portland: Solid modified arctic blast! Mean temp -13c, Cluster to -15c. January 17th 850s warm to -5c, but there are several colder members through the 21st.http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Portland_Oregon_USA_ens.png Seattle: Impressive Arctic blast! Mean temp -15.5c, Cluster to -17c. 850s do not warm to -5c until January 21st. Many cold members through the 22nd.http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Seattle_USA_ens.png Yakima: MAJOR to Severe arctic blast: Mean temp -21c, Cluster to -24c. 850s do not warm to -10c until January 19th and -5c until the 21st. A lot of cold members to -15c through the 21st.http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Yakima_USA_ens.png Vancouver BC: Solid arctic blast! Mean temp -16c, Cluster to -19c. 850s do not warm above -10c until January 17th and only reach -5c on the 23rd. Many cold members through the 22nd.http://old.wetterzentrale.de/pics/MT8_Vancouver_Kanada_ens.pngIncredible looking ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Rod Hill has Tues at 33/24 and snow showers. Time for Mark to test the waters. He knows better not to jump too soon but it's inside his 7-day now.Excited to see Rod's next video update! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 12z GFS for Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 The ICON model flailed this morning. Wow... you aren't kidding. Almost a non-event on the 12Z ICON. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 12z GFS shows the system Monday night going through central Oregon. Good potential for snow in Portland then. Intense arctic air sweeps in behind it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Wow... you aren't kidding. Almost a non-event on the 12Z ICON.Good thing it’s the ICON. 2 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Good thing it’s the ICON. That is probably the last model I would trust in this situation. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 12z GFS shows the system Monday night going through central Oregon. Good potential for snow in Portland then. Intense arctic air sweeps in behind it!Yeah, nice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairiedog Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Excited to see Rod's next video update!While not infallible, most interested in what Mark has to say. He's been cautious as usual. No surprised there. Times drawing nigh for him to jump or not. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Yep, 12z not as cold and quite a bit snowier. 3 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 Shipotofsky is on board in EUG. Saying a pattern change is appearing more likely with a wintry mix down to lower elevations. 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 12z looks very nice for just about everyone. Portland looks to get slammed....dangit. 1 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 PDX!!! PDX!!! Y'all have waited long enough. 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 8, 2020 Report Share Posted January 8, 2020 We've lost the ICON!!! A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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