January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Wow icon going full arctic with the 492 line coming into the state!

[Mid Valley Duck]

King ICON!

[lowlandsnow]

Just a little chilly

 

[SeanNyberg]

5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Ummm... what is going on with ICON??  Not out out this far on WB.

Shhhhh, just let it happen. Go with it. Don't fight it.

[High Desert Mat?]

You know you’re really grasping when you’re following the icon like it’s the hottest girl in school. 

[RentonHill]

3 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

I’m 35 and I hurt every morning 

At 35 and with two young kids I ask myself at least twice a week whether I’m having a stroke

[Meatyorologist]

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, SeanNyberg said:

Shhhhh, just let it happen. Go with it. Don't fight it.

Best model out there! 

[AbbyJr]

2 minutes ago, Mid Valley Duck said:

King ICON!

Looks like the solution the Euro and GFS were putting out in earlier runs before the rug pull. Nice to see but how reliable is the ICON?

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, lowlandsnow said:

Just a little chilly

 

That temp grid format is so silly on Tidbits.

[SunAndSnow]

I’m 35 and just had a baby. I assumed I was one of the youngins on this forum! 

[Deweydog]

[Snownerd3000]

This is us next weekend 

[SeanNyberg]

1 minute ago, High Desert Mat? said:

You know you’re really grasping when you’re following the icon like it’s the hottest girl in school. 

No one is grasping, the last round from every model trended in the right direction.
It's just the ICON is the only one out into Friday right now.

And... YES, LOL! Maybe we are so thirsty for this event we will take any validation. haha 

[BLI snowman]

ICON literally comes in a good 15 degrees colder than I've ever seen it during any of the last 5 years of arcticish arctic events.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

GFS has kicked off. Early in the 1st quarter.

[SpaceRace22]

There is absolutely no chance the GFS doesn't cave tonight.

[SnowySeeker50]

Quite a change from 12z

[Slushy Inch]

Based on the eps ensembles members. Temps like this are totally possible.

[Mid Valley Duck]

Wow this is a big time arctic airmass

[Kolk1604]

2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

ICON literally comes in a good 15 degrees colder than I've ever seen it during any of the last 5 years of arcticish arctic events.

Yeah that's crazy. Highs in the teens on Friday 

[MossMan]

Just now, Kolk1604 said:

Yeah that's crazy. Highs in the teens on Friday 

Single digits for me! 

[Doinko]

Just now, Slushy Inch said:

Based on the eps ensembles members. Temps like this are totally possible.

Yeah, the 18z EPS was a good 2 degrees C colder than the 12z for 850 temps. That's a ridiculous improvement

[GHweatherChris]

7 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said:

You know you’re really grasping when you’re following the icon like it’s the hottest girl in school. 

[High Desert Mat?]

4 minutes ago, SeanNyberg said:

No one is grasping, the last round from every model trended in the right direction.
It's just the ICON is the only one out into Friday right now.

And... YES, LOL! Maybe we are so thirsty for this event we will take any validation. haha 

Fair enough!!! I like it!!!

[Mid Valley Duck]

Icon looks to be reloading 

[jakerepp]

7 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

At 35 and with two young kids I ask myself at least twice a week whether I’m having a stroke

I'm having some sciatica or something like it right now and it's brutal.

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Mid Valley Duck said:

Icon looks to be reloading 

Insane... its going full Canadian now.

Might be a sign where the runs tonight will trend.  

[LowerGarfield]

31 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

I could be wrong about this, but I think Courtney Carpenter was the genius behind NWS Seattle’s excellent graphics a few years ago. She’s now at the Sacramento office. 

NWS Sacramento has the best graphics for the mountains every year. They show all the state routes and I-5 against a mountain graphic with places shown by elevation.

I also like NWS Spokane's winter page. I think all NWS offices in the NW have one EXCEPT SEATTLE. https://www.weather.gov/otx/winter is Spokane's. Just replace otx with pqr -pdx redirects there too (Portland), mfr (Medford), pdt (Pendleton), mso (Missoula), boi (Boise), but SEW shockingly has no winter weather page. Places like SF Bay or LA don't need one and Sacramento does a very good job anyway of covering their mountains. But Seatte should have a winter page. It shows the full range of probabilities in addition to their official forecast up to 90% percentile and 10% percentile.

[High Desert Mat?]

Ugh. No changes through hr 48. Throw us a bone. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

This isnthe coldest fukkin icon run ever posted! The gfs is going to be insane again.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Icon is too cold to snow? 

[Slushy Inch]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

This isnthe coldest fukkin icon run ever posted! The gfs is going to be insane again.

And doesn’t icon have warm bias?

 

[Meatyorologist]

Guys, the GFS took another big step in the right direction...

[Frontal Snowsquall]

00z ICON has the Arctic Front already down to the Eugene by Friday 4am.

 

[CliffMassYelledAtMe]

12 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

How does this insanity compare with the 2021 heat dome for anomaly? Like was that more unlikely for this climate or is this more unlikely? (Not taking into account climate change/climate trends, please. Just historical climate.)

[thisisacreativename]

Just now, Meatyorologist said:

Guys, the GFS took another big step in the right direction...

pics or it didn't happen

[Cold Snap]

ICON is cold but not very snowy.

[snow_wizard]

That was a holy sheeeit ICON run!  Brrrrr.................

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Looks like the GFS is still accurate.