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January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

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Posted by SeanNyberg,

my God, this forum has devolved into the worst of the worst. It's always emotional and reactionary in here, but it seems that the rational and seasoned members have pulled back to make way for the kids. I'm going to step back for the day too. It's just too much uninformed nonsense. I am excited for a lot of you guys, because it seems like this is your first time tracking a PNW winter storm. I remember my first time.
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Posted by GHweatherChris,

@iFred @TT-SEA pin this at the top...
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SeanNyberg
SeanNyberg

my God, this forum has devolved into the worst of the worst. It's always emotional and reactionary in here, but it seems that the rational and seasoned members have pulled back to make way for the kid

Meatyorologist
Meatyorologist

Cheers forum members!

iFred
iFred

@Meatyorologist @SouthHillFrosty @Cold Snap @RentonHill all here

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SilverFallsAndrew Grand Master

SilverFallsAndrew

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

1.png

Yikes! Did this run give you any snow. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, Mid Valley Duck said:

EPS is continuing to trend south.

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-or_wa-precip_72hr_inch-1704888000-1705255200-1705255200-20.gif

12Z control run doesn't even show snow in western Oregon on Saturday now.  

ecmwf-ensemble-c00-nw-snow_12hr-5190400.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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luvssnow_spokane Community Regular

luvssnow_spokane

Posted
Posted
49 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

Only 4 inches all season? Wow! That's pretty rough for Spokane. (This sounds sarcastic but I promise I'm not).

It might be 5 but we have not had much snow at all this year. I can not complain as it is way more than I used to get living in the Swamp (Bonney Lake). But yes it has been a very light year and bunch of 35 degree rain and just down-right dreary. All good and hope the westside can score!! 

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My Weather Station

https://tempestwx.com/station/61434

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Prairiedog Community Regular

Prairiedog

Posted
Posted
5 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

Rod going with a significant snow/ice storm for PDX now.

IMG_2724.thumb.jpeg.2589f386f7586ea5b41ac437c485f6af.jpeg

IMG_2725.thumb.jpeg.6ccb8515dd16a7cfb3355cf1f5797154.jpeg

He has flip flopped on this more than a hotdog with too much slippery mustard on it.  I like Rod but he's been all over the place.  I'm sure you've seen his other "updates".  One day he had our coldest day at 35 for a high then in the 40's shortly after that.  I'm glad he's back to a colder solution but holy cow batman.  I'm not faulting him as this has been a challenging forecast but he's been all over the place. 

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TigerWoodsLibido Grand Master

TigerWoodsLibido

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Yikes! Did this run give you any snow. 

Minimal at the very onset then switches quickly to ice. Would be several sub-freezing highs after that tho.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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LowerGarfield Grand Master

LowerGarfield

Posted
Posted
Just now, luvssnow_seattle said:

It might be 5 but we have not had much snow at all this year. I can not complain as it is way more than I used to get living in the Swamp (Bonney Lake). But yes it has been a very light year and over all 35 degree rain and just down-right dreary. All good and hope the westside can score!! 

That's super shocking! Wouldn't surprise me if you get another blast later this season. So great to have another east side poster even though you're 2 hrs away :D. Whereabouts in Spokane are you? Downtown? Out closer to Liberty Lake where @Phishy Wx is? Or on the west plains?

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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Port Angeles Foothiller Veteran

Port Angeles Foothiller

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

12z GC is slightly south of its 00z run. PDX looks like it’s on the northern edge of the precipitation shield.

IMG_2726.thumb.png.28053b0d91de6a9dff87c70fe67f0a74.png

IMG_2727.thumb.png.d013ffaa4cc611133b7128f51fbfd760.png

IMG_2728.thumb.png.ca314c72befc92d4a8612884fae7831a.png

 

 

This model will never catch on until they fix how this looks. 

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PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220

2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events)

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted

Of the 50 EPS members... none of them have precip in Seattle on Saturday now.   Hence the southward trend on the mean shown earlier.  

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-nw-precip_6hr_multimember_panel_ecmwf_a-5190400.png

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-nw-precip_6hr_multimember_panel_ecmwf_b-5190400.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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luvssnow_spokane Community Regular

luvssnow_spokane

Posted
Posted
Just now, LowerGarfield said:

That's super shocking! Wouldn't surprise me if you get another blast later this season. So great to have another east side poster even though you're 2 hrs away :D. Whereabouts in Spokane are you? Downtown? Out closer to Liberty Lake where @Phishy Wx is? Or on the west plains?

I live in north central Spokane about 5 minutes from downtown. It is great to meet you BTW!

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My Weather Station

https://tempestwx.com/station/61434

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TigerWoodsLibido Grand Master

TigerWoodsLibido

Posted
Posted

 

Tiger Celebrates.gif

1.png

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, OysterPrintout said:

PDX reported Trace

So less than the 6.1 inches the GFS showed yesterday?  🙄

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Parrot Rising Star

Parrot

Posted
Posted
21 minutes ago, KingstonWX said:

So where does this non-event fall on the list of greatest rug pulls of all time?

Tough to rank as a true non event bc snow was never guaranteed, ppl in this forum just assumed we'd get lucky at some point

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01/11/24 CZ: 400' in south Lynnwood

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Skagit Weather Veteran

Skagit Weather

Posted
Posted

Hi-res WRF shows a decent chunk of moisture popping up overnight here. Unfortunately, at this time it's likely still too warm for snow here although @MossMan would get a decent dump of snow.

ww_pcp3.24.0000.gif

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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Winterdog Veteran

Winterdog

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, Parrot said:

Tough to rank as a true non event bc snow was never guaranteed, ppl in this forum just assumed we'd get lucky at some point

I got "lucky" this morning.  There definitely were snow blobs fluttering within the rain drops.

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

Hi-res WRF shows a decent chunk of moisture popping up overnight here. Unfortunately, at this time it's likely still too warm for snow here although @MossMan would get a decent dump of snow.

ww_pcp3.24.0000.gif

That is exactly why I think Randy can still score!   But as you said... temps are marginal at that point.   Arctic air doesn't get to him until early afternoon.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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MR.SNOWMIZER Grand Master

MR.SNOWMIZER

Posted
Posted
Just now, TT-SEA said:

That is exactly why I think Randy can still score!   Temps are marginal at that point though.   Arctic air doesn't get to him until early afternoon.  

1 step closer to the 8 lol

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted

Can we all just focus on finding evidence that it will snow in Randy's backyard??   Does anything else really matter.  😀

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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bainbridgekid Veteran

bainbridgekid

Posted
Posted

High-res WRF has a band of very heavy precip tomorrow morning between Seattle and Everett. Would likely be too early for snow that would stick around as modeled, but still nice to see such intense banding show up.

 

ww_dbz.29.0000.gif

ww_snow24.36.0000.gif

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Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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Prairiedog Community Regular

Prairiedog

Posted
Posted
8 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

How much snow did PDX get last night? 

It really depended on where you were at.  We have over 20 micro climates in the Metro area.  Trace at the valley floor in spots to several inches at 1K in the West Hills.  Hit and miss.  I'm 315ft near the Cascade foothills and never saw a flake and ended up at 37 for a low.  Clark Co. did well.  Some spots had a little snow south of the Metro but melted pretty fast.  Don't know if there was any officially at the airport. 

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Parrot Rising Star

Parrot

Posted
Posted
8 minutes ago, Winterdog said:

I got "lucky" this morning.  There definitely were snow blobs fluttering within the rain drops.

"Those gaps will fill in"/feelscast

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01/11/24 CZ: 400' in south Lynnwood

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MossMan Grand Master

MossMan

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

That is exactly why I think Randy can still score!   But as you said... temps are marginal at that point.   Arctic air doesn't get to him until early afternoon.  

This morning I had a mix and was at 33 degrees, will the air profile be anymore favorable at all with this as opposed to this morning? I was definitely sooo close this morning. 

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Winterdog Veteran

Winterdog

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

That is exactly why I think Randy can still score!   But as you said... temps are marginal at that point.   Arctic air doesn't get to him until early afternoon.  

The GFS shows that same moisture as snow with a progged temp of 37 degrees.  Could happen I spoze,

 

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TigerWoodsLibido Grand Master

TigerWoodsLibido

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, T-Town said:

https://x.com/seahawks/status/1745163695276372478?s=46&t=A2KURVV14g2Dihdy2LQ7tQ
 

Wrong thread I know but Pete is out. 

Jimmy Lake is available. Ty Willingham too!

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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