TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Unbelievable changes... the 12Z ECMWF shows temps into the 50s south of Portland already by Friday afternoon. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: Remember yesterday when people made fun of me for saying Eugene would be in the 50s? I never did. I've played this game way too many times. At least these runs are coming relatively early. Last second is worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Well still going to fun to track the progression of this arctic air in the Central part of the country. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Where should I move? A ) Montana B ) Eastern WA/OR C ) Truckee/Reno/Tahoe area D ) Salt Lake area E ) Front Range Colorado 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 And its snowing again in western WA by Saturday.... **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Ok, maybe it trends back, who knows. But back to ordinary kinda crummy life lol 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Remember yesterday when people made fun of me for saying Eugene would be in the 50s? You say every possible outcome repeatedly, so I guess you covered your bases either way! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Good Lord... 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gummy Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Definitely a little too close for comfort. I would much rather sacrifice the foot+ of snow in favor of 2-6 inches and maintaining the colder air. Good thing we still have a few days to iron out the details. There will probably be more waffling. Yea, hopefully it waffles back south slightly. I am super nervous for the model runs tonight now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, Timmy said: You say every possible outcome repeatedly, so I guess you covered your bases either way! Just assessing what the models are showing. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, Requiem said: Ok, maybe it trends back, who knows. But back to ordinary kinda crummy life lol I would imagine we will see the trend swing back on the euro, too much ensemble support for much colder air on the other runs. But this is definitely a possibility Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said: Who was it that said by 12z Sunday we should have a better handle on things? Don't think we are any closer to knowing the outcome of this week than 24 hours ago. It is a 48 hour kind of thing. I wouldn’t trust the model any further out than this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OysterPrintout Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Never good to be in the bullseye this far out anyway am I right fellow Portlanders haha! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Unbelievable changes... the 12Z ECMWF shows temps into the 50s south of Portland already by Friday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Winter is currently starting here! Ice pellets! IMG_2285.MOV 4 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: Just assessing what the models are showing. Are you though? because that’s not how you come off. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Good Lord... We got three feet yesterday. Makes that look kinda pathetic. 3 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, OysterPrintout said: Never good to be in the bullseye this far out anyway am I right fellow Portlanders haha! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 This is one unseen surface low over Vancouver Island away from falling apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Tim post a kuchera map please. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 6 minutes ago, Timmy said: 96 redux? Four feet of snow fell here during that event. Yes, please! 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, MossMan said: Winter is currently starting here! Ice pellets! IMG_2285.MOV So CoOl! Love that sound!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: We got three feet yesterday. Makes that look kinda pathetic. Which is best 3’ modeled or 2” actual? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, Timmy said: Are you though? because that’s not how you come off. Actually I am trolling you 100% of the time. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said: Haha randy only has 22. 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Wow!! Coming down big time!!!! 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 I have been biting my tongue about the up coming pattern, but over the last 5 years when the models spit out these extreme events, which have been many, they usually move north within the 3 day mark prior to the event along with moderating temps south of WA. This has been a very consistent pattern for many events now. I am sorry, but just something I hate to see, but been really true for awhile now. 2 1 My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said: So we’re just gonna skip the pepto and go to the green? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, MossMan said: Wow!! Coming down big time!!!! I need a live feed to your place with sound 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Actually I am trolling you 100% of the time. Kudos because it works! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow maniac Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 10 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: 30 for me! This would be amazing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemDuck Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 The euro misses Portland by 25-50 miles. These are slight tweaks we’re talking about. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OysterPrintout Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 In Feb 2019 I was hanging on hoping the low wouldn't go north and it went south for Eugene. Still a lot of runs to go here before anyone should be feeling real confident about anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Well s**t. Why the eastern forum refers to Euro as Dr. No. Unfortunately it’s usually right. I suspect the Euro is closer to reality but is too warm. Could be it’s cutting off/back building the trough too much over the Pacific. It’s certainly done that before. Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Well. Time to move to Uranium City. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Sunday night low approach on European We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, SalemDuck said: The euro misses Portland by 25-50 miles. These are slight tweaks we’re talking about. Guess Phil says to watch for the 0z tonight. We’ll find out if the north trend continues this dramatically or it stops. If it stops PDX is still in a very good spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 1 1 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 I'm expecting the ICON and GEM to cave by tonight. We know it is pretty unlikely that we can get enough of an arctic push to suppress the pacific that much. The GFS outcome currently is probably the best semi realistic thing for PDX but I think this is gonna end up being an OLM and north event. Once that north trend happens, it doesn't reverse much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, Cloud said: Guess Phil says to watch for the 0z tonight. We’ll find out if the north trend continues this dramatically or it stops. If it stops PDX is still in a very good spot. Don’t take everything I say as gospel. I think there’ll be better agreement soon. I’m just not sure which camp is correct lol. Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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