TheNewCulverJosh Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, wxmet said: Out to 24 hrs on the ECMWF 18z, The upper level low in the Pacific is slightly north of 12z and the B.C. trough is hanging back just a little. Maybe you are seeing what you want to see?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 To my eye the Euro 18z looks to track the low just a bit N given the slightly higher 500mb heights offshore 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, TheNewCulverJosh said: Maybe you are seeing what you want to see?? No. I use the comparator on weathermodels.com to compare the two runs at the same time interval. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, paulb/eugene said: To my eye the Euro 18z looks to track the low just a bit N given the slightly higher 500mb heights offshore Looks like direction Long Beach WA 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew M Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 Latest thoughts from Mark Nelsen for Thursday into Friday morning for Portland. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, paulb/eugene said: Looks like direction Long Beach WA Yikes. That's going to be pretty borderline south of Chehalis. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 38 minutes ago, wxmet said: They definitely could have extended those WSW through the Seattle metro Wonder what the ecwf will show for my area on Thurs and then the weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 21 minutes ago, Andrew M said: Mark Nelsens latest thoughts for Portland, confidence increasing for major snow/ice event for the metro area. https://fb.watch/3yRGLfMvPz/ Go Mark Go! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 By 48hrs the upper low is a little further south but the B.C. trough is hanging back a bit compared to 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 10, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: Yikes. That's going to be pretty borderline south of Chehalis. Very unlikely that most of SW WA sees anything at this point. I wish the screw zone stopped at my door but alas it will also extend much further north to include our Cowlitz and Lewis County brethren. God speed weenies. 1 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemDuck Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 23 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Omak sitting at 23/-1. Not great, but also not bad... Euro had them at 28 today. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 Actually headed to Newport OR 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, hawkstwelve said: By Thursday morning... Looks a bit south. PDXers can breathe. That doesn’t look like a Long Beach landfall but I’d like to see the next couple frames to be sure. Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, wxmet said: By 48hrs the upper low is a little further south but the B.C. trough is hanging back a bit compared to 12z. What are the implications of the trough hanging back? Just delays allowing more cold air to filter down or it’ll be something more “bad”? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 Totals lower across the board 2 in. in Seattle by very early Friday morning 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Very unlikely that most of SW WA sees anything at this point. I wish the screw zone stopped at my door but alas it will also extend much further north to include our Cowlitz and Lewis County brethren. God speed weenies. Justin’s gone full on fall 2008! #december2remember 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, paulb/eugene said: Actually headed to Newport OR $ for PDX. HUGE potential for a major Winter Storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 Southward shift! 2 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, Cloud said: What are the implications of the trough hanging back? Just delays allowing more cold air to filter down or it’ll be something more “bad”? Yes. That would be more of a problem for PDX and areas south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 !! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, hawkstwelve said: By Thursday afternoon... Still rain for Portland - despite the landfall it's still pushing a decent SW breeze. Or the Euro off on its own with warmer temps. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 Actually more like general shrinkage and not as much a southward shift. 3 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 Totals early Friday afternoon 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 saturday system coming in hot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, TT-SEA said: Actually more like general shrinkage and not a southward shift. My thought as well. Less oomf imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, wxmet said: Totals early Friday afternoon Horrible...Dump it. 1 1 2 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 10, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 4 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Justin’s gone full on fall 2008! #december2remember Pull out of the market quick! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 22 minutes ago, runninthruda206 said: I’m in the Ravenna area. I know your pain. 2019 was still amazing though. At least for our standards. Ya 2019 was amazing and to be honest was as close as we get to being close to what places tend to get north and south of us. We are generally a shadowed location compared to nearly everywhere else in the Puget sound so it makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 still shows 2 to 3 inches for bothell by fri morning should we get a WSW? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said: And total snow through that same time... weaker low coming in more suppressed probably gives Portland a snowy Friday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 Temp 33˚F, DP 16˚F. A bit brisk, but bright sun and overall a great afternoon for a bike ride. Conditions remind me of a sunny winter day in the Rockies. City and county are busy spraying the streets and roads with deicer in anticipation of winter precip. 26/35 for the day. 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 Totals by late Friday evening. Snow increasing north as the next system comes in. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 I’m still liking my odds Thursday/Friday for some decent snow...I’d be happy with 3 inches or 8 inches. Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, seattleweatherguy said: still shows 2 to 3 inches for bothell by fri morning should we get a WSW? Perhaps a wimpy WWA. 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: saturday system coming in hot Going to become a Friday evening system instead. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemDuck Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 Euro isn't handling the low level cold well imo. I'd take my chances with the track it's offering 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just glad things didn’t go even further north lol, it’ll be different next run I’m sure. 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by Bryant,
11 reactions
Go to this post