SeanNyberg Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Here's the 6+ inches and 12+ inches maps for good measure. It appears these all have decreased the odds going into 18z compared to 12z. I know we are all different areas, but the high odds appear to shrink compared to 12z. Am I drunk? -------------------- Sean Nyberg IG: @SeanNyberg X: @SeanNyberg Facebook: Sean Nyberg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Featured Comment Bryant Posted February 10, 2021 Featured Comment Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 Let's see these 00z models shift north 7 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, Bryant said: Let's see these 00z models shift north I love how divided this forum is lol 2 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 5 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: I'll take it! Are there daily temp charts for selected reporting stations available for the 18Z Euro? Just wondering. Not sure if they are produced for the short cycle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, Acer said: Are there daily temp charts for selected reporting stations available for the 18Z Euro? Just wondering. Not sure if they are produced for the short cycle. No, I only see them for the 00z/12z runs. That would be nice though! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 13 minutes ago, iFred said: Oregon weenies, Seattle local media and Sandpoint going with "not that big of a deal north of Tacoma". Maybe the're on to something. Any update on the Comcast issue? 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 4 minutes ago, Esquimalt said: I love how divided this forum is lol I wouldn't mind if BLI got hammered. If I'm going to miss out it's less painful if its not by 5-10 miles. 2 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 14 minutes ago, iFred said: Oregon weenies, Seattle local media and Sandpoint going with "not that big of a deal north of Tacoma". Maybe the're on to something. You know full well that’s not how that works. 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 Hey, we should all move to the same location so we are united during these trying times! Pick a good spot that gets snow and start building our community. 1 1 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 6 minutes ago, Esquimalt said: I love how divided this forum is lol To be honest, even if we made groups for individual counties, there would still be some wild differences in opinion! I’d hate to be pitted against Randy! 1 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 4 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: Hey, we should all move to the same location so we are united during these trying times! Pick a good spot that gets snow and start building our community. How much property you got @TT-SEA? 1 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 8 minutes ago, Bryant said: Let's see these 00z models shift north YES!! 1 2 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Not the most helpful since it ends at 18z on Saturday, but gives a general idea. Here's Seattle. Guess I was wrong. Then again, I don't think weathermodels has the 06/18z EPS either. @Acer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: Hey, we should all move to the same location so we are united during these trying times! Pick a good spot that gets snow and start building our community. lol I like it. I was thinking maybe a Discord also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fircrest Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 4 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: Hey, we should all move to the same location so we are united during these trying times! Pick a good spot that gets snow and start building our community. Stampede Pass? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 35 minutes ago, Requiem said: I’m 100% missing the sarcasm but it’s the Thursday night supposed to be quite cold? Assuming things stay clear, many folks here in the metro should get into the mid 20’s. I don’t see us getting that cold heading toward the weekend. 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: Assuming things stay clear, many folks here in the metro should get into the mid 20’s. I don’t see us getting that cold heading toward the weekend. Mark “warm bias” Nelsen has double 25s Saturday and Sunday. Hard for me to imagine the outflow getting that cold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gummy Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 8 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: How much property you got @TT-SEA? Not enough snow. Leavenworth is a better option. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 25 minutes ago, iFred said: Oregon weenies, Seattle local media and Sandpoint going with "not that big of a deal north of Tacoma". Maybe the're on to something. Not sure what models they are looking at. Very high bust potential with that statement. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 3 minutes ago, Jesse said: Mark “warm bias” Nelsen has double 25s Saturday and Sunday. Hard for me to imagine the outflow getting that cold. Evap cooling. I think it's very doable. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 4 minutes ago, Jesse said: Mark “warm bias” Nelsen has double 25s Saturday and Sunday. Hard for me to imagine the outflow getting that cold. Maybe near the immediate gorge spots, but I’d guess the majority of the metro bottoms out in the upper 20’s. I’m assuming there’s still a GFS blend in a lot of forecasts but just like 13 months ago, the wisest move is to cut that cord. 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 Currently 29 degrees. DP 25. Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 37/28 day today and it's already below freezing. I love these days when pretty quickly after sunset the temperature is below freezing. I made sure to reinstall some of my Christmas lights that had fallen down with the windstorms in January and they're back on. Time now to see if the 00z NAM still gives a skiff of snow up here tomorrow. 1 Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemDuck Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 Does the extended HRRR have a big warm bias cause good lord this would be a non event for everyone? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 minute ago, Skagit Weather said: 37/28 day today and it's already below freezing. I love these days when pretty quickly after sunset the temperature is below freezing. I made sure to reinstall some of my Christmas lights that had fallen down with the windstorms in January and they're back on. Time now to see if the 00z NAM still gives a skiff of snow up here tomorrow. Fingers crossed for a good last minute northward jump! 2 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chowders Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 9 minutes ago, Gummy said: Not enough snow. Leavenworth is a better option. How about Winthrop! 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 FWIW the parallel GFS (yes it's running again) is much colder with the second low. Reasonably far south but still decent snow for the Central and South Sound. 4 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 23 minutes ago, Esquimalt said: I love how divided this forum is lol Just finishing up the final touches on my Vortex machine! It will attract the Big L in the sky and put my area in the sweet spot! Play to Win! 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, SalemDuck said: Does the extended HRRR have a big warm bias cause good lord this would be a non event for everyone? Obvious outlier. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 We'll have to wait and see on low number two. The first one seems to be pretty well set now. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OysterPrintout Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 7 minutes ago, SalemDuck said: Does the extended HRRR have a big warm bias cause good lord this would be a non event for everyone? The extended HRRR has a being bad at everything bias 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 16 minutes ago, Gummy said: Not enough snow. Leavenworth is a better option. My in laws have 10 acres, and a friend has the adjacent 10 acres up past Crystal Springs Sno-Park. 1 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 28˚F. NWS forecast low tonight is 27. Looks like a definite bust to me. I'll go with 22˚F. 4 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 I was going to offer lawn space for everyone up in twisp but the deer seem to have taken over 3 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 Let it be know I still just want my Arctic Front with chaos! I’ll take the snow but man do I miss the real thing! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, OysterPrintout said: The extended HRRR has a being bad at everything bias Isn't it usually used for precip? My guess is it just drifts toward climo for temperature output the farther out you get in the long range. Which for this particular model appears to be the 44-46 hour range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OysterPrintout Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 29 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: Hey, we should all move to the same location so we are united during these trying times! Pick a good spot that gets snow and start building our community. I can think of no surer way to guarantee no snow for everyone on the forum than this plan 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemDuck Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 Fwiw considering it’s temps the HRRR puts the low at Waldport 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, SalemDuck said: Fwiw considering it’s temps the HRRR puts the low at Waldport Ok I take it back now I like the HRRRRRRRRR. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andrew M Posted February 10, 2021 Report Share Posted February 10, 2021 00z Nam 2C colder Wednesday 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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