snow_wizard Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Sitting at 34 now! 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OysterPrintout Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 11 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: If you are banking on November to Make or break a winter you will almost always been disappointed. Just be glad we could be looking at a dynamic month, and some stuff to pay attention to as we move closer to PRIME time. Do you mean February or April? 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 15 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I don’t think they were shitty. We are going to see a very chilly period coming up. Just the reality of models backing away from feet of snow and 0 degree temps. In reality, that's a fair statement and anyone with half a frogs brain cell knew that wasn't going to happen. But the tone of the board was noticeable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 16 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: @Meatyorologist, you got the EURO tonight? Nah, I'm beat 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 15 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The numbers are actually pretty much the same. I think the main complaint is the fine details that dictate snow chances. Like it is EVERY D**n WINTER. Lmao 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 A clear 34F with frost here! First frost of the season, and barrelling straight towards my first freeze here in the next couple hours. 1 2 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest administrator Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 33 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I’m sorry but the pattern next week would not deliver sub freezing highs. I don’t care what the GEFS ensemble says, people need to get real. Totally agree with you and the fork you’ve been polishing obsessively since September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: A clear 34F with frost here! First frost of the season, and barrelling straight towards my first freeze here in the next couple hours. Wow, 34 there already in the city? That's impressive! Seems like it's around 42 degrees here right now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Sorry been asleep. 00z ECMWF Day 1 (Past 4 runs) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 57 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Even if that would happen, and Eugene would be only lowland city to score, the real pity of it is that it wouldn’t stop the regulars there from griping how it never snows there. Not all of us. I expect zero out of this, but it is fun to see colorful snow maps that won't verify this early in the season. I'm just worried that the most anomalous system of the season could arrive 4 weeks early and be wasted. I'd be happy if Eugene gets enough flakes to make a snowball. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Day 2 (Past 4 runs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Watch the EURO give us a blizzard. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 10 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Nah, I'm beat WHO did it, I'll kick their a**. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Day 3 (Past 4 runs) Nah. No changes. Cold trough continues to dig too far off the BC coast. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 @RentonHillTC 00Z ECMWF looks similar for the Huskies game... might get lucky and be fairly dry on an otherwise very wet day for the region. 5 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 GFS shows well over a foot of snow here by Monday morning. I’ll be sure to post pics. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Day 4 (Past 4 runs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Day 5 (Past 4 runs) Block trending stronger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Day 6 (Past 4 runs) This is not the cold run you were looking for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Down to 34F. Coldest temp yet this season. 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Day 6 850s I'm sorry to say the EURO is much milder than the laughable GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 1 1 1 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Day 7 (Past 4 runs) Another big ridge about to develop 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Anyone have 24-hour precip for whatever the wettest period of this coming AR is? 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Day 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 10 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Down to 34F. Coldest temp yet this season. I see a few clouds out there coming in. We still could get our first freeze, but it'll be close. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 1 hour ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: My fave is the 32.5˚F rain. I have experienced it. More than once. The most miserable weather experience of my life was February 22-24, 2014. February 22: 0.56" precip, Hi: 36F, Low: 31F (before precip arrived) February 23: 0.87" precip, Hi: 34F, Low: 33F February 24: 1.09" precip, Hi: 35F, Low: 33F 60 hours straight of snow mixed with rain, no accumulation, 2.52" of precipitation total. If I went two miles north there was 8" of snow on the ground, but there was next to nothing at my house. Bellingham was buried and to the south was in the upper 30s, low 40s but my house was the battleground. 3 1 Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 2 minutes ago, Requiem said: Anyone have 24-hour precip for whatever the wettest period of this coming AR is? Does this help at all? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 That is quite the warmup between tonight vs last night's ECMWF. Now is when I conveniently remember that control runs aren't very useful. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: Does this help at all? Gracias-- looks like some outlying metro suburbs and foothill areas could be in the 2-4 inch 36 hour totals. 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Good cold preservation pattern later on in the ECMWF run. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Day 9'er awfully wacky looking Day 6+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 4 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said: The most miserable weather experience of my life was February 22-24, 2014. February 22: 0.56" precip, Hi: 36F, Low: 31F (before precip arrived) February 23: 0.87" precip, Hi: 34F, Low: 33F February 24: 1.09" precip, Hi: 35F, Low: 33F 60 hours straight of snow mixed with rain, no accumulation, 2.52" of precipitation total. If I went two miles north there was 8" of snow on the ground, but there was next to nothing at my house. Bellingham was buried and to the south was in the upper 30s, low 40s but my house was the battleground. Same exact thing here with the third snow in Feb 2019. I had freezing snow mixed with rain, and JUST to the north they got buried. 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 9'er awfully wacky looking Day 6+ Totally inverted pattern. Things like this can be quite chilly in cases where cold is already in place. Interesting times coming up. 1 1 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: He might have a problem right out of the gate with this month. I love how he isn't afraid to make predictions though and put it out there. I disagree with him on February having the best chance of an Arctic Blast. I think December and January have better chances and I'm still really bullish on January this winter delivering. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 What a lackluster run to be honest in comparison from the previous several. We have only 24-30 hours if there are to be any sudden model changes with the cold air source and arctic trough to not dig down off Alaska and then slide south off the BC Coast. Too much onshore moderation. I wouldn't expect any such changes, but dang it would be nice. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 Day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall totals, including the southwestern US 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted November 3, 2022 Report Share Posted November 3, 2022 You never know, maybe we are here. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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