November 2023 Weather in the PNW

[MossMan]

My deck has begun to moisten. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Been on and off rain that will be heavy at times.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Whoa

[Gradient Keeper]

Radar Update

11/3/23 10:16 PM

The next batch of rain to move into the valley later tonight looks much more significant with heavier rainfall rates.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Oh shun...

[BLI snowman]

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Oh shun...

Would love another 10"+ November. Last one was in 2006. 

Dew.

Edited November 4 by BLI snowman

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS re-cap. 10 Day GIFs: 500mb Height Anomaly, 850mb Temperatures, 1000-500mb Thickness/MSLP/Precip

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GEM re-cap. 10 Day GIF: 500mb Height Anomaly. 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals

[jcmcgaffey]

23 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Radar Update

11/3/23 10:16 PM

The next batch of rain to move into the valley later tonight looks much more significant with heavier rainfall rates.

Some of those rainfall rates tonight look very impressive. Don’t think I have seen such intense projected rates outside of thunderstorms.

[jcmcgaffey]

Tomorrow afternoon looks like a fun wet and windy afternoon before it clears out.

[Gradient Keeper]

How about the Euro tonight! I'll post the re-cap shortly.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z ECMWF re-cap. 10 Day GIFs: 500mb Height Anomaly, 850mb Temperatures, 1000-500mb Thickness/MSLP/Precip

Much improved Euro run if you like active weather, lots of rain, and good dump of mountain snow with even some in the Coast Range. This pattern doesn't resemble El Nino at all. I hope the EPS agrees!

[Gradient Keeper]

00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals

[Gradient Keeper]

Good night

6z GFS in 1 hour 55 minutes

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like an outstanding Euro run. 

[Skagit Weather]

38 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals

It's phantom coastal snow season again!

[snow_wizard]

Kind of bizarre that a good 80% of the current analogs are from La Nina years.  Can't wait to see how the next couple of months play out!

[snow_wizard]

53 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

It's phantom coastal snow season again!

The trough the ECMWF is showing for week two is pretty cold, but that seems overdone for sure.

[Phil]

Big retrograde into a +WPO pattern later in the EPS run. That’ll increase vertical wave activity fluxes substantially and begin a modest wave-1 Strat PV response. Still not much Scandinavian High, but it’s early.

[Cold Snap]

Managed to get 0.20” of rain before midnight. 0.13” since midnight. 1.38” for the month so far.

[Ken in Wood Village]

Looks like the front is about to come onshore. No lightning strikes right now but there is an elevated level of having thunderstorms today. Looks like we also can see breezy conditions too. It's a fun fall day in the PNW 🌧

**updated at 5:12am** 

I spoke to soon. There are a few lightning strikes out over the ocean. 

[T-Town]

61.3 degrees here this morning. .50 inches rain yesterday and .37 so far this morning. 

[MossMan]

Light rain currently.

.32” so far on the day, 1.95” for the month. 

[Ken in Wood Village]

I normally drive out to Beaverton on Saturday to visit a friend. Driving here was white knuckle all the way. We are having some heavy rain in the Portland area. There is a lot of standing water on the freeways. Be careful if you are driving. Remember, don't hit the breaks, let off the gas pedal and your car will slow down enough for the wheels to hit pavement again. Have a good day...lol

[MossMan]

4 minutes ago, Ken in Wood Village said:

I normally drive out to Beaverton on Saturday to visit a friend. Driving here was white knuckle all the way. We are having some heavy rain in the Portland area. There is a lot of standing water on the freeways. Be careful if you are driving. Remember, don't hit the breaks, let off the gas pedal and your car will slow down enough for the wheels to hit pavement again. Have a good day...lol

 

[MossMan]

Wind! 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

0.62" since midnight, 0.72" storm total. Been intermittent, but there’s been some really heavy downpours at times.

[ShawniganLake]

Looks like we got a little over 1” of rain last night. 

[CliffMassYelledAtMe]

Don't have stats because I don't have a station, but just lying here in bed listening to some big rain drops bounce off the windows and wind gusts through the leaves. Nice fall storm-- not a big one, but big enough to be real cozy. Time for a cup of coffee and maybe plans for soup or a stew for dinner.

[FroYoBro]

BLUSTERY!

[MossMan]

[SilverFallsAndrew]

06z was a step back, but overall the trends are positive. If we can pull off a wet month it would be a huge win. 

[SnowySeeker50]

Currently windy, heavy rain, and thunder!

[umadbro]

Today seems like a good candidate for a funnel cloud somewhere. Based on the flow, probably somewhere in Clark county.

[Deweydog]

Toasty out!

[Deweydog]

90 burger coming up for Eugene?

[CliffMassYelledAtMe]

Heard some Thunder and got some hail. In a bit of a lull right now. Guess it's good Huskies are @ USC later. Shouldn't have a lightning delay there.

[Chewbacca Defense]

61 for a temp, and 0.48" so far.  Got 0.07" yesterday.  Windy here, my dog the leaf slayer (her favorite past time is shredding leaves) is going nuts with all of the leaves floating down in the back yard.  She started whining and carrying on like was having a bathroom emergency, but alas, it was just a ploy to get outside and chase leaves.

 

Gonna have to look at repositioning my weather station, the trees behind my house have finally matured to a point that they create a pocket where my station is currently located.  While we were out there, a huge gust came through, but I looked at the anemometer and it was barely moving.  This is where having an all in one station sucks, to get it high enough to get the winds for my terrain puts it way too high for temps, plus that would make it a pain to maintain.

[Chewbacca Defense]

31 minutes ago, umadbro said:

Today seems like a good candidate for a funnel cloud somewhere. Based on the flow, probably somewhere in Clark county.

One of my bosses just moved to the west side of Vancouver, (I think Felida or Lake Shore) and right after they moved, that last round of severe weather moved through (a few weeks ago?  Month ago?).  I warned him that there is something about Clark county and wild weather.  

[snow_wizard]

We've had several loud rumbles of thunder here this morning.  A few minutes ago there was one less than a mile way.  My wife said one of our cats jumped about three feet straight up in the air with that.  

[Phil]

1 hour ago, MossMan said:

First wind of the season? Maybe it’ll put Phil out of his misery.

[Skagit Weather]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

06z was a step back, but overall the trends are positive. If we can pull off a wet month it would be a huge win. 

I agree 100% with this. I've been a little underwhelmed so far with just over an inch in the last couple days, but would be really excited to see a November that is a couple inches above normal after all the dry weather we've had.

[SnowWillarrive]

8 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

Kind of bizarre that a good 80% of the current analogs are from La Nina years.  Can't wait to see how the next couple of months play out!

We need to score in early December

[ShawniganLake]

1.23” of rain overnight and early this morning.  Weather is starting to look fairly benign through mid month here now.  Periods of light rain but lots of dry breaks too.  

[RentonHill]

Lovin this action

[LowerGarfield]

@TigerWoodsLibidoLooks wet for today's kickoff at Autzen Stadium. Going to the game? As a Cal fan, not optimistic today (are we ever lol)? Son still wants to see "the golden ducks" when their hoops team comes here.

Chance of t-storms in my area later this evening. I am enjoying the rain. Thinking the Cougars should adopt a "it never snows at Martin" mantra but that would probably jinx them with an El Nino ongoing.

[the_convergence_zone]

That was a great storm. Heaviest rain I’ve seen in a while. 

[Phil]

31 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

Lovin this action

Jealous. I love forced squall lines.

[Cold Snap]

Just heard a loud boom of thunder!