PNW February 2022 - Winters Last Stand

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Phil said:

It’s gonna get cold.

The entire country?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Yeah I’m lucky to have a lot of shade on my property so the almost spring powered sun did not do a lot to melt there, however at work where it’s more wide open, all of the snow is gone from the full sun areas, still lots in the shade however. 

I always wondered how you kept snow so well! 

 

[Phil]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

The entire country?

Maybe. I think at least a good portion of it will.

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 hour ago, Omegaraptor said:

Looks like a sixth below average March in a row may be in the cards. Pretty interesting how Feb and March cooled in the 1991-20 averages compared to 1981-10, while every other month warmed. Have to wonder whether it’s just weird luck or if our climo is trending towards later winters.

It’s Feb 24. Looks like Corvallis put up a 42/25 today after a 39/20 yesterday pretty nice late season airmass did you get any snow this morning 

[Dan the Weatherman]

10 minutes ago, Phil said:

Maybe. I think at least a good portion of it will.

Do you think the West Coast will have a more active storm track as we go into March and April, or is this anomalously dry pattern going to continue for the remainder of the rainy season? It has been incredibly dry in much of California for nearly two months now and has been rather dry even further north as well!

[MossMan]

19 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I always wondered how you kept snow so well! 

 

Yeah I just got home and like always it’s a different world here just 1 mile from my work. Both front and back yard. Just a small portion of the north facing yard had a lot of melt but otherwise still snow on the trees even! 

[TT-SEA]

15 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Yeah I just got home and like always it’s a different world here just 1 mile from my work. Both front and back yard. Just a small portion of the north facing yard had a lot of melt but otherwise still snow on the trees even! 

We still have snow on the sides of trees facing away from the sun too.    Basically unchanged since the snow event on Monday in places that shaded.   

[Cascadia_Wx]

39/27 day here about 3/4” morning snow giving way to mostly sunny skies by afternoon. Third consecutive sub-40 high here could be heading for a cold one tonight with light winds and clear skies

[MossMan]

38/20 on the day.

3” of snowfall.
0.00” of rainfall. 

Currently clear and 30 degrees. 

[TacomaWaWx]

36 DP 27 and clear…gonna be a cold one. Glad some of the snow hung on today!

[bainbridgekid]

Couple pictures from school this morning. Always nice to see snow and blue skies here. Got 1/2” at my house and slightly less at school.

 

[Blizzard777]

5 hours ago, MossMan said:

Ya know with the lack of hype in the models and the media and ourselves I really thought this week was just going to be a little chilly at night and perhaps a little sloppy snow at some point so it helped make this week even more special with all of the “surprise” snow and cold! 

Agree….it was kind of nice to sit back and just enjoy it as it happened rather then obsess over each model run hoping to be in the sweet spot or watching  it trend east and suffer and anxiety attack. 
 

41/28 and currently 34*

Still snow on the ground here as well 

[Phil]

1 hour ago, Dan the Weatherman said:

Do you think the West Coast will have a more active storm track as we go into March and April, or is this anomalously dry pattern going to continue for the remainder of the rainy season? It has been incredibly dry in much of California for nearly two months now and has been rather dry even further north as well!

My guess is positive precip departures are more likely in SoCal/SW US than the PNW next month. Sort of a reversal from January.

 

[Meatyorologist]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

My guess is positive precip departures are more likely in SoCal/SW US than the PNW next month. Sort of a reversal from January.

 

I would really hope so. Ground here remained sufficiently wet even after the 50 day dry stretch. Inversions, fog, cooler weather prevented much evaporation... It would be fine if we were dry and CA ended up wet, particularly with this upcoming rain here.

[BLI snowman]

Looks like PDX recorded 0.5" this morning. Score!

[T-Town]

Awesome crisp and clear evening here. 35 degrees. 

[MossMan]

28.5 degrees. 

[LowerGarfield]

1 hour ago, bainbridgekid said:

Couple pictures from school this morning. Always nice to see snow and blue skies here. Got 1/2” at my house and slightly less at school.

 

Good, now do your homework!

[TacomaWaWx]

Pretty chilly here this evening down to 33 degrees so certainly will be below freezing tomorrow morning. Down to -0.6 for the month as of today. 

[Phishy Wx]

Down to 20

[jakerepp]

31.3. Plenty of snow in shaded areas still!

[MossMan]

Acer Jake are you around the forum still? How did your area do this week? 
 

[MossMan]

27.1. 

[GHweatherChris]

42 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

31.3. Plenty of snow in shaded areas still!

The 17 flakes we had lasted until after 10 AM, but it is frosty outside now.

[Blizzard777]

28*. Brrrrrrrr

[TigerWoodsLibido]

30F DP 29F and clear.

[gusky]

This is a pretty cool tool the NYT just announced on snowfall amounts. Cites NWS forecast data. 

How Much Snow Will Fall Where You Live? - The New York Times (nytimes.com) 

 

[Winterdog]

1 hour ago, MossMan said:

Acer Jake are you around the forum still? How did your area do this week? 
 

Still here but just lurking.  I was shut out totally on the first round when Lake Goodwin got up to 10”.  Got 1” last night thru this morning.  I think my total this winter is around 13” so you have eaten my lunch.  I hope you liked the peanut butter and liverworst.  Currently 26F.

[MossMan]

41 minutes ago, Acer Jake said:

Still here but just lurking.  I was shut out totally on the first round when Lake Goodwin got up to 10”.  Got 1” last night thru this morning.  I think my total this winter is around 13” so you have eaten my lunch.  I hope you liked the peanut butter and liverworst.  Currently 26F.

Well at least we are tied with the current temp of 26! 

[MossMan]

Glad I left the Christmas lights up a little longer in the landscaping! 

[GHweatherChris]

Just now, MossMan said:

Glad I left the Christmas lights up a little longer in the landscaping! 

Meh, next.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

23F and a beautiful starry night.

[LowerGarfield]

Currently 7F. Going back to sleep but cold outside.

[Tyler Mode]

19 this morning so far.  Coldest of the month.

[Meatyorologist]

Wow, overperforming on lows tonight here. 23°F

KSEA at 28°F, briefly dropped to 27°F.

[The Blob]

25 at KPDX but 30 in Troutdale. 

[Joshua Lake Oswego]

The inevitable northward shift is happening. 6z GFS, ICON, and Euro all show it. The Euro’s is subtle, but the trend is very apparent. 
 

[MossMan]

Currently 26. 

[Phil]

Just to drill home how irrelevant “warm ground temperatures” are for snow/ice accumulation.

It was 75 degrees here Wednesday afternoon with full sunshine. Just 12 hours later we were already seeing ZR accretion on *pavement* with an ambient temperature in the low 30s. And ZR releases latent heat, which often keeps BL temps warmer than they would otherwise be.

Precip itself cools the ground very quickly. Water has a very high thermal capacity…put cold water on anything hot and it’ll cool that hot object quickly. What actually matters (especially for snowfall) is the *rate* at which it falls. It is by far the most important variable for accumulations. Don’t factor anything else into the equation until you’ve factored in rates.

[MossMan]

25 minutes ago, Phil said:

Just to drill home how irrelevant “warm ground temperatures” are for snow/ice accumulation.

It was 75 degrees here Wednesday afternoon with full sunshine. Just 12 hours later we were already seeing ZR accretion on *pavement* with an ambient temperature in the low 30s. And ZR releases latent heat, which often keeps BL temps warmer than they would otherwise be.

Precip itself cools the ground very quickly. Water has a very high thermal capacity…put cold water on anything hot and it’ll cool that hot object quickly. What actually matters (especially for snowfall) is the *rate* at which it falls. It is by far the most important variable for accumulations. Don’t factor anything else into the equation until you’ve factored in rates.

I bet that 75 degrees felt amazing!