Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 10 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Even the one true non-UHI representative station in the whole PNW only shows a 49 in the next week! ย The one bright spot in that is that it shows a big cool-down happening in less than 10 days! 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 36 minutes ago, Sonny Summers said: These have been wrong the last several times. lolย I wish it wasn't wrong though because I am smelling smoke again. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 4 minutes ago, NWbyNW said: These have been wrong the last several times. lolย I wish it wasn't wrong though because I am smelling smoke again. It's like the enso forecast models. Given the trends at the moment, this will happen or will be the outcome. It could be totally different tomorrow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 58 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Funny how your body knowsโฆ Sunny and 72 at noon on 10/13 feels oppressive. I notice it when working the past week or so. ย 75F seems hot right now. ย In July or august it would feel totally pleasantย Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 I'm a little late, but thought I might as well post my feet too! Just spent the last 4 hours shaving.ย ย ย 1 1 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Glad I didnโt put the portable AC awayโฆ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 1 hour ago, BLI snowman said: This has literally been the worst stretch of weather ever here. On the plus side I have used it to get back into the best running shape that I've been in in years. Probably dating back to 2010 or so. Analog? Ha nice work! While things haven't been quite as anomalous out here, its definitely been unusual for it to be so comfortable this month! Especially compared to the last couple of years with temps dropping below zero in October with loads of snow. Definitely a 1988 vibe to it.ย 2 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ยบF Coldest daily low: -42ยบF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground:ย https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Kayla Posted October 13, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 For all the doubters out there. 12z EPS continues to be rock steady and is showing a really strong signal for troughing AND the timing is moving ahead to before day 10 now. ย 7 1 3 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ยบF Coldest daily low: -42ยบF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground:ย https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Kayla said: For all the doubters out there. 12z EPS continues to be rock steady and is showing a really strong signal for troughing AND the timing is moving ahead to before day 10 now. ย Hey, I wouldn't mind being proven wrong! If anything, the timing seems to have moved up a little. Getting within 10 days is the first step. The five-day mark is the next major hurdle. If it clears the latter, odds are it is not a meteorological will-oโ-the-wisp. 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 22 minutes ago, T-Town said: Glad I didnโt put the portable AC awayโฆ We're well on our way in rewriting the records book.ย Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 14 minutes ago, Kayla said: For all the doubters out there. 12z EPS continues to be rock steady and is showing a really strong signal for troughing AND the timing is moving ahead to before day 10 now. ย You beat me to it. Timing definitely moving ahead with the pattern change beginning around Day 7-8. A cluster of ensemble members suggests it could be quite chilly with mountain snows. 18z GFS in 12 minutes 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtep Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 It's pretty wild how warm the sun can feel in mid-October. These are February sun angles right?ย 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, mtep said: It's pretty wild how warm the sun can feel in mid-October. These are February sun angles right?ย Seasonal lag is an interesting phenomenon. 3 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Janย 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Janย 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24ย (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4ย (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25โ Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024ย (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 ย Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 26 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: For Seattle,ย quite a dive next week and looks rock solidย for 3rd week of Oct..ย 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 77F here โunofficiallyโ. Record high for today is only 71F. ย Seems likely weโll squeak past that.ย 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Office luncheon today. 3 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 17 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: Office luncheon today. at Cafe Milano? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Surface level smoke is bad this afternoon. Can smell it, can see itโฆ. Even less than a block away.ย 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 73 at SEA... does that tie the record for the most 70-degree days in October? 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Just now, TT-SEA said: 73 at SEA... does that tie the record for the most 70-degree days in October? My money is on them breaking the most 80-degree ones as well. They only need one more, and itโs achievable this weekend. If so, it would also be the latest 80-degree day. Any other outcome just doesnโt seem compatible with the sort of October this is shaping up to be. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Looking across BFI. Yuckย Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Currently 68ยฐF after a high of 73. Was just out getting boosted for COVID and the smoke isnโt too bad at all up this way. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 GFS is working to outdo itself. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Please go west... ย 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: GFS is working to outdo itself. GEM from yesterday (i think) wanted to do what GFS is doing in the 18z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 WTF? 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! ย Winter 2023-24 stats ย Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 7 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: GFS is working to outdo itself. It's almost like the GFS and ECMWF are forecasting for different planets. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! ย Winter 2023-24 stats ย Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Just now, snow_wizard said: WTF? 1 Quote Elevation 580โ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth!ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 11 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: GFS is working to outdo itself. Itโฆ. It decides to completely miss the PNW and brings rain to NorCal insteadย 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 33 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: My money is on them breaking the most 80-degree ones as well. They only need one more, and itโs achievable this weekend. If so, it would also be the latest 80-degree day. Any other outcome just doesnโt seem compatible with the sort of October this is shaping up to be. Yeah...A good shot at 80 on Sunday. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! ย Winter 2023-24 stats ย Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post TacomaWx Posted October 13, 2022 Author Popular Post Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Another awesome day in Yellowstone.ย 22 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 33 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: WTF? Yee Haw! The models is a feudin'. My bet is on the ECMWF. The GFS is Good For $hit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Hazy 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Wow what a terrible run. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! ย Winter 2023-24 stats ย Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 19 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: Another awesome day in Yellowstone.ย Gorgeous photos! My favorite is the Geyser in the distance. 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days withย trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 5 minutes ago, Sonny Summers said: Yee Haw! The models is a feudin'. My bet is on the ECMWF. The GFS is Good For $hit. Normally the Euro is the more accurate of the two but ever since last July it has been unwise to bet against dryness and torching. So who knows which will prevail. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Latest 83+ on record at PDX. 5 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferencesโ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted October 13, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 Looks like a 64/23 today in west Yellowstone and 70/44 back home. Glad Iโm missing out on the smoke thereโs absolutely none here.ย 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 13, 2022 Report Share Posted October 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Normally the Euro is the more accurate of the two but ever since last July it has been unwise to bet against dryness and torching. So who knows which will prevail. I'm going for around a 60% chance the ECMWF will be right.ย I have no idea why the GFS and ECMWF are so different right now. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! ย Winter 2023-24 stats ย Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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