The solar polar reversal has completed now. We are very near peak sunspot activity. We'll get a preview of how the next solar cycle will look in the coming months as the solar polar field strength comes into focus.
The EPS weeklies (and even more-so today’s 12z EPS) don’t hold the MJO over the WPAC/dateline very long, and instead build the lower frequency forcing into the E-Hem, with subsidence developing over the IPWP/WPAC.
I’m very bullish on a potent niña-like pattern in June now. The return to E-Hem forcing will coincide with the onset of Asian monsoons which changes the teleconnections to Indo-China convection.
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Posted by Bryant,
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