bainbridgekid Posted November 25, 2019 Report Share Posted November 25, 2019 But those wildfires have nothing to do with winter precip. I’ll never understand you guys, lol. If I’m not getting snow, I’d rather the mountains suffer with me than score big at my expense. Screw the mountains.You must not be a skier. 3 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2019 Report Share Posted November 25, 2019 Yeah Saturday looks like it could be a good transition event. Not a ton of upper level warming, though maybe a warming mid-layer. I see Eugene has a WWA now. I think they could actually score a couple inches. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 25, 2019 Report Share Posted November 25, 2019 The GFS has suddenly gone very active in the mid-long range. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 25, 2019 Report Share Posted November 25, 2019 Cold/dry vs warm/swampy..which would you choose?Super Hot summers, super snowy winters! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted November 25, 2019 Report Share Posted November 25, 2019 I don't see any sign of the bombing low on satellite yet.Don't worry, you will. It'll be a bit of a "sneaker", that low will literally give (Rapid Cyclogensis) a run for it's money 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 25, 2019 Report Share Posted November 25, 2019 You must not be a skier.I’m an avid skier, actually. Just don’t have time to hit the backcountry often these days (and ours pales in comparison to the West anyway). Used to travel out to Aspen and Park City every March with the family but there’s no time now. But I know what you mean. Some fellow Mid-Atlantic wx-geeks also root for cold NW flow all winter because it dumps feet of upslope snow in the Appalachians and they hit the slopes every weekend. I still hate cold NW flow with a passion. Worst snow pattern possible for us lowlifes on the lee side. Probably why the “but the mountains!” stuff bugs me..all they really do is steal snow that was destined for me. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 25, 2019 Report Share Posted November 25, 2019 But those wildfires have little to do with winter precip. I’ll never understand you guys, lol. If I’m not getting snow, I’d rather the mountains suffer with me than score big at my expense. Screw the mountains.Yes, once Summer hits we are pretty dry no matter what, but a low snowpack means fire season can start a lot sooner. There was a bad fire in June in Wenatchee that destroyed dozens of homes, and that was a really early fire for our area. And that was after a season with a very low snow pack. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 25, 2019 Report Share Posted November 25, 2019 Rainbow in Seattle on this late November afternoon... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 25, 2019 Report Share Posted November 25, 2019 The GFS has suddenly gone very active in the mid-long range.Good to see! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 25, 2019 Report Share Posted November 25, 2019 Yes, once Summer hits we are pretty dry no matter what, but a low snowpack means fire season can start a lot sooner. There was a bad fire in June in Wenatchee that destroyed dozens of homes, and that was a really early fire for our area. And that was after a season with a very low snow pack. Not sure how low the snowpack was in the Southern OR and far north CA region in summer 2018... but I was at Crater Lake on July 5th right after the Klamathon fire started in Hornbrook (right near the state line). When I got there Mt Shasta was clearly visible in the distance but near the end of the day I think there was a slight haze. Afterwards the fires just did not let up in that region for months. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 25, 2019 Report Share Posted November 25, 2019 I don't see any sign of the bombing low on satellite yet.It ran a practice round yesterday so we should be good 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairiedog Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 Pretty sure we had this discussion when I was active on here in February, but where did you play? Pretty sure we had this discussion when I was active on here in February, but where did you play? Yes, I remember now. I played for Orioles organization back in the early 70's. All American at Pacific U, College HoF. Days loooong since gone. Only faint memories now and lots of rotator cuff pain to remind me I pitched once upon a time. LOL Now I salmon and steelhead fish a lot and struggle watching the Mariners. Oh, and a resident weather junkie. Not in the league as most on this forum but being a retired science teacher, I love the journey of learning. I'm more of a winter time participant. I'm on the rivers fishing the most of the year but hang out here most this time of the year. You played in Washington somewhere if I remember correctly? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 Yes, I remember now. I played for Orioles organization back in the early 70's. All American at Pacific U, College HoF. Days loooong since gone. Only faint memories now and lots of rotator cuff pain to remind me I pitched once upon a time. LOL Now I salmon and steelhead fish a lot and struggle watching the Mariners. Oh, and a resident weather junkie. Not in the league as most on this forum but being a retired science teacher, I love the journey of learning. I'm more of a winter time participant. I'm on the rivers fishing the most of the year but hang out here most this time of the year. You played in Washington somewhere if I remember correctly? Seems that weather and baseball are somewhat of a co-occurring interest. There are 4-5 people on here that I know of played at least college ball. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 In case anyone missed this nugget from the 18z. 4 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 The SSW in early December is looking less and less likely. That's not necessarily a bad thing for those who like the current patterns.Michael Ventrice@MJVentriceAnd the minor Stratospheric Warming Event, driven by a displacement of the Stratospheric Polar Vortex off it's axis, is now taking place. Michael Ventrice@MJVentriceOne CFSv2 member highlights a 'Major' Sudden Stratospheric Warming Event during the month of December, where the bulk of the distribution is 'Minor'. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 C-zone falling apart... and about done. Looks like there will be no snow at my house tonight... next chance of precip out here is maybe Sunday but east wind will be in charge by then which usually eats up precip as it moves into King County. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 C-zone falling apart... and about done. Looks like there will be no snow at my house tonight... next chance of precip out here is maybe Sunday but east wind will be in charge by then which usually eats up precip as it moves into King County. idk man it’s hailing heavily in Tacoma right now. Might not be over just yet. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 In case anyone missed this nugget from the 18z. Supposed to come in three’s (at least we have that on our side)#2 windstorm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 idk man it’s hailing heavily in Tacoma right now. Might not be over just yet.Saw that little band over you...definitely feels like winter out there 42* Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 idk man it’s hailing heavily in Tacoma right now. Might not be over just yet.Its shifting south and breaking up. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 Seems that weather and baseball are somewhat of a co-occurring interest. There are 4-5 people on here that I know of played at least college ball.Yep. Western Oregon 1986 through 1990. Weather has a pretty profound effect on the game Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 Wooweee.I have to admit I am very jealous right now of the southern folks. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 Its shifting south and breaking up.We will take what we can get!!!i hope it’s breaking up in a crazy kind of way Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 My ice maker quit working so I really need some hailevening cocktail time Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 Wooweee.Bombogenesis! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 I have to admit I am very jealous right now of the southern folks. Yeah, shame that this thing is going way south. At least the weekend looks interesting for another chance for overrunning. Hopefully that can deliver to areas Salem north. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 I have to admit I am very jealous right now of the southern folks.Don’t be. Your location will get ten times the snow they will ever see. You live in some weird snow portal. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 Lightning strike just east of Bremerton Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 Observing total precip and temperature analysis. Here is what I see. PDX: Mixed especially above 500'. Maybe a trace to 1/2" West Hills, Chehalem Mt., Mt. Scott. Salem: Mixed showers turning to snow by 10 PM Tuesday. Total snow 1/2" to 1"....more in West Salem if banding sets up. Eugene: Models are underdoing the potential there. I could see downtown Eugene getting 2-4"....most likely is 1-2". More in the hills East of town. Klamath Falls: 4-6"....could be some shadowing. Bend: 10-12", more if that low stalls, which is a high possibility. Redmond: 6-10"...see above. And for me in Culver? Close to Redmond but a little less. Probably 5" or so when all is done. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 Trying to see where my previous post went, so it may be a double if it shows up. Off and on CZ for most of the day today, so far nearing 0.25” and still going, maybe for another hour or 2. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 Seems that weather and baseball are somewhat of a co-occurring interest. There are 4-5 people on here that I know of played at least college ball.Interesting how these things overlap. I still play in our spring league every year. And I’m not a sports junkie by any means, but there is something innately beautiful about the game of baseball. The psychological tug-of-war between the pitcher and batter and perceived “momentum”, the aerodynamics, the guesswork. All of it. It’s addicting. Luckily enough there are outdoor cages nearby (Rocky Gorge on old Columbia Rd) open year round where we can keep our swings fluid. Nothing quite like taking BP in the snow. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 In case anyone missed this nugget from the 18z. Gotta love the D16 GFS. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 PDX sounding for this weekend Looks like the GFS has a warmish layer between 900-850mb. Column just barely cold enough to support all snow, at least for a while. Hopefully models will trend a bit cooler for the weekend. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 Observing total precip and temperature analysis. Here is what I see. PDX: Mixed especially above 500'. Maybe a trace to 1/2" West Hills, Chehalem Mt., Mt. Scott. Salem: Mixed showers turning to snow by 10 PM Tuesday. Total snow 1/2" to 1"....more in West Salem if banding sets up. Eugene: Models are underdoing the potential there. I could see downtown Eugene getting 2-4"....most likely is 1-2". More in the hills East of town. Klamath Falls: 4-6"....could be some shadowing. Bend: 10-12", more if that low stalls, which is a high possibility. Redmond: 6-10"...see above. And for me in Culver? Close to Redmond but a little less. Probably 5" or so when all is done.I can see those happening. Big story is how long it should be around. Looks like the melting won’t really start until mid next week sometime. Oh, and those winds!!! Lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 holy hail stones Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 I can see those happening. Big story is how long it should be around. Looks like the melting won’t really start until mid next week sometime. Oh, and those winds!!! LolIf it ends up like your avatar then I will be happy. Btw, my phone is broke Mat. It won't go above 2% charge then dies. New phone tomorrow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 might have to make a hail monster Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 holy hail stonesYou got pounded!some hail here but nothing dramatic Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 But those wildfires have little to do with winter precip. I’ll never understand you guys, lol. If I’m not getting snow, I’d rather the mountains suffer with me than score big at my expense. Screw the mountains.Haha. Snow in the mountains is kind of important Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 26, 2019 Report Share Posted November 26, 2019 Puyalllup atm 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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