Rubus Leucodermis Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 26 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Control is juussstttt a bit of an outlier Could anyone please post the relevant ensembles for Bellingham? Thanks. Temp 30˚F, DP 20˚F. It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 hours ago, Phil said: Yeah it’s interesting. You can actually track the deposition of momentum and both intraseasonal GWO/MJO cycles back to the inception of the SSW. These things have cascading impacts for months after they occur. Without the SSW I suspect we’d have repeated 1999/00 or maybe 2007/08 at best. QBO doesn't matter now? 1 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 6 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said: Good to see the IBM GRAF model already has PDX at freezing on Thursday morning. Also nice it's showing strong East winds already at that time. It's suppose to be the world's highest-resolution weather model. Yeah GRAF looks impressive on paper. A global model that runs at an average resolution of 3km. Runs every hour too instead of every 6-12 hours. No idea how good its actual performance is. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Could anyone please post the relevant ensembles for Bellingham? Thanks. Temp 30˚F, DP 20˚F. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 hour ago, Requiem said: I think it’s worth noting that the foothills look to get blasted with strong offshore wind starting Thursday. Wonder if that’ll be an issue. Columbia River Gorge is going to be one gorgeous wintery wonderland soon!!! Photographer Paradise.....Tyler going to have a Hot (I mean Cold!) date soon!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 hour ago, RentonHillTC said: Snow total through Saturday early AM...looks about the same maybe less in the mountains? Something for everyone from PDX to YVR if it verifies. Pretty darn good. 3 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 33. DP 31. Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 00z National Blend of Models through Saturday morning: 3 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 17 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Arctic front/CZ signature within HRRR range now. Given that it parks directly over my house, I'm totally partial to this solution and am thereby locking it in. Officially. Perfect spot for me too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 hour ago, Bryant said: You might be thinking of my old location lol. I'm a bit further north now. I'm not making any friends on here with my hopes of it shifting Lol, once Rusty is out of the box we yell for our dog to cross the finish line. Nothing wrong with that! “ Here Comes Rusty!!!” Miss those days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 28 minutes ago, iFred said: If anyone got a random invite to a weather forum by someone named Ben, let me know. Seems like he might be behind some of the schinananagans from earlier. Poor guy is just having a bad day and taking it out on us. This whole situation Fred seems like a good way to manage Tim in the lead up to a potentially historic snow event. You say there are some denial of service problems and issues going on behind the scenes when really you are just screwing with Tim and his 41 degree rain maps at day 12. Am I wrong? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Looking at surface pressure plots and temps the 00z NAM looks a bit colder, may trend S with the first low 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OysterPrintout Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 20 minutes ago, Requiem said: Ahh I'm nervous, I'm sure PDX- north will at least get some fun but it's sorta nerve wracking haha YOU DONT SOUND SO SURE BUDDY 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 23 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said: Sometimes I wonder, is the model riding more fun than the event itself? This is a blast! The model riding part is simultaneously stressful and fun. This has been one of the more wild rides...was pretty massive uncertainty and swings on the models until 2 days ago. Now that we’re really close to getting something good it’s a lot more fun...as we’ve got lots of cards stacked in our favor especially here in western WA. Nothing beats snow actually falling and the runs verifying though. 4 Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 One interesting thing...still early in February but a good shot that this ends up being the 3rd year in a row February was the coldest month of the winter. Really happy seeing the cold air spilling into the Fraser River valley and Bellingham right now. 3 Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 I forgot, Requiem is that kid in the West Hills??? What did his name used to be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 I'm expecting the euro to cave a bit towards the gfs. 2 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, hawkstwelve said: Nice improvement on the NAM. This gif is from 1AM-6PM Wednesday. Wednesday evening looks nice for the Central Sound. I know better than to look at the blue blobs on the hour 60 NAM, but if that scenario were to transpire I would claw my eyes out. Literally five miles to my south. Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, TheNewCulverJosh said: I forgot, Requiem is that kid in the West Hills??? What did his name used to be? I think Requiem is a her (unless I’m confused) and I don’t remember the previous user name. Well that’s gonna bug me now.... Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, hawkstwelve said: Modified arctic front looking a fair amount juicier. Love seeing this as we move closer. Wow almost 4 inches here. Would be great if this verified 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Nice improvement on the NAM. This gif is from 1AM-6PM Wednesday. Wednesday evening looks nice for the Central Sound. That heavy band is right over me! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 4 minutes ago, TheNewCulverJosh said: I forgot, Requiem is that kid in the West Hills??? What did his name used to be? I think it was KI2 or something like that, been a little bit. 1 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 NAM actually looks even more suppressed than the 18z. 2 1 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: I know better than to look at the blue blobs on the hour 60 NAM, but if that scenario were to transpire I would claw my eyes out. Literally five miles to my south. I’m keeping my eyes locked on my location and none of girthier bands ever parked over me! 1 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, Requiem said: I think it was KI2 or something like that, been a little bit. That sounds familiar. Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 21 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: So, 90% have an inch or more in the coming week, mean 6.3", median 5.1". Odds strongly disfavor Whatcom County getting completely skunked. 2 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 4 minutes ago, jakerepp said: I think Requiem is a her (unless I’m confused) and I don’t remember the previous user name. Well that’s gonna bug me now.... K12 and I’m pretty sure he’s a he. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 these arctic fronts sometimes can lay down 1"-2" when the models don't really see it they have a way of squeezing all the moisture out of the atmosphere and putting it in your yard frozen style Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, Requiem said: I think it was KI2 or something like that, been a little bit. You don't even remember your old username? haha 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, Cloud said: You don't even remember your old username? haha One might say that I’ve subconsciously blocked out some of my more embarrassing posting habits 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, Cloud said: You don't even remember your old username? haha That is exactly what it was........I believe it's a "he", and he would be around 21 now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Friday Morning 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Found on Twitter, from Burnsville, MN tonight, where it’s -6 f. 2 1 Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, Requiem said: One might say that I’ve subconsciously blocked out some of my more embarrassing posting habits Sorry if I came down on you a little hard earlier. I’ve always liked you. I think it would serve you well to gain a little confidence to post your own thoughts though. I’m sure you have the knowledge! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, Requiem said: One might say that I’ve subconsciously blocked out some of my more embarrassing posting habits You have less to be embarrassed about than some of the chronologically more mature adults here. 2 1 1 1 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 The stronger arctic front is a step towards the Euro and will suck the low pressure north in feature runs. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 I don't trust the NAM at all at this range but what the heck. Still snowing at the end 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 6 minutes ago, Requiem said: One might say that I’ve subconsciously blocked out some of my more embarrassing posting habits Your postings have always been fine. You shouldn't take some of the criticism you had to heart... it was a lot more constructive than you may think. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 6 minutes ago, Requiem said: One might say that I’ve subconsciously blocked out some of my more embarrassing posting habits Hey man, I'm still trying to get rid of some of mine as well. I'm far from the most mature person on the forum and I do often show it in my posts, but my genuine interest in weather makes me continue posting frequently. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemDuck Posted February 9, 2021 Report Share Posted February 9, 2021 NAM has a Coos Bay landfall 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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