Requiem 2649 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 Looks like ICON caved. To itself. 1 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to post Share on other sites
12345WeatherNerd 229 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 GEM is basically the same, system actually looks a bit stronger. 5 1 Link to post Share on other sites
Popular Post Cjmessling 64 Posted February 9 Popular Post Report Share Posted February 9 I feel like this doesn’t have to said (or maybe it does)... enjoy these next few days! We wait for this kind of cold and potential snow for years. Especially us west siders. We are entering the time where we are going through what we dream of all year. Some of us will get pounded, some of us will get bent. Regardless the last week or 2 have been awesome model riding with you all. Rob is the MVP of this forum BTW. Homie puts in work for everyone’s viewing pleasure. I hope he gets a snow hurricane for his service 15 2 2 Link to post Share on other sites
RentonHillTC 582 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 Frogs IMG_3754.MP4 2 1 1 Link to post Share on other sites
Meteorologist Popular Post wxmet 2015 Posted February 9 Meteorologist Popular Post Report Share Posted February 9 A bit better run for PDX on the 00z RGEM 7 3 Link to post Share on other sites
TheNewCulverJosh 412 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 Oh, the snow/ice conundrum in PDX. https://fox12weather.wordpress.com/2021/02/08/update-on-late-week-snow-ice-possibilities/ 1 Link to post Share on other sites
nwsnow 2771 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 5 minutes ago, wxmet said: A bit better run for PDX on the 00z RGEM The 850s are clearly improved on the 00z RGEM. 00z vs 18z 2 Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 Day 1 (Past 4 runs) Link to post Share on other sites
Requiem 2649 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 3 minutes ago, TheNewCulverJosh said: Oh, the snow/ice conundrum in PDX. https://fox12weather.wordpress.com/2021/02/08/update-on-late-week-snow-ice-possibilities/ Holy hell that place is kinda negative sometimes, everything in Mark’s post indicated that a metro area event is on the table, just a matter of details. 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to post Share on other sites
TT-SEA 4169 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 GFS just refuses to show much precip on Wednesday with the arctic front. Definitely going with the ECMWF on that one. 7 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
Frontal Snowsquall 2621 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 11 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: GEM is basically the same, system actually looks a bit stronger. 00z RDPS/RGEM looks good for snow from PDX to SEA. Starts getting icy South of PDX Metro. Snow/ice accumulations through Friday 4am. 2 <p><font size="3"><font color="purple"><b>Isaiah 26:20 Come, my people, enter your chambers, and shut your doors behind you; hide yourselves for a little while until the wrath is past.</font></b></font></font> Link to post Share on other sites
Omegaraptor 2439 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 GFS landfalls the low into Neah Bay. It's over. 3 Link to post Share on other sites
Snowdrift 413 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 2 hours ago, luvssnow_seattle said: Had a high of 35 today and currently down below freezing 31... MY coldest days are the best yet to come. I will not have a high above freezing for at least a week or longer. WEEEEEeeeee!! Pretty common during normal winters. We won't get much snow with the arctic front. We might get a few flurries. Although, last minute surprises do sometimes happen. The 18z Euro was showing some light qpf for Thursday and Friday. A few wind blown snow showers are possible. If you want to enjoy the wind, go over to Liberty Lake or Post Falls and points east. They always have nasty NNE winds. 1 Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 Day 2 (Past 4 runs) Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 15335 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 ION is bizarre. Basically stalls the arctic front in the mid-valley. Quite a bit of snow Friday even in Albany/Salem and then the snow line gradually creeps north. PDX looks to score big. 3 Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
nwsnow 2771 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 FWIW Mark Nelsen is ignoring the GFS's idea of sending everything way south for now because he feels it is an outlier even relative to its ensembles and it obviously disagrees with the Euro which he relies on most heavily. 5 Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 15335 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 4 1 Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
The Blob 355 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 1 minute ago, nwsnow said: FWIW Mark Nelsen is ignoring the GFS's idea of sending everything way south for now because he feels it is an outlier even relative to its ensembles and it obviously disagrees with the Euro which he relies on most heavily. I'm going to give him a weenie 1 Link to post Share on other sites
BLI snowman 6871 Posted February 9 Author Report Share Posted February 9 00z GFS looking a smidge north. Central OR landfall most likely. 5 Link to post Share on other sites
TheNewCulverJosh 412 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: ION is bizarre. Basically stalls the arctic front in the mid-valley. Quite a bit of snow Friday even in Albany/Salem and then the snow line gradually creeps north. PDX looks to score big. Pendleton AFD hinted at a second surge of moisture/deformation band forming on Friday somewhere between the arctic boundary and the departing low from Thursday. 3 Link to post Share on other sites
hawkstwelve 7261 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 00z GFS 850mb temps through Thursday evening... 1 Weather station: https://maplevalleywx.com Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 15335 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 GFS going way south again. 5 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
Meteorologist wxmet 2015 Posted February 9 Meteorologist Report Share Posted February 9 GFS looks a bit north at 72 hrs compared to 18z. Probably because it's digging the B.C. trough out more on this run. 2 Link to post Share on other sites
Rubus Leucodermis 1346 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: GFS just refuses to show much precip on Wednesday with the arctic front. Definitely going with the ECMWF on that one. 1 1 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to post Share on other sites
RentonHillTC 582 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 3 Link to post Share on other sites
The Blob 355 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 I think Mark has forgotten how he was wrong in January 2017 1 Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 Day 3 (Past 4 runs) 1 Link to post Share on other sites
nwsnow 2771 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 Well north of the 18z GFS but still pretty far south. 3 Link to post Share on other sites
GobBluth 283 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: ION is bizarre. Basically stalls the arctic front in the mid-valley. Quite a bit of snow Friday even in Albany/Salem and then the snow line gradually creeps north. PDX looks to score big. it never pushes the low in until monday. very bizarre 1 Link to post Share on other sites
hawkstwelve 7261 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 Thursday PM 00z GFS vs 18z Euro for 850mb temps. They are just a little bit apart. 3 1 Weather station: https://maplevalleywx.com Link to post Share on other sites
Chewbacca Defense 1158 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 Down to 28 here, dewpoint 20. Just made my son go out and check his coolant in case things get as crazy as some of the models show there in Bozeman. It is -1 there now, currently wunderground is showing -21 by Friday. My mother in law is in Great Falls, they went below 0 Saturday and probably won't get above 0 again until next week. 4 Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to post Share on other sites
12345WeatherNerd 229 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: GFS going way south again. First of all its farther north, close to the CMC solution, also it can move north at this point. 4 Link to post Share on other sites
MR.SNOWMIZER 7082 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 GFS and Nam almost same low placement at 84 hrs. 2 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 15335 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 Isn't the EURO showing 40 tomorrow at BLI? Seems unlikely. 2 Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
BLI snowman 6871 Posted February 9 Author Report Share Posted February 9 Just now, nwsnow said: That's extremely close to the most optimal setup for the metro area possible. Need a 72 hour miracle for it to hold. 4 1 Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9300 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 Day 3.5 1 Link to post Share on other sites
12345WeatherNerd 229 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 0z versus 18z, pretty big difference. 4 Link to post Share on other sites
hawkstwelve 7261 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 Definitely a little bit further north with the snowfall through Friday AM. 5 Weather station: https://maplevalleywx.com Link to post Share on other sites
nwsnow 2771 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 Just now, BLI snowman said: That's extremely close to the most optimal setup for the metro area possible. Need a 72 hour miracle for it to hold. Would give us much more breathing room with that pesky warm nose too. Gotta love the silly surface temps the GFS puts out during this snowfall. 1 Link to post Share on other sites
Jginmartini 3940 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 2 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Come on now at least they be ..... 1 1 Link to post Share on other sites
FroYoBro 2690 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 Snow good. I like. 7 Link to post Share on other sites
Rubus Leucodermis 1346 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Isn't the EURO showing 40 tomorrow at BLI? Seems unlikely. That would make tomorrow warmer than today at my place. Not. Gonna. Happen. 4 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to post Share on other sites
Snowdrift 413 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 Just now, 12345WeatherNerd said: 0z versus 18z, pretty big difference. Precip shield is nearly up to Olympia on the 00z. 2 Link to post Share on other sites
GobBluth 283 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 1 minute ago, nwsnow said: Would give us much more breathing room with that pesky warm nose too. Gotta love the silly surface temps the GFS puts out during this snowfall. Implying the arctic front has somehow slipped south of Eugene? 1 Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 15335 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 There is a lot more moisture to work with on this run. Hangs around longer too. 3 Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
12345WeatherNerd 229 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 I think and hope that the GFS is handling this poorly and moves towards the Euro. 2 Link to post Share on other sites
Rubus Leucodermis 1346 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 1 minute ago, nwsnow said: Would give us much more breathing room with that pesky warm nose too. Gotta love the silly surface temps the GFS puts out during this snowfall. They're really not that silly. The odds may disfavor it at present, but readings like that just might verify. The runs that were showing single digits were the ones that obviously were not going to happen. It's called clown range for a reason. Link to post Share on other sites
hawkstwelve 7261 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 While it's a bit too early to say the GFS just started it's trend north, which I assume we all figured would happen, it's definitely a small step in that direction. 06z GFS will be very telling (unless it goes all 06z on us, at which point I'd defer to the 12z). I'm liking Western WA's spot for this. 5 1 Weather station: https://maplevalleywx.com Link to post Share on other sites
nwsnow 2771 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 -12c 925mb temps over PDX 10PM Thursday and cools to -14c 3 1 Link to post Share on other sites
TheNewCulverJosh 412 Posted February 9 Report Share Posted February 9 Just now, GobBluth said: Implying the arctic front has somehow slipped south of Eugene? The arctic front never makes it west of the Cascades. Anything in the valley is purely from the gorge. What the posters on here like to call a backdoor event. 1 Link to post Share on other sites
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